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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Bet don't pass with a stake that allows maximum odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't-pass point-6 bet. Free odds carry zero house edge, improving odds utilization without adding expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative house edge, so the optimal chip-maximizing action is to place no bet and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with a small stake to allow maximum odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 4; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Keeping the existing dont_pass and max laid odds on 4; no new bets because additional wagers carry negative house edge and no further odds capacity is available.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available flat bets (1.36%). Stake 20 allows the maximum 5x odds on 6/8 within the 100-chip per-bet cap, maximizing odds utilization if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Adding full laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 4 has zero house edge and improves odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass with max 3x odds on point 4 is the lowest house edge available; no additional bets improve EV per chip.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 4; the flat bet is in a favorable conditional position and the odds are already at the maximum with zero house edge. No new negative-EV bets are warranted.

Model's stated reason

Add dont_come and come, the lowest house edge available bets, to increase action while maintaining favorable odds. Existing dont_pass and odds are kept.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) among available bets; staking the minimum preserves bankroll while allowing maximum odds later for zero house edge.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 9; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

Bet the don't pass line for the lowest house edge among available flat bets, planning to add laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with a small flat stake to minimize house edge and allow full odds utilization if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Maximizing zero-house-edge laid odds behind the existing don't pass point of 6 improves odds utilization without adding negative-EV flat bets.

Model's stated reason

No new bets. The existing don't pass and laid odds on 6 are already favorable/zero EV, and no additional odds are allowed. All other available bets carry a negative house edge, so adding them would reduce expected value.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 6; the point 6 gives the don't pass a positive conditional expectation, and no additional odds are allowed.

Model's stated reason

Placing the lowest house edge flat bet (don't pass) on the come-out to set up for max odds later, minimizing EV loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass point is 5, so I add the maximum 3x laid odds behind it. Odds are zero-house-edge and improve odds utilization without adding a negative-EV flat bet.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available flat bets (1.36% with bar 12), and it positions me to add zero-edge laid odds once a point is established, maximizing odds utilization while minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 6. Odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without increasing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available; the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 6 already have favorable conditional EV and near-max odds utilization, so adding any negative-EV bet would only reduce expected chips.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing dont_pass and laid odds on point 6, which are now in a favorable conditional position. Adding any other available bet would carry a higher house edge and increase expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) and allows laying odds later to reduce ev_loss_per_chip and increase odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add the maximum laid odds behind my existing don't pass 6. Odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization; the flat bet is already favorably positioned on a 6 point.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: every available wager has a negative house edge, and no additional odds can be added (max_odds_stake for dont_pass_odds is 0). Keeping the existing dont_pass and laid odds avoids adding EV loss.

Model's stated reason

Betting the minimum on Don't Pass to establish a point with the lowest house edge, enabling future zero-edge odds bets while minimizing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 9; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available; the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 9 are favorable/fair, so I keep them and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Place multiple small don't come bets to maximize odds utilization later, as don't come has the lowest house edge among available flat bets and can be backed with true odds.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum zero-house-edge odds behind the existing don't come 6 to improve odds utilization without adding negative EV.

Model's stated reason

Current dont_come_6 flat with 48 odds already provides high odds utilization (82.7% of chips). Adding a new flat bet would increase the average house edge because the exposure limit prevents adding enough odds to dilute it below the current average, and there is a 22% chance of immediate loss on the come-out. No new bets is optimal for ev_loss_per_chip.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among available bets and allows adding laid odds later to reduce ev_loss_per_chip and increase odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind my existing don't come 8, which has zero house edge and improves odds utilization without adding any new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass offers the lowest house edge among legal come-out bets (1.36%). If a point is established, I plan to add maximum odds next roll to reduce overall expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 10; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without increasing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing dont_pass and dont_pass_odds on point 10; no new bets because all available bets carry a negative house edge and no additional odds capacity is available.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) among available bets on the come-out. I stake the minimum 1 chip to minimize expected loss while preserving the option to add laid odds if a point is established on the next roll.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: all available bets have negative expected value, and no odds are available behind the existing don't pass bet. Keeping the favorable don't pass bet on point 8.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -161 chips over 40 rolls

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