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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no point yet. Pass line and don't pass are both 1:1 with low house edge, and I'm taking both to keep variance low while staying within the 300-chip exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass flat bet already on; laying odds behind it at 1:2 has no house edge and diversifies my table against the pass line.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with pass/don't pass both active; don't pass odds already cover the 7-out side, so I'm staying flat and not adding new bets this roll.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll and come-out bets, so I place the maximum allowed to anchor the hand.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll flat bets and is removable, so I take the full 100-chip limit to minimize expected loss per chip while keeping flexibility.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 and I hold a $100 don't pass bet, so laying $96 in odds (the 5:6 inverse at the 5x cap) is the lowest-house-edge action available and uses most of my remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a don't pass and max laid odds already working; no new bets this roll to preserve low house-edge exposure and avoid unnecessary risk.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the 1:1 don't pass bet at max stake.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a 100 don't pass already down. Laying odds at 2:3 (99 chips) is the best negative-EV hedge available and uses most of the remaining exposure. No other bets improve EV.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal one-roll bets here and wins on 2 or 3, so I take the full 100.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible bets here, so I take the full 100 on pass line and keep the table empty otherwise.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 100 pass line bet; laying the maximum 100 in pass odds (true odds 6:5) is the lowest-edge action available and uses the remaining exposure efficiently.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a maxed pass line and odds; odds max is 0 so no additional odds are allowed. With no legal way to add value and no removable bets to take down, the best decision is to hold and let the existing bets run.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a maxed pass line and odds already working; no new bets are needed this roll. I will keep the existing bets in place and wait for the point to repeat or a seven-out.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; pass line has the lowest house edge among allowed bets, so I start a small pass line wager to keep expected loss per chip minimal.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge on the come-out (wins on 7/11, loses on 2/3/12), so I place a full 100-chip pass line bet to maximize expected value and keep exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll come-out bets (bar 12 push), so I take the full 100-unit stake to minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible bets and wins on 7 or 11. Betting the maximum 100 chips here uses exposure efficiently and sets up potential odds behind the point if one is established.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF and no point set. Pass line is the lowest-house-edge flat bet (1.41%) and wins on 7 or 11. I place the maximum allowed 100 to capitalize on the shooter's recent natural streak while staying within the 300 total exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a $100 pass line bet; laying max 5x true odds (100) behind it minimizes house edge on this hand.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a maxed pass line and odds bet already on; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a maxed pass line and odds already on; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with pass line and max odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a maxed pass line and odds; odds max is 0 so no additional action is allowed. Standing pat preserves the favorable position without risking illegal moves.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with pass line and max odds already working; no new bets needed to keep exposure low and let the hand resolve.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with pass line and odds already working; no new bets needed this roll to avoid adding negative-EV exposure while the point is live.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll come-out bets and is removable if the point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass already working. The flat bet has a small edge and the remaining exposure is 200, so I add 96 don't pass odds (multiple of 6) to back it at true odds and reduce expected loss per chip. No other bets are placed.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest house-edge bet (1.36%) and is removable, so I take the full 100 now and can reduce later if needed.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100 chip don't pass bet; laying 96 in odds at 5:6 has zero house edge and is the best use of remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass and max don't pass odds already working; no new bets are placed to avoid adding negative-EV exposure on this hand.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible bets and wins on 7 or 11. Betting the maximum 100 uses exposure efficiently while keeping the table clean for potential odds later.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a pass line bet already down; laying max pass odds (100, within the 5x/100 cap) is the lowest-edge action available and uses the remaining exposure efficiently.

Model's stated reason

Taking down the 100 pass odds bet reduces exposure on a 7-out and frees 100 chips; with only 7 rolls left I prefer to keep the table light rather than add new bets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a pass line bet already down. Adding the maximum allowed pass odds (100, multiple of 5) behind the flat bet gives a true-odds bet with zero house edge, which is the best EV move available on this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a full pass line and odds already working; no new bets are needed this roll. I will keep the table quiet and let the existing bets ride.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with pass line and max odds already working; no new bets needed with only 4 rolls left.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a pass line and 100 odds already working. With only 3 rolls left, no new bets are needed; the existing bets will resolve on the next decision roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with 2 rolls left; pass line and odds are already locked in. No legal odds removal available, so I leave the hand to resolve naturally.

Model's stated reason

This is the final roll of the session, so I want to lock in a decision with the lowest house edge available. Don't pass has a house edge of about 1.36%, which is better than the pass line and far better than proposition bets. I'm betting the maximum allowed to maximize expected value on this last roll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +120 chips over 40 rolls

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