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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

6 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Point is already on, so a don't-come flat of 16 is the lowest-edge legal bet and is sized so full laid odds fit under the 100 cap once it reaches a point.

Model's stated reason

Come-out: don't pass has the lowest line-bet house edge. Flat 18 keeps max laid odds on a legal stake multiple for every point, so later odds can be fully taken at zero edge.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a don't pass flat already up, so I take the full 5x laid odds (90, a multiple of 6). That stake is zero house edge and uses the odds ceiling; I add no negative-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

Come-out: a 1-chip pass line is the lowest-edge flat that still allows the full odds multiple on every point, which I will take once the point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 1-chip pass line already up. Max free odds (5, the only legal multiple) add zero-edge exposure and raise odds utilization without placing any negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

Come-out: don't pass is the lowest-edge flat bet and a multiple of 6 so full laid odds stay whole-chip legal once a point is set. No place, field, or proposition bets.

Model's stated reason

Point 5 makes the existing don't pass plus-EV to keep, and max laid odds (72, a multiple of 3) add zero house edge and full odds utilization without any negative-EV side bets.

Model's stated reason

Come-out: don't pass has the lowest flat house edge and sets up a full 6x lay at zero edge on any point, which minimizes EV loss per chip and maximizes odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a live don't pass, so the flat is a favorite to seven-out. Max even laid odds (90) are zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding EV loss.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with don't pass and full 3x laid odds already working. The flat is plus-EV here and the odds are fair, so I leave them up and add no negative-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with don't pass and full 3x laid odds already working; odds are at the ceiling and have zero house edge, so any new bet would only add expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Point 4 already has max don't-pass odds; the flat is now +EV and the odds are zero-edge, so I add no negative-edge bets and leave both working.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with don't pass already at full 3x odds, which are zero house edge. No new negative-EV bets; leave the position working.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with don't pass and maximum laid odds already working; the flat is now conditionally favorable and the odds are zero edge. Every legal new bet has a house edge, so I add and remove nothing.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with don't pass and full 3x laid odds already working; that flat is now +EV and the odds are fair, so I leave them and add no negative-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with don't pass and max laid odds already working; that flat bet is ahead conditionally and the odds are zero edge, so I add no negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

Point 4 don't pass is already backed by the full 3x laid odds, so that contract stays: the flat is now plus-EV and the odds are zero-edge. No further zero-edge odds are available, and every legal new bet adds house edge, so I add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass on 4 already has maximum laid odds, so odds utilization is full and no further zero-edge stake is legal. Every available new bet has a house edge, so adding one would only increase EV loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Come-out pass line at 50 so full 3x/4x/5x true odds fit inside the 300 exposure cap on every point, which minimizes house edge per chip and sets up full odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 50 pass-line flat already working, so I take the maximum legal 100 in true-odds pass odds (0 house edge, even chips for the 3:2 payout) and add no negative-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

Come-out: don't pass has the lowest flat house edge and a multiple-of-6 stake so full laid odds fit the payout multiples on every point next.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 don't pass is already +EV and cannot be improved by taking it down. Max laid odds (99, the 100-chip cap) are zero house edge and raise odds utilization without adding expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 makes the working don't pass plus laid odds positive EV, and no legal addition has zero house edge, so I leave the bets working and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Point is already 10, so a small don't-come flat is the lowest-edge legal bet and sets up a full true-odds lay, which adds no house edge.

Model's stated reason

The don't-come 9 is already a plus-EV contract, so I keep it and lay the full 24 true-odds behind it. That adds zero house edge and uses the only free-odds slot available.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't-come 9 already at max odds. That flat is plus-EV once traveling and the odds are fair, so I leave both up and add no negative-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

Don't-come 9 already has max laid odds, and no other zero-edge bet is legal this roll. I leave that plus-EV contract working and add nothing with a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Keep the pointed don't-come and max odds (already +EV). Add a 42 don't-come, the lowest-edge legal bet, sized so full laid odds fit the exposure cap on every point next roll.

Model's stated reason

Come-out only: don't pass is the lowest-edge legal bet, and a flat of 6 is the smallest stake that later allows the full laid-odds multiple on every point, adding zero-edge chips.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 behind a don't-pass flat; max laid odds (30, a multiple of 6) are zero house edge and use the full odds ceiling. No other bet improves expected value.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 already has don't pass with maximum 5x odds, which are zero house edge and now player-favorable, so I add no negative-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with max don't-pass odds already working; those bets are zero or positive EV now, and every legal new bet has a house edge, so I add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with don't pass already backed by the full 5x free odds, so expected loss is confined to the small flat. No legal addition has zero house edge, and with two rolls left I will not add edge just to churn chips.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6, so the working don't pass is plus-EV and the max laid odds are fair; no new negative-EV bets and nothing to take down.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +192 chips over 40 rolls

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