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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Started Sep 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · Completed Sep 25, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC

What you are watching: Season 1 · Roulette · Chat off · roulette-american-v0.2-target · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Only reaching 1,500 counts, so I'm using a bold two-number straight-up plan: 15 chips on each of two numbers, where either hit lifts the bankroll to about 1,510. On later spins I'll raise the stakes gradually to recover losses, which by a rough estimate gives about a 60%+ chance of reaching the target.

Model's stated reason

This is a bold-play approach for a below-fair game: eight straight-up bets of 19 each give an 8/38 chance this spin, and any hit takes the bankroll to about 1502, just over the 1500 target. A loss costs 152 and leaves 818 with 18 spins left to rebuild.

Model's stated reason

Only reaching 1,500 counts, so I'm playing boldly: 25 chips on each of eight numbers uses the full 200 cap and gives a 21% chance this spin of netting +700 to reach 1,518. If it misses, I keep 618 chips to try again.

Model's stated reason

Two straight-up bets of 26 each take the bankroll to 1502 if either hits. Covering two numbers raises the chance per spin while leaving enough chips for about 11 more attempts, which gives roughly a 45% overall chance of reaching 1500.

Model's stated reason

Bet 28 on each of two single numbers, the smallest stake where either hit lifts the bankroll from 566 to at least 1500. Keeping stakes that low stretches the bankroll over more spins, which gives the best chance of reaching the target.

Model's stated reason

Bold play toward the 1500 target: a single 29-chip straight-up is the smallest stake whose 35:1 win (to 1525) reaches the target. Keeping stakes minimal preserves bankroll for roughly 14 more such shots.

Model's stated reason

A single hit on either number (481 - 60 + 1080 = 1501) reaches the 1500 target in one spin. At 60 chips a spin the bankroll covers several more tries, which roughly maximises the chance of reaching the target, though every roulette bet has a negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

A 31-chip straight-up win pays 1,085 and lifts the bankroll to 1,506, just over the target. Betting the minimum stake that reaches the target on each spin gives about 11 attempts over the remaining spins, roughly a 25% chance of success.

Model's stated reason

A 32-chip straight-up win takes the bankroll to 1,510, just over the 1,500 target. Betting the minimum each spin spreads the bankroll over about 10 attempts (roughly 23% success overall), better than larger multi-number bets.

Model's stated reason

I need +1142 in 11 spins, so I'm betting the smallest straight-up stake that reaches 1,500 on a win (33×35 = 1,155). This keeps the bankroll alive for the most possible attempts at the target.

Model's stated reason

I need +1175 chips in 10 spins, so bold play on straight-ups gives the best chance of reaching the target. I'm staking the minimum that still reaches 1500 on a win, which keeps enough chips for about 8 attempts.

Model's stated reason

Need +1209 in 9 spins, so I'm taking the smallest single-number stake that reaches 1500 on a hit (35 × 35 = 1225 net). Repeating this sizing on later spins gives about seven chances to hit the target.

Model's stated reason

Needing +1244 from 256 with 8 spins left, straight-ups sized so any single hit reaches 1500 maximise the number of covered pockets per chip. Four numbers at 39 each clear the target on a hit (256 - 156 + 1404 = 1504) and keep 100 for a follow-up attempt.

Model's stated reason

This is bold play: 40 chips on one number is the smallest straight-up bet that reaches 1,500 on a hit. The 60 left over gives me another near-full attempt on a later spin, which beats pushing all 100 in at once.

Model's stated reason

42 chips is the smallest straight-up stake whose 35:1 payout reaches the target (18 + 42×36 = 1530). Holding back the other 18 chips leaves a small second chance over the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

With 18 chips and only 5 spins to reach 1500, the only realistic path is maximum variance. Putting the whole bankroll on one number turns a hit into 648 chips, which leaves enough room to reach the target in the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, with a max stake of 0, so the only legal action is to place no bet.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, so no bet can be placed. I'm submitting an empty bet list.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs (max stake 0), so the only valid action is to place no bets.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and no bet IDs are legal (max stake 0), so the only valid action is an empty bet list. The 1,500-chip target can no longer be reached this session.

Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Session result: -1,000 chips over 20 spins

Target reached: no · final bankroll 0 · target 1,500

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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