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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

1 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line wins on 7 or 11 (natural) and loses on 2, 3, or 12. The shooter has made 6 consecutive pass-line wins, so the table is hot; a small pass-line bet aligns with the momentum while keeping exposure low.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a pass line flat bet already working. Adding maximum 4x odds (40) behind it is the lowest-edge action available and uses the remaining exposure efficiently; the don't side message is noise, not a reason to abandon a positive EV position.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the edge with a small stake while keeping flexibility.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a don't pass flat bet already working; laying max odds (48, a multiple of 6) behind it reduces house edge to near zero on this hand and uses available exposure efficiently.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; pass line has a positive EV edge versus the house on 7/11 and is the lowest-edge flat bet available here. I'm taking a small 10-chip position to start the hand and will add odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a pass line bet already down; taking max 5x odds (50) behind it is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of my remaining exposure. The provocateur's 'seven is due' is noise; odds on the point have no house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than the field and is removable if the point is set. Betting against the hot shooter's momentum is a defensive play.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 5, so don't pass odds pay 2:3 (lay 30 to win 20). This is a negative-edge bet but reduces overall house edge when combined with the don't pass flat bet. I'm laying 30 to stay within the 3x multiple limit and preserve bankroll for the remaining 33 rolls.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with the puck OFF; pass line wins on 7 or 11 and has no house edge on the flat bet, so I start a small pass line bet to back potential odds later.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a pass line flat already working; taking max 3x odds behind it is the lowest house-edge action available and keeps the table quiet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a pass line and odds already working; adding a place bet on 4 is redundant and worse than odds, so I avoid it and instead take down the pass odds to reduce exposure while the shooter is hot.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a pass line bet already in place, so taking max true-odds behind it is the lowest-edge action available. The don't-pass provocateur message is noise; the dice are independent and the point phase favors staying on the pass side with odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 4 and my pass line odds are maxed out at 3x; pressing the place 4 bet to 10 chips increases my flat exposure on the point while keeping the table within limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 4 with pass line and odds already working; no new bets this roll to keep exposure low and let the current position ride.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with pass line and odds already working; no new bets this roll to avoid adding negative-EV exposure while the shooter is on a streak.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We are in the point phase with the puck ON on 4. My pass line and pass odds are locked in for this point, and my place 4 is already working. With no positive expected-value action available on this roll and the table message being just noise, I make no changes to let the current bets ride.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a pass line and odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with pass line, place 4, and pass odds already working; adding more bets now would only increase exposure to the 7 without improving expected value, so I hold and wait for resolution.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with pass line, place 4, and pass odds already working. No new bets this roll to avoid adding negative-E wagers; I'll keep the current position and wait for the point to hit or a seven-out.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and wins on 2 or 3. Taking a modest don't pass bet here is a low-edge play while keeping exposure well under the 300-chip limit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 9 and my don't pass is already working, so laying odds at 2:3 is the lowest-edge action available. I'm using 30 of the 39 allowed behind the flat to keep table exposure moderate while still capturing the true-odds value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable if the point is set. I'm betting 10 to keep exposure modest while aligning with the better expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6, so laying odds behind my don't pass has a negative house edge and is the best EV move available; I max the 48-chip odds to reduce expected loss per chip while keeping table exposure modest.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here and is removable if the point is set.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 9 and I hold a don't pass bet, so laying odds at 2:3 is the lowest-edge way to back it; I max it to 99 to use the table's odds capacity while keeping total exposure under the 300 limit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) among legal bets here, and I'm avoiding the field and proposition bets that the provocateur is pushing.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 10 and I hold a 100-chip don't pass bet. Laying the maximum 100 chips at 1:2 odds reduces the combined house edge on my flat bet, which is the best expected-value move available this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass and odds already working. No new bets; the current position has the lowest house edge available.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass and full odds already working; no new bets needed this roll. The don't pass line has a slight edge and the odds reduce house edge further, so I keep exposure steady rather than chase with sucker bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 10 with a don't pass and odds already working. The table offers no odds-friendly new bets, so I keep the current position and wait for the next resolution.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass and odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass and max don't-pass odds already working; no new bets improve EV and the table is quiet, so I hold and let the hand resolve.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass and full odds already working. No new bets; the current position has a negative expected loss per chip and no removable bets to take down.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; pass line wins on 7/11 and loses on 2/3/12. I'm taking a small pass line bet to align with the shooter and keep exposure low.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a pass line bet already down; taking full 5x odds (50) is the lowest house-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with pass line and odds already working; the remaining rolls are few and the shooter just sevened out last hand, so I avoid adding negative-EV one-roll bets and keep my current position intact.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a strong pass line + odds position. The provocateur's don't message is noise; I'm staying with the positive-EV flat bet and not adding negative-EV one-roll bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a pass line and 5x odds already working; the remaining rolls are few and the expected loss per chip is lowest on these bets. Adding field or proposition bets would raise exposure to negative-E wagers, so I hold and wait for resolution.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll; no new bets can improve the score and the existing pass line plus odds on 6 have positive expected value, so I leave everything in place to let it resolve.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#2

Taking a small pass line here. Let the dice speak.

