Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC
1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Starting a new session with a conservative pass line bet. This is a foundational low-edge bet (1.4% house edge) that establishes position for odds backing on come-out roll. With 40 hands total and full bankroll, building a balanced strategy starting with pass is solid fundamental play.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5. I have 10 chips on pass line and 290 exposure remaining. Adding 40 chips in pass odds at 3:2 true odds is optimal value—maximizes my positive expected value by leveraging the best odds available, well within table limits.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with pass/odds already working. I'm adding a come bet (10 chips) to generate more action and additional point opportunities, then placing 6 and 8 (12 chips each, the maximum multiples for whole-chip payouts) as they are the strongest place bets with 7:6 payoff. This builds a balanced layout while staying well within the 250-chip exposure cushion (50 on table + 38 new = 88 total).
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with good coverage via pass_odds. Adding a come bet builds controlled additional action while staying within exposure limits (226 chips available, new bet uses 10). This diversifies win paths and maintains positive EV strategy focusing on odds-heavy play.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with established position. Adding a come bet diversifies coverage and place_6 (7:6 payout) is good value. Current exposure is 72 chips; new bets add 22 for 94 total, well within 300 limit and maximizing action on favorable point phase.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new hand on a come-out roll. Pass line is the foundational bet with a -1.4% house edge. With 35 rolls remaining and 930 chips, a modest 10-chip stake allows room to add come bets and odds once a point is established, which offers better value than one-roll proposition bets.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll on a new hand after a seven-out. Placing a modest pass line bet (10 chips) to establish position and control the roll sequence. Bankroll is healthy at 940, and this conservative opening preserves capital for follow-up bets once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8. I have $50 max odds available behind my pass line bet; adding 50 chips of pass odds (5x on 8) improves my expected return. Place 6 and 8 (12 chips each) are the best place bets with lowest house edge (~1.4%), and they cover the 6 and 8 which are the most likely numbers after 7. This uses 74 of my 290 chips remaining exposure and balances risk with solid EV.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with 32 rolls remaining. Added come bet (10 chips) to establish another point and diversify. Added place 6 (12 chips, minimum stake) as a secondary number with better 7:6 payoff than place 8. Current exposure is 72 chips; adding 22 keeps total at 94 with 228 remaining exposure room.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll on a new hand after a natural win. Betting 10 on pass line to establish a point and continue playing. The place_6 bet remains off and will activate once a point is set. With 31 rolls remaining and solid bankroll position, establishing a new point is standard strategy.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 (established on roll 10). I have pass_line on 5, come_8 on 8, and place_6 on 6. Adding a come bet for 10 chips continues my aggressive come strategy while staying well under exposure limits (268 remaining). The point phase offers positive opportunities through come bets.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll, establish the pass line with a solid 10-chip bet, removing the place_6 which was off-roll anyway to consolidate exposure. This keeps us aggressive with positive expectation bets while maintaining bankroll discipline with 29 rolls remaining.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9; I have pass line backed up with odds, and two come bets working on 5 and 8. Adding 20 in pass odds (2x multiplier on 9) leverages favorable odds. Fresh come bet adds coverage on the point phase with good risk-reward as a 7 could end the hand. Conservative approach with 28 rolls remaining.
Model's stated reason
Adding maximum odds behind my three come bets (8, 5, and 4) to improve payout on point repeats. With 27 rolls remaining and solid position, maximizing true odds on established points is the highest EV play.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 26 decisions remaining and a bankroll of 868, I'm establishing a basic pass line bet. This is a favorable position to start a new hand with a standard foundation bet. The pass line has the best odds available (1.414% house edge) and positions me to either win immediately on a 7 or 11, or establish a point with the option to take odds if the point is set.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9. Adding full pass odds (100 chips at 3:2 true odds for 9) to back my pass line bet, maximizing expected value. Adding place bets on 6 and 8 (30 each) to cover other frequent point hits with positive EV, staying well under the 250 exposure limit.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with pass line and odds already in play. Place bets on 6 and 8 are working and complement the pass line nicely by covering the most likely non-7 outcomes. No changes needed - maintain position.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with $270 on table. Adding a come bet ($30) leverages the current point and builds on existing pass line position while staying within exposure limits ($300 max, only $30 available). This adds positive EV and diversifies across multiple point numbers in the point phase.
Model's stated reason
I'm at my 300 chip exposure limit with point 9 on the board. The pass line (50 chips) is strong but the 100-chip odds bet, 60-chip place 6, and 60-chip place 8 are at risk to a seven. With only 21 rolls remaining and needing to manage variance, removing the high-stakes odds and place bets frees up capital while keeping my core pass line bet working toward the point.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 20 decisions remaining and 270 chips exposure available, I establish a new pass line bet (50 chips) while simultaneously backing my existing come bet on 5 with the maximum allowed odds (60 chips at 3:2 true odds). This optimizes value by taking full advantage of the high-odds payoff available on the 5-point.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with point of 5 still pending. Placing 50 chips on pass line (come-out only) for a clean new bet while the pending come_5 resolves. This preserves exposure at 90 currently on table plus new 50 = 140 chips committed, leaving 160 available with remaining exposure of 210.
