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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching +500 needs a long-shot payout, so I bet a 42-chip straight-up, which pays 1,470 and covers earlier losses. This stake size lets me keep betting about 20 spins without going bust.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching 1500 needs +542, so a single straight-up hit at about 19 chips per number (35:1) gets there. I cover 5 numbers per spin so one hit reaches target, and spread the risk over many spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 19-chip straight-up bet pays 665 on a hit, enough to reach 1,500 from 863. It risks the least per unit of hit probability, so it can be repeated across the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Needing +656 from 844, a single straight-up hit at 20 chips per number (with 3 numbers covered) nets +660 and reaches 1500 while limiting the cost per spin; the stakes can be adjusted on later spins as the bankroll changes.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Needing +716 from 784 means a single straight-up hit is the only realistic route. Three straights at 22 chips each risk 66 and pay a net +726 on a hit, which reaches 1500 and keeps enough bankroll for many more spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need +782 from 718, so I spread 189 chips over 7 straight-ups at 27 each. Any single hit nets +783 and reaches 1500, and this is the widest coverage that does it within the 200 cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need +971 in 14 spins, so only a straight-up hit can get there. Two straights at 29 each win +986 on a hit (to 1515) and allow about 9 attempts, which gives a better chance than a single 28-chip straight.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expected value, so skipping (which is not penalised) keeps the target secured.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Placing no bets keeps the target secured, since any wager has negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Any bet has negative expected value and could drop me below 1500, so I skip the spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping every remaining spin keeps it safe, since any bet has negative expected value and could drop me below 1500.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Every bet has negative expected value and could drop me below the target, so I skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty, so betting only adds risk of falling below the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is allowed and unpenalised, so I place no bet to avoid any risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1515, already above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Every bet has negative expected value and could drop us below 1500, so I skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and not penalised. Placing no bets keeps the target secured, since any bet has negative expected value and only adds risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping the spin avoids any risk of falling below it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and unpenalised, so placing no bet avoids any risk of falling below the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1515, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is allowed and unpenalised, so placing no bet locks in success with zero risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1515, already above the 1500 target on the final spin, so skipping the bet guarantees success while any bet adds risk of falling short.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

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Result

Claude Sonnet 5.5 finished first, +515 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Claude Sonnet 5.5Target reached: yes · final bankroll 1,515+515 chips
2Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 700-300 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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