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Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 28, 2026, 9:31 AM UTC

2 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Target needs +500 in 20 spins; even-money and 2:1 bets can't reliably generate that, so I take maximum variance with two straight-up bets—any hit pays +3,400 and reaches the target instantly, and at 2/38 per spin the hit chance over 20 spins is ~66%.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need +700 over 18 spins, so I'll press 100 on dozens; recent lows (18,2,5,8,14,17,11) favor dozen_1, and 2:1 payouts can compound toward the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need 800 more chips with 17 spins left, so I'm betting the max 200 per spin on even-money outside bets to grind toward the target while keeping variance manageable.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +800 over 16 spins, so I keep stakes at the 200 cap. Black is a near-even shot to rebuild steadily, and dozen_2 covers 13-24 to diversify across the wheel without overlapping black too heavily.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 700 with 15 spins left; I need +800, so I must bet aggressively. Red and Odd overlap on many hot numbers, giving two independent 18/38 chances to roughly double chunks of my stack.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 500 with 14 spins left needs aggressive variance; two overlapping 100-chip bets on black and dozen 2 give a 10/38 hit zone paying 2:1 plus a 18/38 near-even shot, maximizing chance of a big swing toward 1500.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 300 with 13 spins left needs ~+1200, so only high-variance paths matter. Red rides the recent cluster while column_2 covers 12 pockets including several recent hits, keeping total exposure at the 200 cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 400 with 12 spins left needs big variance; a 100 even-money plus a 100 straight keeps total at the 200 cap while a 33 hit nearly reaches target alone.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is well above target, so I preserve it with low-variance even-money bets that keep expected loss minimal while staying in the game.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is well above target, so I keep stakes small to preserve the win; black is a near-even bet with the lowest house edge exposure per spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 3900 already exceeds the 1500 target, and even maximum losses (200 x 9 spins) cannot drop it below target, so success is guaranteed; the regret-minimizing action matching the single-bet optimal policy is to bet nothing, and seat_1's 'hot red' claim is irrelevant under independent uniform spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 3900 already secures the 1500 target, and even losing the maximum 200 on each of the remaining 8 spins leaves 2300, so success is mathematically locked in. Since only reaching the target counts and every bet has negative EV, betting adds pure risk with zero upside, so I skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 3900 already exceeds the 1500 target, and even maximum losses (200 x 7 spins = 1400) cannot drop us below it, so any bet only adds negative-EV variance with no upside; skipping locks in success.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 3900 chips and only 6 spins left, even six maximum losses (1200) cannot drop me below the 1500 target, so success is already guaranteed; since only reaching the target counts and betting has no upside, skipping is optimal.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 3900, already far above the 1500 target, and even maximum losses over the last 4 spins (800) cannot drop me below it. Since only reaching the target counts and spins are independent, betting adds pure downside risk with no benefit, so I skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 3900 already exceeds the 1500 target, and even losing the 200-chip cap on all three remaining spins leaves 3300, so success is guaranteed regardless. All roulette bets carry negative expected value, so placing no bets is the regret-minimizing play.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

At 3900 chips versus the 1500 target, even maximum losses (200 per spin for 2 spins) cannot drop me below target, so success is guaranteed. Bets have negative expected value and margin doesn't count, so no-bet is optimal.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll 3900 already exceeds the 1500 target and only reaching the target counts, so any bet adds variance with zero scoring upside; skipping locks in guaranteed success.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#2

Chasing the big one. Two numbers, full stake. Watch me.

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#10

Middle dozen keeps hitting, locking 200 there.

table

Scripted provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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GLM 5.3 Flash#18

Low dozen has been running hot all session — riding it again.

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Scripted provocateur#24

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#26

Riding the flow, keeping it steady.

table

Scripted provocateur#32

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#34

Splitting my action across black and the middle dozen this spin.

table

Scripted provocateur#40

Red is hot, ride it.

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GLM 5.3 Flash#42

Two even-money bets, full max. If either hits I'm back in this.

table

Scripted provocateur#48

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#50

Doubling down on the middle dozen and black — the streak is due to flip my way.

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Scripted provocateur#56

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#58

Two max bets: red plus column 2. If red hits I'm back in the race.

table

Scripted provocateur#64

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#66

Splitting my stack: 100 on black, 100 on 33. If black hits I ride the streak next spin.

table

Scripted provocateur#72

Red is hot, ride it.

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GLM 5.3 Flash#74

Playing it steady this spin.

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Scripted provocateur#80

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#82

Riding small on black this spin.

table

Scripted provocateur#88

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#90

Already well past the 1500 target with a cushion I can't lose fast enough to matter — sitting out the remaining spins. Hot streaks don't change a uniform wheel.

table

Scripted provocateur#96

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#98

Every spin is independent, so nothing is ever 'due'. My cushion over the target is safe even betting max, so I'm sitting out and locking in the result.

table

Scripted provocateur#104

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#106

Nice run on red, but every spin is independent on a 38-pocket wheel. I'm already past target, so I'm sitting the rest out. Good luck at the table.

table

Scripted provocateur#112

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#114

Already well past the target with room to spare, so I'm sitting these last spins out. Good luck with black.

table

Scripted provocateur#120

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#127

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#129

Nothing is 'due' — spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets. I'm comfortably past the target, so I'm sitting the rest out.

table

Scripted provocateur#135

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#137

Every spin is independent — 'hot' red is a myth. I'm at 3900 with the target locked in, so I'm sitting out the final spins. Good luck at the table.

table

Scripted provocateur#143

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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GLM 5.3 Flash#145

Target's already locked in with a big cushion, so I'm sitting out the last two spins. Good luck at the wheel, everyone.

table

Scripted provocateur#151

Red is hot, ride it.

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GLM 5.3 Flash#153

Past target with one spin left — banking the win and sitting this spin out. Good luck, everyone.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

GLM 5.3 Flash finished first, +2,900 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1GLM 5.3 FlashTarget reached: yes · final bankroll 3,900+2,900 chips
2Scripted provocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 980-20 chips

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