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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:54 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

KJo is K5o+ in the published optimal 4x preflop table, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

6-7 offsuit is below the optimal 4x/3x raising range (33+, any ace, strong K/Q/J hands), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Weak 7-high with only backdoor flush and straight draws, not a 4-flush or open-ended draw worth a 2x raise; checking keeps the free card and optimal river option.

Model's stated reason

We have an 8-high straight; dealer can only beat it with two spades or two hearts for a flush (90 of 990 holdings), ties with 6-7, and loses otherwise, so raising has far higher EV than folding.

Model's stated reason

A5 offsuit is any ace, which is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising range.

Model's stated reason

Q7 offsuit is below the published 4x raising threshold of Q8o+, so checking to see the flop preserves EV over committing 3x or 4x preflop.

Model's stated reason

Flopped top pair of queens on a dry 9-6-Q rainbow board, which is well ahead of a random dealer hand and strong enough that the extra 2x play bet has positive expectation over checking to a 1x river bet.

Model's stated reason

9-5 offsuit is below the optimal 4x/3x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves option to raise later with more information.

Model's stated reason

With 9-high, no pair and only weak runner-runner straight possibilities on 7d-Jc-2s, raising 2x has poor equity. Checking keeps the cheaper 1x river option if the hand improves.

Model's stated reason

We have two pair, nines and twos with a jack kicker on a paired board. Dealer only beats us with a two, jack, high-kicker nine, big pocket pair, or 8-T for a straight, roughly 28% of holdings, so raising 1x is far better than folding.

Model's stated reason

6-2 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo+ etc.), so checking preserves the option to raise later with more information.

Model's stated reason

Weak 6-2 with only a backdoor diamond draw on 9d-Th-3d; raising 2x has negative expectation versus checking free and re-evaluating on the river.

Model's stated reason

Board pair of 3s with Q-T-9 kickers means my 6-2 can never win, only tie when dealer has two unpaired low non-diamond cards below 9; that is about 191/990, below the 1/3 tie rate needed to justify the 1x raise.

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise later with more information.

Model's stated reason

J-high with only a gutshot to a straight has well under 50% showdown equity, so a 2x raise has negative expected value. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve and fold if I miss.

Model's stated reason

Pair of 5s wins against 437 of 990 dealer holdings and ties 6, giving a raise EV of about -10.9 chips versus -20 chips for folding.

Model's stated reason

AQ offsuit is an ace hand in the published optimal 4x preflop table, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Qd Td is queen-ten suited, which falls within the published optimal 4x range of Q6s or better preflop. Raising 4x maximizes expected value with this strong suited broadway hand.

Model's stated reason

J9 offsuit is below the published 4x threshold of JTo or J8 suited, so raising preflop is negative EV. Check to see the flop for free.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of Jacks with a 9 kicker plus backdoor flush and straight draws has strong equity against a random dealer hand, so raising 2x now puts more money in while ahead than checking to a 1x river decision.

Model's stated reason

6-7 offsuit is outside the optimal preflop 4x raising range (33+, any ace, strong K/Q/J hands), so checking preserves option to raise 2x on flop or 1x/fold on river.

Model's stated reason

With only a low pair of 7s on a K-T-7 board, no flush or open-ended straight draw, and many dealer holdings ahead, equity is too low to commit 2x now; checking preserves the option to raise 1x on a favorable river or fold.

Model's stated reason

Pair of 7s wins against many high-card and lower-pair dealer hands; raising 1x loses only 10 extra when beaten but can win 10-20, giving about -8 chips EV versus -20 for folding.

Model's stated reason

J7 offsuit is below the optimal 4x threshold of JTo or J8s+ and is not a pair, ace, or qualifying king/queen hand, so checking preserves EV to evaluate the flop.

Model's stated reason

Weak jack-high with only backdoor flush and two-card straight draws on a K-Q board; checking preserves the cheaper 1x river option if the runout improves.

Model's stated reason

Ace-high J-7 beats 332 of 990 dealer holdings, ties 9, and loses to 649; raising nets about -16.1 chips versus -20 for folding, since wins against non-qualifying dealer hands pay the play bet while the ante and blind push.

Model's stated reason

J9 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo+), so checking to see the flop preserves EV over committing 3x/4x.

Model's stated reason

J-high with no pair and no meaningful draw on a king-high flop has low equity against a random dealer hand, so raising 2x is negative EV. Checking keeps the hand alive cheaply for optimal 1x river play if it improves.

Model's stated reason

Pair of 9s on a four-heart board wins against non-heart high-card and lower-pair dealer hands often enough that the 1x raise EV, about -1.24 antes, is better than folding for -2 antes.

Model's stated reason

4c5c suited is below the published 4x range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking to see the flop cheaply maximizes EV over raising.

Model's stated reason

Flopped two pair, kings and fours, ahead of most dealer holdings without a king, a four, or a higher pocket pair, and the paired board means the dealer always qualifies, so raising 2x maximizes value from this made hand.

Model's stated reason

Ad Jd is suited ace-high, which falls in the published optimal 4x range of any ace preflop. Raising 4x maximizes value with this strong holding.

Model's stated reason

9s5h offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves option to raise 2x on flop or 1x/fold on river.

Model's stated reason

Top pair on the flop has strong equity against a random dealer hand, enough to justify committing the 2x raise now rather than risking only 1x on the river.

Model's stated reason

K4 offsuit is just below the published 4x threshold of K5o+, so raising preflop is not profitable; checking preserves flop 2x and river 1x options at lower risk.