Model's stated reason
Placing a modest pass line bet on come-out roll to establish a point. With 18 rolls remaining and conservative bankroll management, a 15-chip bet balances opportunity against risk while maintaining exposure discipline.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new come-out roll after a natural on the previous roll. Pass line is the fundamental bet with the best house edge (-1.4%) and no removal restrictions. Betting 10 chips as a baseline position while preserving bankroll for potential odds opportunities once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
With point 10 established, I'm taking maximum 3x odds (30 chips) behind my 10-unit pass line bet to gain better expected value on a favorable point. I'm also placing a come bet to build multiple winning opportunities during the point phase while maintaining exposure control with 16 rolls remaining.
Model's stated reason
With point 10 established and a come bet already on 8, I'm adding another come bet (10 chips) with maximum odds (50 chips) on the 8 to leverage true odds. This diversifies my directional exposure across multiple points while staying well within table limits (250 exposure remaining).
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 14 rolls remaining and a bankroll of 813, I'm starting a new hand with a minimal pass line bet of 10 chips to establish the point and begin building position for odds bets, which have excellent expected value. The low stake manages risk early while preserving capital for strong opportunities ahead.
Model's stated reason
With point at 6, I'll take max odds (5x on the flat of 10) to leverage the favorable true odds of 6:5. Adding a come bet positions me to build additional profitable point exposure while the puck is on, with 13 rolls remaining and a growing bankroll advantage.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I have pass line and odds, plus come on 4. Adding a new come bet to build multiple points with favorable odds, then backing the come-4 with maximum odds (20 chips at 3x multiple) to capitalize on true odds pricing.
Model's stated reason
On come-out with 11 rolls remaining, I'm placing a pass line bet to capitalize on natural wins (7/11) and establish a point. I'm removing the come odds on 4 since the underlying come bet will be off this roll, making the odds wager unfavorable. Conservative positioning with 260 chips exposure remaining.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I have pass line (10) on 6 and come bet (10) on 4 with room to add odds and another come bet. Adding max pass odds (50 at 5x on my 10-chip flat), come odds on the 4 (30 at 3x), and a fresh come bet (10) maximizes expected value while staying within 280 exposure. This locks in true-odds protection and continues the natural progression of the line.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 9 rolls remaining in session. Placing a modest pass line bet (10 chips) to build chip count while managing risk. Pass line offers the best house edge available and is fundamental to craps strategy.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 8 rolls remaining. Placing a standard pass line bet (10 chips) offers the best risk-adjusted return for new sessions. The low house edge of 1.41% on pass line combined with favorable true odds backing positions us well for the endgame.
Model's stated reason
On come-out roll with 7 rolls remaining in a 40-hand session. Pass line is the fundamental bet with 49.29% win probability and 1.414% house edge. Starting with a modest 10-unit stake to manage exposure while building chips toward the 300-unit max if the point establishes.
Model's stated reason
The point is 10. Adding 3x pass odds (30 chips) on my pass line bet maximizes expected value by backing the favorable point with true odds. A 10-come bet adds another positive-EV opportunity to capitalize on the point-phase environment.
Model's stated reason
We're on a come-out roll with 5 decisions remaining in the session. Pass line is the fundamental bet with -1.4% house edge. A modest 10-chip stake preserves capital while maintaining exposure for potential odds backing if a point establishes.
Model's stated reason
With point 5 established and 4 rolls remaining, I maximize EV by taking full pass odds (3x on 5 = 40 chips) at true 3:2 odds, then backing with place 6 and 8 bets (good 7:6 payouts) to capitalize on the remaining short session. This positions me for wins on point 5, 6, or 8 while managing table exposure at 62 of 290 remaining.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5. I have pass line + odds and place bets on 6 and 8. Adding a come bet (10 chips) to build another point and place 6 again (6 chips) to establish better coverage on the 6. This builds favorable position with only 3 rolls remaining before session ends.
Model's stated reason
We're on roll 39 of 40 with only 2 rolls remaining. A pass line bet is the foundational bet with -1.4% house edge. Given minimal time left and current bankroll of 735, placing a single pass line bet of 10 chips provides positive expected value on the come-out roll (wins on 7/11, loses on 2/3/12, establishes point otherwise). This is sound fundamental craps strategy for the final hand.
Model's stated reason
This is roll 40 (the final decision roll). Starting with a pass line bet establishes a foundation for the final roll. After this roll, the dice continue for run-out rolls until all bets resolve, but no new bets are allowed. A 10-chip pass line bet on the come-out is a standard opening position.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -245 chips over 40 rolls
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