Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with the puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest-edge one-roll bet here (bar 12), and I want a removable position against the hot shooter's pass line. No odds available yet because there is no flat bet with a point.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a don't pass bet already working, so laying max odds (30, the 2x multiple) gives a true-odds edge with no house take. This is the best expected-value use of remaining exposure on this hand.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are in the point phase with point 10 and already have a don't pass flat plus 3x odds behind it, which is the lowest-edge position available. Adding any new bet this roll would only increase expected loss per chip, so I let the current bets ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with a hot shooter; don't pass is the lowest house-edge bet and is removable, so I take it for this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass already down; laying 96 odds (max allowed, 6x multiple) gives the lowest house edge on the table and completes the don't pass hedge without adding new single-roll sucker bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 and my don't pass plus don't pass odds are already working behind it. With no removable bets to take down and limited exposure remaining, I hold rather than add new bets, since the current position already benefits from a 7-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 and my don't pass plus laid odds are already working; no new bets improve expected value here, so I hold and wait for the seven-out or point repeat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is the best flat bet on a come-out. Betting the maximum 100 uses available exposure and sets up a large odds lay later if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 and I have a 100-chip Don't Pass working. Laying the maximum 100 chips of odds at 1:2 gives a true even-money edge-free position behind the flat bet, which is the mathematically optimal use of the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 and my don't pass plus laid odds already cover the full 3x odds ceiling for this point, so there is no higher-EV action available this roll; I will let the current bets ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a don't pass and max laid odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a full don't pass + odds position; no new bets needed this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is one of the better one-roll decisions here, so I place the maximum allowed 100 on don't pass.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 and my don't pass is working, so laying up to the 96-chip odds ceiling (a multiple of 6) gives a zero-house-edge hedge that pays 5:6 if a 7 sevens out before the 6 repeats.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 and my don't pass plus laid odds are already on the table. Adding more bets now would only increase exposure without improving expected value, so I hold and let the existing position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a full don't pass plus max odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out and is removable, so I take the full 100-chip limit here.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with the puck OFF, don't pass is the lowest-edge bet available to me (1:1, bar 12) and it is removable if the point gets set. The recent rolls show two quick seven-outs, so I'm leaning against the pass. I'm placing the maximum allowed stake of 100 to use my exposure efficiently while keeping the option to take it down later.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The puck is ON with point 8 and I hold a 100 don't-pass bet. Laid odds on 8 pay 5:6 with no house edge, so I maximize the odds stake at 96 (the allowed multiple) to reduce the overall edge per chip while keeping total exposure within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 8 with my don't-pass and don't-pass odds already active and working on the come-out, so I'm staying flat and not adding new bets this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest-house-edge removable bet available here and can be taken down later if a point is set. I'm sizing it at the 100 max to express a strong view against the shooter's recent pass streak.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 and my don't pass is already on. No new bets; I'm letting the existing position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass line and is the best flat bet available on a come-out; I'm placing the maximum allowed stake to establish a position and leave room for laid odds if a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 and I hold a 100 don't pass with working_on_come_out true, so I can lay up to 3x (300) in odds; I take the full 100 allowed here to maximize negative-EV reduction and lock in the best available hedge behind my flat bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 10 and I already have a full don't pass plus max odds laid on it, which is the best edge available. With no legal odds IDs to add and no removable pass-line bets, the optimal move is to leave everything working and avoid new negative-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are in the point phase with the point at 10, and my existing don't pass plus don't pass odds already cover the favorable side. Adding new bets would only add house-edge exposure, so I leave the table as is.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass is the lowest-edge bet available (1.36% house edge, bar 12). I place the maximum allowed 100 and will add free laid odds behind it on the next point-establishing roll to reduce expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 5 and I have a 100-chip don't pass bet working. Laying odds behind don't pass has no house edge, so I maximize it at 99 (the allowed multiple) to reduce expected loss per chip while keeping total exposure within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 and the puck is ON, so a don't come bet is legal and gets its own point of 5. It pays 1:1 with a bar on 12, and I can later lay odds behind it to reduce house edge. I'm not removing the existing don't pass/odds because they are already working on this point.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are in the point phase with the point at 5, and my existing don't pass (100) plus don't pass odds (99) already cover the favorable side. No new bets are needed this roll; I will keep the current bets working and wait for a 7 before the point repeats.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are on a come-out roll with the puck OFF, so don't pass is legal and removable. It has a lower house edge than most one-roll propositions, and I want a flat position that can be taken down later if the point goes against me.