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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

T8 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (needs K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+ or JTo), so I check and see the flop without committing a big raise.

Model's stated reason

I have only ace-high (board ace, Ts kicker) with no pair and no strong draw. That is below the flop raise threshold, so I check and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

The dealer always qualifies because the board is paired, so a loss costs 30 against a 20 win. Folding loses a certain 20, so raising is better as long as my win chance is above roughly 15%. My pair of fives with an ace, ten and eight is a weak hand, but I estimate it still clears that bar.

Model's stated reason

Pocket fives fall inside the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise is correct. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.

Model's stated reason

8-5 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, etc.), so I check preflop and see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.

Model's stated reason

I hold an open-ended straight draw with no made hand on a king-high board, and my equity against the dealer is below even. Checking keeps the cheaper river decision (raise 1x or fold) available once I see the outcome.

Model's stated reason

I have a pair of fives with K-T-8 kickers. Folding loses 20 for certain, and a river raise has a clearly better expected value because the dealer often fails to qualify or holds a weaker hand.

Model's stated reason

K9 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so a 4x preflop raise is the highest-EV play. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.

Model's stated reason

3-9 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, etc.), so I check and look at the flop, where I can raise 2x with a pair or strong draw or check again.

Model's stated reason

Ace-high with a 9 kicker, no pair and no real draw, is too weak to put 2x on the flop. Checking keeps the option to fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

I hold a pair of threes. By my count the dealer beats me in about 58% of holdings, so raising has an EV of roughly -13.4 chips against -20 for folding, and raising loses less.

Model's stated reason

Pocket jacks are well inside the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the highest expected value. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.

Model's stated reason

9h6h is outside the optimal 4x raise range (suited 9s fall below J8s+), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river.

Model's stated reason

I hold a pair of sixes (nines kicker) on the flop. Standard Casino Hold'em flop strategy raises 2x with a pair or better, even with three clubs on board and none in my hand.

Model's stated reason

Q4 offsuit falls outside the 4x raise range (Q8o+ or Q6s+ is needed), so I check and see the flop for a cheaper decision. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of queens on the flop is a standard 2x raise in Casino Hold'em. It usually beats the dealer, though the weak 4 kicker and the three-diamond board add some risk.

Model's stated reason

T3 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop.

Model's stated reason

Tc 3d on a 6d 4s Qs flop is just ten-high with no pair and no real draw, so a 2x raise is not justified. Checking keeps the option to raise or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

The board is paired, so the dealer always qualifies, and my queens with a ten kicker lose to many holdings. Raising 1x risks 10 more chips, and it beats folding (-20) unless I lose more than about 85% of the time, which is far above my estimated 60-70%.

Model's stated reason

J4 offsuit is outside the published 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check and see the flop rather than put 3x or 4x on a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

Jack-high with no pair and only two-card straight draws on a Q-T-7 flop is not strong enough to put 2x more at risk, so I check and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

The board pair of queens means the dealer always qualifies. My queens with a J kicker lose to any dealer ace or king, trips, or two pair, which is about 70% of holdings, so the extra 10-chip raise has negative EV.

Model's stated reason

3-5 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x range, so I check and see the flop for free, keeping the option to raise 2x on a good flop or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

3d5h on a Kc 7d 8s flop has no pair and only weak draws (a gutshot-type 4 makes a 4-5 straight draw with 6 needed too), so a 2x raise is negative EV; checking keeps the option to raise or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

My hand is just the board pair of 8s, so I can only tie or lose; the dealer always qualifies. I estimate the dealer improves in about 66% of cases, so raising costs about -19.8 chips on average versus -20 for folding, a marginal edge.

Model's stated reason

Ace-queen offsuit falls inside the published optimal 4x range (any ace), so the maximum preflop raise has the best expected value. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.

Model's stated reason

2d Tc is a weak offsuit hand, well outside the optimal 4x range (T2o is not in it), so checking keeps risk low and lets me see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.

Model's stated reason

The board pair of nines means the dealer always qualifies, and my ten kicker loses to any dealer ace, king, queen or jack, pocket pair or three. A 2x raise is clearly negative EV, so I check and decide again on the river.

Model's stated reason

The board pair of nines means the dealer always qualifies, and I hold nines with J-T-8 kickers. I estimate about a 45% win chance, while raising only beats folding if I win more than 20% of the time, so I raise.

Model's stated reason

Ace-King offsuit is well inside the published optimal 4x range (any ace), so raising 4x maximizes expected value against the house dealer.

Model's stated reason

4-6 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check and see the flop, where I can raise 2x with a made hand or draw, or fall back to the river decision.

Model's stated reason

4d6c on a 3d Qh Jd flop is only six-high with weak backdoor draws, well below the threshold for a 2x raise, so I check and see the river.

Model's stated reason

I have a pair of sixes with K-Q-J on the board, so the dealer beats me often, but folding costs 2 antes for certain. A rough estimate puts raising at about -0.8 antes, which beats -2.

