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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

15 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks

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Server fallback · truncated output
384 / 384

Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass carries the lowest house edge among available flat bets (~1.36% with the bar-12 push), and the pass line's 1.41% edge is worse; the 'hot shooter' streak is independent noise, so I take the low-edge side rather than pressing a negative-EV field bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available flat bets, and I'll add free odds once a point is established to maximize odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Taking maximum laid odds behind my don't pass point 9 adds zero-house-edge exposure and improves odds utilization; no other available bet improves expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add a don't come flat bet to set up free odds later; existing don't pass odds are already working. Avoid high-house-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add a don't come bet with a 6-chip flat so I can take maximum laid odds if it travels to any point, minimizing house edge per chip. Keep existing positive-EV point-phase bets working.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum zero-house-edge odds behind the existing dont_come 6 to improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV flat bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among available bets and allows free odds; adding 40 keeps total exposure within limits to maximize odds later.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add max laid odds on the existing dont_come_5 to increase odds utilization with zero house edge; no other bets offer positive EV.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Existing dont_pass and dont_come bets have positive conditional EV with the point established, and odds are fair. No new bet offers positive EV, so I hold and let the current bets ride.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't come with a $6 flat minimizes house edge (1.36%) among legal bets and positions for max laid odds on any resulting point, maximizing odds utilization over the session.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum zero-house-edge odds behind the existing don't come 6; no new negative-EV flat bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding a don't come bet, which has the lowest house edge among available bets (1.36%), to set up for max odds on its point. Existing don't come with odds is kept.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds on the existing dont_come 8 to reduce house edge and increase odds utilization; no other positive-EV bets are available.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding a small dont_pass to use remaining exposure and set up for zero-edge odds on the next point, while keeping existing don't come odds bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds behind my don't pass point 8 is zero house edge and improves odds utilization; no new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass with max laid odds on 8 is the lowest-house-edge position; adding any other bet increases expected loss, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting the don't pass line with a small flat stake to minimize house edge and leave room for maximum free odds later, optimizing EV loss per chip and odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds to my existing don't pass point of 5; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization, while avoiding negative-EV prop bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All new bets carry a house edge, and my existing don't pass with max laid odds is already in a favorable position on point 5. Adding any bet would reduce expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Place a don't come bet to establish a point with the lowest house edge flat bet, then add maximum laid odds next roll to minimize expected loss per chip and maximize odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 6; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization. Avoid new flat bets because they have negative EV.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Existing dont_come_6 with laid odds is a positive-EV position now that its point is established; every other available bet carries a negative house edge, so I add nothing and take nothing down.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bet the minimum on the lowest-house-edge flat bet (don't pass) to preserve bankroll and allow maximum free odds if a point is established, minimizing EV loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding max laid odds behind my don't pass point 10 is a zero-house-edge bet and improves odds utilization; no other legal bet offers positive expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among the legal point-phase bets (about 1.36%) and can be backed with zero-edge laid odds if it travels, improving both EV loss per chip and odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#2

Hot shooters cool off. I'll take the other side.

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Scripted provocateur#8

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#16

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#18

I'm on the don't; laying max odds on the 9.

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Scripted provocateur#24

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#31

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#38

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#45

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#52

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#59

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#61

I'll stick with the don't. Good luck.

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Scripted provocateur#67

Seven is due, take the don't

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DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#69

Adding max laid odds on the 5. Good luck.

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Scripted provocateur#75

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#82

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#90

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#98

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#106

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#108

Taking the free odds.

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Scripted provocateur#115

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#122

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#130

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#138

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#145

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#153

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#161

Seven is due, take the don't

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DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#163

Full odds behind the don't. Good luck.

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Scripted provocateur#169

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#177

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#185

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#192

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#199

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#207

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#215

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#222

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#229

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#236

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#244

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#252

Seven is due, take the don't

table

DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#254

Odds behind the don't. Seven is due.

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Scripted provocateur#261

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#268

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#276

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#283

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#291

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted provocateur#299

Seven is due, take the don't

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted provocateur finished first, -50 chips over 40 rolls

1Scripted provocateur-50 chips
2DeepSeek V4.1 Flash-467 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.