Showdown Hold'em table
Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Sep 29, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
7-4 offsuit is far below the 4x raising range (no ace, no K5o+, no pair), so I check and see the flop for free, keeping the option to raise 2x or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
7-high with no pair and only a gutshot (needs a 5) is too weak to put 2x more at risk on the flop, so I check and can still fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
I have only king-high on a K-Q-9-6-3 board, and the dealer qualifies with a pair or better about 60% of the time and beats my hand almost every time. Even when the dealer misses, an ace, jack, ten or eight beats my kicker. Raising has an EV of about -25 chips against -20 for folding, so I fold.
Model's stated reason
Pocket sevens are in the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the best expected value against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
7-6 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, etc.), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop if it connects.
Model's stated reason
A pair of sevens (second pair on this board) plus straight potential is comfortably above the flop raise threshold in Casino Hold'em, so the 2x raise has positive expected value.
Model's stated reason
T5 suited is outside the published 4x raise range (no ace, no K2s+, Q6s+, J8s+ and so on), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop if it improves.
Model's stated reason
Unpaired T-high on an ace-high flop with only a weak two-card straight draw is well below the flop raise threshold, so I check and see the turn and river for free.
Model's stated reason
I have ace-high with no pair. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better about 70% of the time, and then I lose. When the dealer misses I almost always win. Raising has an EV of about -18 chips versus -20 for folding, so it is slightly better.
Model's stated reason
K9 offsuit falls in the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so raising 4x preflop is the highest-EV play.
Model's stated reason
Q9 suited is inside the published optimal 4x range (Q6s+), so raising 4x preflop is the highest-EV play.
Model's stated reason
Q7 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+ or Q6s+), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river.
Model's stated reason
Qh 7c on a 6-6-7 flop gives me sevens and sixes with a queen kicker. That beats most dealer holdings, so the 2x raise is clearly positive EV.
Model's stated reason
T3 suited is outside the published optimal 4x range (J8s+ and Q6s+ are the cutoffs for those ranks), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river.
Model's stated reason
Pair of tens on the flop is a made hand. Standard Casino Hold'em flop strategy raises 2x with any pair or better, and the weak kicker doesn't change that.
Model's stated reason
Q4 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+ needed for queen-high offsuit hands), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop.
Model's stated reason
Queen-high with only a gutshot on a connected 8-7-6 board is too weak to put 2x at risk. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river or fold.
Model's stated reason
The board pair means the dealer always qualifies, and my pair of sixes with a queen kicker beats only about 18% of dealer hands. Raising has an EV of about -21 chips against -20 for folding, so I fold.
Model's stated reason
3c-Ts is offsuit and weak, well outside the optimal 4x range, so I check and see the flop for a cheaper decision. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
I have only T-high with the board's pair of sevens, and the dealer always qualifies with that pair. The dealer beats me with any ace, king, queen, jack, pair or seven, so I win only about 25% of the time. Raising 2x would be -EV, so I check.
Model's stated reason
I hold 7s with Q-J-T kickers and the dealer always qualifies on the paired board. I win about 22% of the time, and that is enough to make the 1x raise slightly better than folding: +40 chips gained on wins versus 10 extra lost on losses.
Model's stated reason
A2s is an ace-high suited hand, and the published optimal 4x table includes any ace, so a 4x preflop raise is correct. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
9-4 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x range (no ace, king, or strong queen/jack, and not a pair), so I check to see the flop and keep my risk small.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of nines plus an open-ended straight draw (4-5-6, needing a 3 or 7) is well ahead of the dealer's range, so the 2x raise on the flop has clear positive EV.
Model's stated reason
A2 offsuit is an ace-high hand, and the published optimal 4x table includes any ace, so raising 4x preflop is the recommended play.
Model's stated reason
4c9c is not in the optimal 4x range (9-high suited is well below the K5o+/Q8o+ thresholds), so I check preflop to keep risk low and see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.
Model's stated reason
4c9c on a Qd 3c Js flop is only high-card 9 with a backdoor club draw, so it is far behind a dealer who qualifies with any pair. Raising 2x would put too much at risk, so I check and keep the option to fold at the river.
Model's stated reason
I have only queen-high with no pair. The dealer qualifies about 64% of the time and would usually beat me then. Raising has an estimated EV of about -20.9 chips versus -20 for folding, so folding is marginally better.