Model's stated reason

King-high with only backdoor flush and backdoor Broadway draws on Q-T-3 is too weak to commit 2x on the flop; checking preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

King-high on Q-T-9-8 board only beats unpaired low dealer holdings and ties some K-low hands, while any pair, straight with a Jack, or Ace-high beats it; the raise EV is below the -2 ante fold cost.

Model's stated reason

ATo is an ace hand, which is in the published optimal 4x preflop range, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

T4 offsuit is below the published 4x raising range (33+, any ace, strong K/Q/J hands), so checking to see the flop for free is optimal.

Model's stated reason

With ten-high, no pair, no flush draw and only weak runner-runner straight possibilities on the 5-6-J flop, raising 2x has negative expected value. Checking is free and preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river with full information.

Model's stated reason

Ace-high with a ten kicker wins only against lower unpaired dealer hands and ties with ten plus low card; most dealer holdings make a qualifying pair or better, giving raising a worse expected value than folding.

Model's stated reason

9-5 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo+), so checking preserves option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or fold later.

Model's stated reason

9d5h on 3h4dTs is only nine-high with a weak gutshot and no flush draw, well below a profitable 2x flop raise. Checking preserves the cheaper 1x river decision after seeing both remaining cards.

Model's stated reason

With only a pair of tens and J-9-5 kickers, exact enumeration gives about 146 wins and 9 ties in 990 dealer holdings, below the threshold needed for a 1x raise versus folding.

Model's stated reason

J2 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or fold later.

Model's stated reason

J-high with no pair and only a backdoor straight draw on an ace-high flop is too weak to commit 2x; checking preserves the cheaper 1x river decision if we improve.

Model's stated reason

With only ace-high J-9-8-7, most dealer holdings make a pair or a better high card; exact enumeration gives about -22.2 chips for raising versus -20 for folding.

Model's stated reason

2s5s is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or fold later.

Model's stated reason

Four spades give a flush draw, but with only Jack-high and low hole cards showdown equity is well below half. Checking sees the turn and river free and preserves the cheaper 1x river raise when the draw completes, rather than committing 2x while behind.

Model's stated reason

I have a Jack-high flush on a paired board. Only 56 of 990 dealer holdings beat it (two spades for a higher flush, or a 4/board-rank combination for a full house or quads), so raising 1x has far higher EV than folding.

Model's stated reason

J2 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo, any ace, etc.), so checking preserves optionality to raise on the flop or river.

Model's stated reason

With only ace-high jack kicker on an ace board and weak runner-runner club/straight draws, equity is far too low to commit 2x with no fold equity. Checking preserves the option to fold cheaply or raise 1x on the river only if improved.

Model's stated reason

Pair of Jacks on this board beats most random dealer holdings, including Ace-high and smaller pairs, and the exact river equity makes raising 1x far better than folding the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

QJo meets the published optimal 4x preflop table (Q8o+), so raising 4x maximizes expected value over checking or a smaller raise.

Model's stated reason

8-4 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range of pairs 33+, any ace, and strong king/queen/jack hands. Checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x/fold on the river with more information.

Model's stated reason

With only the board pair of tens and an 8 kicker on Td7hTs, my equity against a random dealer hand is far too low to commit a 2x raise. Checking is free and preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river after seeing the full board.

Model's stated reason

On the river I have two pair, tens and fours, which beats a dealer holding only the board pair of tens. Exact enumeration gives about a 66% win rate, well above the ~20% needed to justify a 1x raise over folding.

Model's stated reason

A7o is an ace hand, which is in the published optimal preflop 4x raising range (any ace). Raising 4x maximizes expected value versus checking.

Model's stated reason

98o is below the published 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river with more information.

Model's stated reason

Only the board pair of sixes with 9-8 kickers and no flush or open-ended draw; raising 2x risks extra chips with a weak, easily out-kicked hand, while checking lets me improve to two pair or a straight and fold on the river if unimproved.

Model's stated reason

On the river I have only a pair of sixes with A-K-9 kickers. Exact equity is slightly below the threshold for a 1x raise, with an expected loss worse than folding and surrendering the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

T2 suited is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves option to raise 2x or 1x with more information.

Model's stated reason

With only an open-ended straight draw and backdoor flush draw on the flop, checking preserves the option to raise 1x on the river when the draw completes and fold for just the ante and blind when it misses, which is better than committing 2x now with modest equity.

Model's stated reason

Jack-high with a ten kicker wins only against a small range of dealer high-card hands, ties few, and loses to any pair or higher kicker; raising 1x has much worse expected value than folding and losing the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preserves EV by seeing the flop without committing extra chips.

Model's stated reason

J5 on a T44 board is only the board pair with a jack kicker, losing to most high kickers, tens, and pocket pairs, with no flush or straight draw. Checking preserves the option to raise 1x only if the runout improves the hand, rather than committing 2x now.

Model's stated reason

Board pair means dealer always qualifies. I win with low unpaired dealer cards (~220/990), tie ~69/990, giving raise EV about -16.8 chips versus -20 for folding, so raising 1x is better.

Model's stated reason

K3 offsuit is below the K5o+ threshold for an optimal preflop 4x raise, so checking preserves the option to raise later at lower cost.

Model's stated reason

King-high with no spade and only runner-runner straight potential on a monotone 4-5-9 flop is too weak to raise 2x; checking preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Pair of Kings with Ace kicker wins against about 454 of 990 dealer holdings, ties 10, and raising expects about -9 chips versus -20 for folding, so raising 1x is better.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Session result: -120 chips over 30 hands

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