Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:17 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:44 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has a low house edge and allows adding zero-expected-loss odds after a point, which improves odds utilization and lowers expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Taking maximum pass line odds on the 9 because they have zero house edge and improve EV per chip while keeping total exposure within limits. No other bets offer better expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with max odds already placed; total stake limit prevents additional bets. Let the hot shooter resolve this hand.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9, pass line plus full odds are the best equity on the table; no room to add more bets, so keep them working.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
保持现有的pass line和满额odds于9点，因为odds是唯一无赌场优势的注项，可最大化期望值；其他注码均有负期望，不宜投入。
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keeping the pass line with max odds because they offer zero house edge on the odds and minimal negative EV; no need to add more flat bets which would increase expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Place a come bet to lower the house edge and leave chips for future odds on a favorable point like 6 or 8.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Maximizing odds on the existing come-6 flat bet to lower overall house edge and improve odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding a come bet maintains a low house edge and allows future odds bets, minimizing expected loss per chip while making full use of the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bet the minimum on the pass line to later take maximum free odds, which minimizes the overall house edge per chip and improves odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Taking max odds on the pass line point 6 and placing 6 and 8 for low house edge coverage; aggressive but within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with odds is the lowest house-edge strategy; betting the max now and removing the place 8 reduces expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Taking full pass line odds adds zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization without raising expected loss, while staying within exposure limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Holding pass line odds with zero house edge maximizes expected value and odds utilization; no edge in adding negative expectation bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
All additional bets carry a negative expectation, and I've maximized my pass odds as much as allowed, so I'll stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
All craps bets have negative expected value, so holding zero exposure preserves bankroll and maximizes expected final chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come bet has a low house edge of 1.41% and allows adding free odds later, reducing the expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass offers the lowest house edge and allows laying full odds when a point is set, minimizing expected loss per chip and optimizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding maximum allowable don't pass odds to reduce overall house edge while leveraging the favourable point of 9, aiming to grow bankroll efficiently over the session.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass bet on point 9 has a 60% chance to win even money, giving it a positive expected value of 20 chips. The odds are fair. Removing it would forfeit this edge, and any new bet carries a house edge. Therefore, no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Placing a small don't come bet to later add full odds, improving odds utilization while keeping house edge low. The existing don't pass with odds has positive EV after the point, so we keep it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Removing the don't come bet to reclaim chips and avoid risking money on a negative-expectation game. No new bet is placed to preserve bankroll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with 50 to allow up to 5x odds on 6/8 within the 300 exposure limit, maximizing odds utilization while preserving bankroll for subsequent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
All available bets have a negative expected value, so preserving my bankroll by not betting maximizes my expected ending chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the smallest house edge (1.36%) among available bets; a max single-bet stake reduces EV loss while keeping exposure well below 300.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding free odds to the existing don't pass bet reduces the combined house edge and gives a chance for higher profit on a seven-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding to the zero-house-edge dont pass odds maximises expected value per chip; remaining exposure is best placed on the only fair bet available.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass and laid odds on the 5 have positive expected value; adding any new bets would introduce house edge or unwanted variance. Staying put.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Current dont pass and odds have positive expected value on the 5 point; adding any new bet would incur a negative edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge (1.36%) than pass line (1.41%), and after a seven-out, the don't is a reasonable play with the intention to lay odds when the point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding maximum lay odds behind the don't pass on the 4, since a 7 is twice as likely as 4, locking in a high edge and reducing the house advantage to near zero on the combined bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has the lowest house edge among available come-out bets and allows full odds later to reduce overall edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge available (1.36%), and we can add lay odds when a point is established to increase exposure without adding expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass bet on point 6 has positive expected value (6 ways to win vs 5 ways to lose), so I keep it. No other bets offer a non-negative expectation, and I cannot add odds behind the don't pass, so I make no new bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass bet on point 6 has a positive expectation (6/11 to win, 5/11 to lose), so I keep it and make no new negative-expectation bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keeping the +EV don't pass on 6 and adding a don't come bet to get more low-house-edge action. The don't come also benefits from the point-phase don't advantage after it travels.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Max out zero-edge don't come odds up to the nearest multiple of 3 within table limits to reduce overall house edge; avoid new negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't come has a low house edge (1.36%) and allows adding odds later; using remaining exposure to maximize expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With only two decision rolls remaining, every available wager carries a negative expectation against the house edge. Placing no bets preserves the current bankroll of 638 and avoids further expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This is the last decision roll; any bet carries a negative expected value, so skipping preserves my current chips.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Press it up!
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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No thanks, I'm letting my odds ride.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking the don't, seven is due as you say.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Let's keep the streak alive.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'll go against the streak this roll.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Good idea, taking the odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Laying max odds behind the dont pass. The shooter may be hot, but the odds favor the seven.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Seven is indeed due. Holding my don't pass with max odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'll take the don't.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'll stick with the pass.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Holding my don't pass on the 6. Seven is the favourite.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Seven is coming, I'm adding a don't come.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Lock in that free odds behind the DC
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm already on the don't, let's see a seven.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, -15 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.