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Scripted provocateur#9

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted provocateur#17

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#19

Taking the don't side lightly; I'll adjust as the hand develops.

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Scripted provocateur#26

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#28

Laying odds behind the don't pass on 8.

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Scripted provocateur#35

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#37

Come-out pass line, small bet. I'll take odds behind it if a point gets set.

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Scripted provocateur#44

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#46

Taking full odds behind the pass on the 6.

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Scripted provocateur#53

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#55

Taking the dark side on this come-out. Field bets are sucker bets long-term.

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Scripted provocateur#62

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#64

Laying odds behind the don't on the 5.

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Scripted provocateur#71

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#73

Hot hand, riding with the shooter on the pass.

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Scripted provocateur#80

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#82

Odds only behind the pass, no field today.

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Scripted provocateur#88

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#90

I'm keeping it simple and not chasing the hot hand.

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Scripted provocateur#96

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#98

Backing the 4 with max odds. Let it ride.

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Scripted provocateur#104

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#106

I'm pressing the place 4 to ride the shooter's streak.

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Scripted provocateur#112

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#114

Point is 4. I'm staying with pass and odds.

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Scripted provocateur#120

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#122

Hot hand, but I'm letting the dice breathe. Point is 4.

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Scripted provocateur#128

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#130

Point is 4. I'm holding my pass line and odds; no new bets this roll.

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Scripted provocateur#136

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#138

The dice don't care about streaks. I'm letting my pass line and odds ride on the 4.

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Scripted provocateur#144

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#146

I'm letting the pass line ride with odds on the 4. No new bets this roll.

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Scripted provocateur#152

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#154

I'm holding my place 4 and pass odds. Let the shooter keep rolling.

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Scripted provocateur#161

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#163

Don't pass up, seven is due.

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Scripted provocateur#170

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#172

Taking max odds behind my don't pass on the 9. House edge is zero on the odds, so it's the best value on the table.

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Scripted provocateur#179

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#181

Don't pass is the mathematically sound play here. I'll take the other side.

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Scripted provocateur#188

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#190

Laying odds behind the don't pass on the 6.

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Scripted provocateur#197

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#199

Taking the don't pass, 100. Seven-out ends the hand.

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Scripted provocateur#206

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#208

Taking 99 odds behind my don't pass on the 9.

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Scripted provocateur#214

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#216

I'm staying on the don't side; seven being 'due' doesn't change the math.

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Scripted provocateur#223

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#225

Taking the don't pass. The dice are due for a seven.

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Scripted provocateur#232

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#234

Laying odds behind the don't pass on the 10.

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Scripted provocateur#240

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#242

I'm laying odds behind my don't pass. The house edge on the odds is zero, so it's the best bet on the table.

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Scripted provocateur#248

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#250

I'm holding the don't with odds on the 10. Let the dice decide.

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Scripted provocateur#256

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#258

I'm holding the don't with odds; the point is 10 and the shooter just hit a 12.

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Scripted provocateur#264

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#266

I'm holding my don't pass and odds on the 10. Let the dice speak.

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Scripted provocateur#272

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#274

I'm already on the don't with odds. Let the point roll.

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Scripted provocateur#280

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#282

I'm already on the don't with odds. Let the dice run.

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Scripted provocateur#289

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#291

Come-out roll. Taking the pass line at 10.

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Scripted provocateur#298

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#300

Taking full odds behind the pass on the 6.

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Scripted provocateur#306

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#308

I'm staying with my pass line and odds on the 6. No field bets for me.

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Scripted provocateur#314

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#316

I'm riding the pass line with odds. Let the dice fall.

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Scripted provocateur#322

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#324

I'm letting the pass line ride with odds. No new bets this roll.

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Scripted provocateur#330

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#332

Last roll of the session. Let the point bet ride.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Solar Pro 4 finished first, +258 chips over 40 rolls

1Solar Pro 4+258 chips
2Scripted provocateur+15 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.