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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching +500 in 20 spins requires a long-shot; a single 35:1 straight-up with stake 20 pays 700 on a hit, enough to reach the target while limiting losses over the session.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching 1500 needs +520 in 19 spins, which outside bets can't realistically deliver, so I'm using straight-ups sized so that one hit reaches the target while keeping the per-spin cost low enough to survive many spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need +580 from 920 in 18 spins, so I use a bold play: 9 straight-ups at 22 each (198 total) wins +594 on a hit, which reaches 1500, at about 23.7% per spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching 1500 needs +778 in 17 spins, so I use straight-up bets sized so a single hit (net +792) reaches the target while keeping the cost per miss modest enough to allow many tries.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Needing +850 from 650, only a straight-up hit (35:1) with a stake of about 25 or more can reach the target, so I spread straight bets across spins to maximize the chance of at least one hit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Needing +902 from 598, six straight-ups at 31 each (186 total) reach 1528 on any single hit (about 15.8% per spin), which beats grinding with outside bets given the 15 spins left.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching 1500 from 412 needs a big win, and a 32-chip straight-up hit pays 1,120, enough to reach the target. Each spin risks about one number's worth of chips, which gives the most chances to hit before the bankroll runs out.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +1120 from 380 chips, so I spread 37 chips on each of 5 straight-ups (185 total). Any hit brings me to 1527 or more, a 5/38 chance on this spin, and no outside bet can reach the target in one spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need about 7.7x my bankroll in 12 spins, so I'm taking a high-variance shot. Four straight-ups at 41 chips each (10.5% to hit) reach at least 1,500 on a win, and the remaining 31 chips stay in reserve.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 31 chips and a 1500 target, only a straight-up hit (36x) can plausibly get there, so I put the full 31 on one number. A hit gives 1116, and from there the 200-chip spin cap leaves a decent chance to finish.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet ids or max stake available, so the only legal action is to place no bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and the legal bet list is empty with max stake 0, so no bet is possible; skipping is the only legal action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and the legal bet list is empty with max total stake 0, so no bet is possible and the only legal action is to skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and legal bet list is empty with max total stake 0, so no bet is possible; skipping is the only legal action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and legal_bet_ids is empty with max_total_stake 0, so no bet is legal; the fallback is no_bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and legal_bet_ids is empty with max_total_stake 0, so no bet is legal. The only legal action is to place no bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and the legal bet list is empty with max total stake 0, so no bet is possible and the only legal action is to skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and legal_bet_ids is empty with max total stake 0, so no bet is legal; the fallback is no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and legal_bet_ids is empty with max_total_stake 0, so no bet is legal; the fallback is no_bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and no legal bets are available (max total stake is 0), so the only legal action is to place no bet.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted Provocateur finished first, -900 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 100-900 chips
2Claude Sonnet 5.5Target reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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