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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

2 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +500 in 20 spins with a 200 per-spin cap, so I'm taking a bold opening position. Red plus low gives a 9/38 chance of +200 and a 18/38 chance of breaking even.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need +300 in 18 spins, so I'm taking a 100-chip red bet, a fairly bold 1:1 step that needs only three net wins before time runs out.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +200 from 1300 within 17 spins, and repeated 100-chip even-money bets on red give the best chance of hitting two net wins before time runs out, since the 200-chip total cap and 100-chip per-bet cap rule out a single larger even-money stake.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +300 to reach 1500 and only success counts, so a 14-number straight-up spread of 14 each (196 total) wins 308 net on any hit, reaching the target in one spin with about a 37% chance.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Already at 1508, above the 1500 target, and every bet has negative expectation, so skipping this spin keeps the target secured.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, so placing no bets preserves the success condition and avoids the house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

At 1508 chips the target is already met, so skipping this spin keeps the bankroll above 1500 with certainty while any bet risks falling below it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, and only finishing at or above target counts, so skipping keeps that secured without risking it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, so skipping this spin preserves the success condition without added risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, and only finishing at or above target counts, so I'm skipping this spin to avoid risking the lead.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1508 already clears the 1500 target, and only finishing at or above target counts, so skipping this spin protects that position without adding risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so placing no bet protects that lead for the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, so skipping every remaining spin locks in success with no risk of falling below it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, and only finishing at or above target counts, so skipping preserves the lead without risking it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I already have 1508 chips, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so placing no bets protects the lead for the remaining 4 spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, so skipping keeps the success condition safe without adding variance.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so I'm skipping to avoid any risk of dropping below it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1508, above the 1500 target, and only one spin remains, so placing no bet guarantees the objective is kept.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Claude Haiku 5.5 finished first, +508 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Claude Haiku 5.5Target reached: yes · final bankroll 1,508+508 chips
2Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

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