Model's stated reason
Pocket nines are inside the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the best expected value against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
5-J offsuit is outside the optimal 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check preflop and see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.
Model's stated reason
Jack-high with only a backdoor flush draw and no real pair or straight draw is too weak to put 2x more at risk on the flop, so I check and keep the option to fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of queens means the dealer always qualifies, and my QQ with a J kicker beats only about 20% of dealer holdings, with roughly 7% tying. Raising 1x has an EV of about -17.7 chips versus -20 for folding, so raising is the better play.
Model's stated reason
Q2 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+ needed), so I check and see the flop without raising.
Model's stated reason
Four to a Q-high flush on the flop, about 35% to complete by the river, plus a few pair outs. My rough estimate puts raising 2x slightly ahead of checking and then folding on the river.
Model's stated reason
KTs falls within the published optimal 4x range (K2s+), so raising 4x preflop is the highest-EV play. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
Qh8h is suited and falls inside the published optimal 4x range (Q6s+ and Q8o+), so a 4x preflop raise is correct.
Model's stated reason
JTo is in the published optimal 4x raise range for Casino Hold'em, so the 4x preflop raise is the highest-EV play.
Model's stated reason
3-7 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, etc.), so I keep the risk small by checking and will decide on the flop.
Model's stated reason
7-high with only a gutshot straight draw (needs a 6) is too weak to put 2x at risk on the flop, so I check and decide again on the river.
Model's stated reason
I play the board (5s and 4s, Q kicker), so I can only tie or lose. The dealer always qualifies and beats me in about 59% of holdings. Raising 1x has EV of about -17.8 chips against -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
J6 suited is outside the published optimal 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so a preflop raise is unjustified; check and reassess on the flop, where a raise only makes sense with a pair or a strong draw.
Model's stated reason
Jack-high with no pair on a K-7-5 flop, and only backdoor flush and straight draws. Raising 2x isn't justified, so I check and decide again on the river.
Model's stated reason
Jacks and sevens with a king kicker is a strong two pair on this board. Only a few dealer hands beat it (kings, trip sevens or jacks, a straight, or a higher two pair), so raising 1x is clearly positive EV.
Model's stated reason
K6 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x raising range (K5o or better), so raising 4x maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
Ace-high hands are in the published optimal 4x preflop range (any ace), so A4 offsuit is a 4x raise.
Model's stated reason
Q3 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+ needed), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop if it improves.
Model's stated reason
Queen-high on a K-6-2 flop has no pair and no real draw, and it is often behind a qualifying dealer hand. Checking keeps the risk low and gives one more look at the river.
Model's stated reason
My 3h with the board 6-5-4-2 makes a 2-6 straight. Only a dealer holding 3-7 beats it, and any other 3 ties, so raising 1x on the river has a strongly positive expectation.
Model's stated reason
3-9 offsuit is weak and outside the optimal 4x range, so I check and see the flop rather than put more chips at risk.
Model's stated reason
3d 9s on an 8d 5c Js flop is only nine-high with no pair and no real draw, so a 2x raise has negative expectation; checking keeps the river option open.
Model's stated reason
I have only J-high on the river, and the dealer qualifies with a pair or better about 60% of the time. Even when the dealer doesn't qualify, an A, K, Q or 10 in their hand usually beats my 9 kicker. Raising has lower EV than folding, which costs 20 chips.
Model's stated reason
3-6 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raise range, so I check and keep the risk small to see the flop.
Model's stated reason
I hold a pair of threes on the flop. Bottom pair is marginal against an ace-high board, but the usual Casino Hold'em flop strategy raises any made pair, so I'm raising 2x.
Model's stated reason
K2 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (K2s+ or K5o+), so I check and see the flop rather than risk 4x.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of kings on a Q-K-3 flop is well ahead of the dealer's likely holdings, so the 2x raise on the flop has positive expectation.
Model's stated reason
T9 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (J8s+ or JTo, Q8o+, etc.), so raising preflop loses EV. Checking keeps risk low and lets me reassess on the flop, where a raise_2x is available if the board helps.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of nines with a ten kicker on a 2-3-9 flop is a clear 2x raise. It beats most dealer holdings, and the dealer needs a pair or better to qualify.
Model's stated reason
K7s falls within the published optimal 4x range (K2s+), so a 4x preflop raise is the maximum-EV play against the house dealer.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat offChat is off for this match.
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Session result: -20 chips over 30 hands
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