Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Pass line is among the lowest-edge bets available (1.41%); a 20-chip flat lets me take full max odds (up to 100 on 6/8, 80 on 5/9, 60 on 4/10) at zero house edge once a point is set, maximizing odds utilization within the 100 per-bet cap.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a 20-chip pass line bet; taking the maximum 3x free odds (60) at true 2:1 adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization. No other bets since every other option carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 3x maximum on the 10; adding a come bet lets me take full free odds behind it once it travels, keeping the blended house edge per chip as low as possible.
Model's stated reason
Take max free odds (zero house edge) behind the come 10 and keep them working on the come-out; add a small pass line flat bet so full odds can be taken once a point is set, keeping expected loss per chip minimal.
Model's stated reason
Take the maximum 5x free odds (100) behind the pass line on point 6 at zero house edge; come 10 already has full 3x odds. No additional edge-bearing bets.
Model's stated reason
Pass line and come 10 both carry maximum free odds already, so odds utilization is full and every additional flat bet would only add house edge; no new bets this roll.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds (100 = 5x) and come odds on 10 (60 = 3x) are already at maximum; every remaining legal bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization full.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with an empty table: pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available, and a 20 flat lets me take full max odds (up to 100) behind it once a point is set, minimizing expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has point 4; taking the full 3x free odds (60) at true 2:1 adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization. No other bets since every alternative carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
Pass line already has maximum 3x free odds (zero house edge) behind the point of 4; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
Pass line already has full 3x odds on the 4, which is the lowest-edge position available; every other bet on the menu adds expected loss, so I hold and let the odds work.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with full 3x odds on the 4 is already in place; every other available bet carries a higher house edge, so adding nothing keeps expected loss per chip minimal and odds utilization at max.
Model's stated reason
Come-out with an empty table: don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a 30-chip flat leaves room to lay full odds at zero edge once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Lay the maximum free odds (96, a multiple of 6) behind the don't pass on point 6; laid odds carry zero house edge, so this maximizes odds utilization without adding any expected loss. No other bets since every remaining option has a house edge.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with point 6 is now a favorable position with full laid odds already behind it; adding any other bet only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with laid odds already at the cap for the point; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while the zero-edge odds stay working.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); once a point is set I'll lay full odds behind it at zero edge to maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a modest 20-chip flat lets me lay the maximum free odds (zero edge) once a point is set, keeping expected loss per chip minimal and odds utilization high.
Model's stated reason
Laying maximum free odds (96, a multiple of 6) behind the don't pass on point 8 adds zero-house-edge exposure, maximizing odds utilization without increasing expected loss; no other bets since every other option carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass 20 with max laid odds (96, limited by the multiple-of-6 rule) is already the lowest-edge position available; every other bet on the menu adds expected loss, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out with no bets: don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a modest flat lets me lay maximum free odds behind it once a point is set to drive down EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 9 is now a favorite (6 ways to 7 vs 4 ways to 9); laying the maximum free odds (99, multiple of 3) adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization. No other bets carry a negative edge worth taking.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge available, and a 20-chip flat lets me take the full odds multiple (up to the 100-chip cap) behind it once a point is set, minimizing expected loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has point 10; taking full 3x odds (60) at true 2:1 adds zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization. No other bets since every other option carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 3x maximum on the 10; a come bet (1.41% edge) is the lowest-edge addition available and lets me take full free odds behind it once it travels to a point, keeping blended EV loss per chip minimal.
Model's stated reason
Free odds carry zero house edge, so taking the full 4x odds behind the come 9 maximizes odds utilization and minimizes expected loss per chip; no new negative-EV flat bets added.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) of the available flat bets; a moderate flat stake leaves room to lay maximum free odds (zero edge) once a point is established, improving odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has point 5 and is now a favorite; laying the maximum free odds (99, a multiple of 3) carries zero house edge, improving ev_loss_per_chip and odds_utilization.
Model's stated reason
Keep the don't pass with near-max laid odds on 5 (zero-edge odds), and add a modest don't come so I can lay full odds behind it next roll, keeping overall house edge per chip low and odds utilization high.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with near-max laid odds is already working at a point of 5 with zero-edge odds; no additional odds are allowed and every other available bet carries house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line carries one of the lowest house edges available, and a 20-chip flat sets up clean max free odds (3x/4x/5x) behind it once a point is set, maximizing odds utilization while minimizing EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a 48-chip flat lets me lay full max odds at zero edge on any point (144 on 4/10, 192 on 5/9, 240 on 6/8) within the 300 exposure cap with whole-chip payouts.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum free odds (99, a multiple of 3) behind the don't pass on point 9 adds zero house edge chips and maximizes odds utilization; no other bets since everything else carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on point 9 with maximum laid odds is already a favorable position (6:4 to win); any additional bet carries house edge, so stand pat and let it ride.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 9 with full laid odds is a positive-expectation position now; every addable bet carries house edge, so I add nothing and let it ride.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 5 rolls left: don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (~1.36%), and a flat of 12 lets me lay full odds in clean multiples once a point is set to maximize odds utilization at zero edge.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a modest flat bet leaves room to lay maximum free odds behind it once a point is set, minimizing EV loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization with 4 rolls left.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on point 6 is now a favorite to win; laying full odds (96, multiple of 6) adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Come-out with two rolls left: don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36%) and sets up full laid odds next roll if a point is established, with a 50 flat leaving room under the 300 exposure cap for max odds.
Model's stated reason
Last decision roll: the don't pass with point 9 is now a favorite (6/10), so keep it and lay the maximum 99 odds at zero house edge to maximize odds utilization.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -453 chips over 40 rolls
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