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x preflop range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check and see the flop before deciding on a raise.

Model's stated reason

A pair of jacks on a 4-3-J flop is well ahead of the dealer's range, and the pair is a clear 2x raise on the flop. Chat is off, so the table message stays empty.

Model's stated reason

A3o is an ace-high hand, and the published optimal 4x table includes any ace, so a 4x preflop raise is the reference play.

Model's stated reason

KJo is inside the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so raising 4x preflop maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Q6 offsuit falls outside the optimal 4x range (Q6s+ or Q8o+), so I check and see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high with no pair or strong draw on a K-8-5 board is a weak holding against a dealer who only needs a pair to qualify, so I check and keep the option of a 1x raise or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

I hold a pair of eights with K-Q-J kickers on a paired board. Folding loses 20 chips for sure, while raising wins more often than it loses and has an EV near break-even, so raising is clearly better.

Model's stated reason

2c Ts is an offsuit T2, well outside the 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo, T-high is not included), and a 3x raise would risk too much with a weak hand. Checking keeps the flop raise option open.

Model's stated reason

I hold only king-high with a 2-high flush draw, which loses to any dealer club if I hit. A 2x raise here has negative expectation, so I check and keep the river option.

Model's stated reason

I hold an ace-high flush with the 2c, and only a dealer holding one of the 8 remaining clubs beats it, about 33% of the time. That makes the 1x raise clearly better than folding.

Model's stated reason

Q2 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x range (Q8o+ needed), so I check and keep the flop and river options open.

Model's stated reason

My pair of 4s with an A-Q kicker beats the dealer only about 50% of the time. The dealer always qualifies on the board pair, and any pair, A, K, Q or 4 in their hand beats me. Raising 2x risks 20 more at a negative EV of about -4.8 chips, so I check and keep the river decision.

Model's stated reason

Aces and fours with a queen kicker beats about 46% of dealer hands and ties about 8%. Raising 1x has an EV of roughly -4.6 chips, which is much better than the -20 chips from folding.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop range for Casino Hold'em, so A6 offsets the larger raise with a strong enough edge against the dealer.

Model's stated reason

7c4c is a weak suited hand outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and see the flop at no extra cost before deciding on a 2x raise.

Model's stated reason

7c4c is only a four-flush draw (about 35% to complete) with no pair on an A-Q-9 board. Raising 2x would risk 40 on a miss, versus losing only 20 by folding the river, so checking and deciding on the river is higher EV.

Model's stated reason

I have a club flush (A-Q-7-6-4) on the river. Only a dealer holding a higher club, such as the Kc, beats it, so raising 1x is clearly +EV.

Model's stated reason

9-8 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so I check preflop and see the flop, where a 2x raise is still available.

Model's stated reason

8-9 with J-T-7 on the board makes a made straight (7-8-9-T-J) on the flop, which is far ahead of most dealer holdings. The 2x raise is clearly +EV, and the straight also pays 1:1 on the blind if it wins.

Model's stated reason

Pocket sevens are in the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

Q7 offsuit falls outside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+ is the cutoff), so I check preflop and see the flop before deciding on a raise.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high with no pair and no meaningful draw on a 9-5-4 flop is below the 2x raise threshold, so I check and decide again on the river.

Model's stated reason

I have only queen-high on a board with no pair and a three-heart flush draw. The dealer qualifies and beats me roughly two-thirds of the time, and most non-qualifying dealer hands still hold ace or king high. A raise has an EV of about -24 chips against -20 for folding.

Model's stated reason

KQo is in the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so raising 4x preflop maximizes expected value; chat is off, so the message is empty.

Model's stated reason

5s6s is outside the published optimal 4x preflop range (33+, any ace, K2s+, K5o+, Q6s+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so I check and see the flop for a possible 2x raise or a river decision.

Model's stated reason

I hold four spades (5s 6s 7s plus Ts on board) and an 8 would make a straight. That is about 12 strong outs, plus pairing the board for dealer-beating pairs, so a 2x raise on the flop has positive expectation.

Model's stated reason

T9 offsuit is outside the published 4x raise range (J8s+ or JTo; Q8o+ for queens), and a 3x raise is not clearly better. Checking keeps the risk low, and I can still raise on the flop if the board helps.

Model's stated reason

Top two pair (tens and nines) on the flop is a strong made hand that beats most dealer holdings, so raising 2x has clearly positive expected value.

Model's stated reason

9-5 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and see the flop for free, keeping the option to raise 2x there if it connects.

Model's stated reason

9c5d on a 6d Qc Ac flop has no pair, only a backdoor flush draw with the 9c, so it is far too weak to put 2x more at risk. Checking keeps the option to fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

I hold only ace-high (A K Q 9 7) on a board with no pair and no straight for me. The dealer qualifies in about 60% of holdings and beats me nearly every time. Counting dealer holdings, raising has an EV of about -21 chips against -20 for folding, so I fold.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat off

Chat is off for this match.

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Session result: -75 chips over 30 hands

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