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF: don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the 1:1 bar-12 bet here while keeping exposure modest.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a 50-chip don't pass bet already working. The don't pass has a lower house edge than any one-roll or place bet, so I keep it in place and add nothing this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 9 and my don't pass bet is already working; adding more bets would only increase exposure to the house edge. I'll hold and wait for a 7 before the point repeats.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 9 and my Don't Pass is working, so I can lay odds at true odds (2:3) with no house edge. I'm taking the maximum allowed 99 to maximize expected value while keeping total exposure within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; pass line is the lowest house-edge bet and wins immediately on 7 or 11. I'm taking the full 100 allowed to capitalize on the shooter's momentum and the favorable come-out odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; don't pass has a lower house edge than the field and other one-roll propositions, so I'm laying a max don't pass and keeping it removable.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass bet; laying max odds (96, a multiple of 6) at true odds 5:6 is the lowest house-edge way to back the bet and uses available exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the full 100 on don't pass to exploit the come-out advantage.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This is the final decision roll (roll 40 of 40) with point 9 and a 100-chip don't pass already working. The optimal move is to leave the don't pass in place and add no new bets, since any additional wager would only add negative expected value and the don't pass already has a small edge on this point.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onTaking the dark side on the come-out. Let the dice speak.
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Taking max don't pass odds behind the 10. The math is on the don't side here.
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Point is 10. My don't pass and odds are already working. No new bets this roll.
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Hot hand, but I'll take the other side.
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Laying odds behind the don't pass on the 6.
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Point is 6. My don't pass and odds are working. I'll let them ride.
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Let it ride. Point is 6, odds are already down.
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Taking the don't side on this come-out. If a point sets, I'll lay odds behind it.
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Laying odds behind my Don't Pass on the 4. House edge on the odds is zero, so it's the best way to grow the edge-free portion of the bet.
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I'm holding the don't pass and odds on the 4. Let the dice do the work.
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Standing pat on the don't side. Let the dice do the work.
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Taking the don't pass at 100. Bar 12, wins on 2 or 3 and on a seven-out.
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Laying odds behind the don't pass on the 6. True odds, no house edge.
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Point is 6. My don't pass and odds are already working. Sitting this one out.
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Standing pat on the don't side. Let the dice do the work.
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Taking the don't pass on the come-out.
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Taking the don't pass at full limit. House edge is lowest here and the shooter just seven-outed twice in a row.
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Taking max don't-pass odds behind the 8. House edge on the odds is zero; this is the best expected-value move available.
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Point is 8 and my don't-pass plus odds are already working. I'll let the hand play out rather than add new bets now.
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Taking the don't pass at full limit. The dice have been hot for the pass line; I'd rather be the house side on this come-out.
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Don't pass on 9 is working. I'll let it ride.
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Taking the dark side on this come-out. Bar 12, so 12 is a push.
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Laying 100 odds behind my don't pass on the 10.
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I'm holding my don't pass and odds on the 10. Let the dice decide.
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Point is 10. I'm holding my don't pass and odds; no new bets this roll.
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Taking the don't side on this come-out; laying odds behind it once a point is set.
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Taking max don't pass odds behind my 5. House edge on the odds is zero, so it's the best use of chips when the point is 5.
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Don't come behind on the 5. Bar the 12.
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Point is 5. My don't pass and odds are working. I'll let them ride.
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Come-out is a good spot to fade the shooter. Don't pass, bar the 12.
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Taking don't pass on this come-out; bar the 12.
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Don't pass on the 9 is working. I'll let it ride.
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I'm letting the don't pass ride on the 9. No new bets this roll.
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Taking max odds behind my Don't Pass on the 9. House edge is zero on the odds, so it's the best way to back the bet.
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Pass line up 100. Let's see if the dice keep rolling our way.
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Taking the don't pass at full limit. Bar 12, wins on 2 and 3, and I can take it down later if the point gets ugly.
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Laying 96 odds behind the don't pass on the 6.
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Taking don't pass here — come-out edge is real.
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Last roll of the session. Let the don't pass ride to the end.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Solar Pro 4 finished first, +145 chips over 40 rolls
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