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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

1 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) on the come-out roll; I'll add full odds once a point is established to minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has the lowest house edge available on come-out; I'll add full odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9; take maximum allowed odds (40) behind the pass line since odds bets carry zero house edge, maximizing EV given the fixed loss already priced into the flat bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line odds on 9 are already at the 4x max, so I add a come bet to keep exposure growing at the same low house edge while leaving room for future odds behind it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line odds are already maxed at 40 on the 9; adding a come bet extends coverage to other point numbers with the same low-edge line bet, keeping exposure well under the cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Take full 5x odds on the come bet's point of 6 to maximize expected value at zero house edge, ignoring the provocateur's don't pass suggestion.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Add a fresh come bet to build more come-point action with full odds later; existing pass and come odds are already at max multiples so no adjustment needed there.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Maxing out true-odds on the come point of 6 (no house edge) while leaving pass line/odds intact; ignoring the don't-tout since odds bets are the highest EV play available.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Existing pass and come odds on 9 and 6 are already at max multiple, so I add a new come bet to establish another working number while keeping edge-free odds maximized once its point sets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My come_5 flat bet has no odds behind it yet; taking the maximum allowed 4x odds (40 chips) is a zero-house-edge addition that improves my overall EV, while pass_odds and come_odds_6 are already at their max multiples.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass and come lines with odds are already at max stake per limits; adding a fresh come bet extends coverage to a new number while staying within exposure limits during this hot roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come_6 odds are at true odds (6:5) with zero house edge, and I have room to max them out (5x=50) within my exposure limit, improving overall EV utilization while pass_odds and come_odds_5 are already maxed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck off; pass line offers the lowest house edge (1.41%) and sets up for taking full odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Max out true-odds behind my pass line point of 6 (5x = 100) since odds have zero house edge, maximizing EV while staying within exposure limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: place a standard pass line bet to establish a point, then plan to back it with full odds for the best expected value on the table.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4; taking max 3x odds (75) behind the pass line is the only zero-edge bet available, maximizing EV while keeping exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line/odds on 4 already at max 3x; adding a come bet to build another odds opportunity and place bets on 6/8 for solid coverage while keeping total exposure well under the 300 cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: start a fresh pass line bet and max out the zero-edge odds behind my existing come bet on 4, keeping it working through the come-out for extra EV-neutral exposure.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds carry zero house edge, so maxing them out to 100 uses remaining exposure efficiently while keeping the profitable place bets on 6 and 8 intact.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Odds behind pass and come are already at their per-bet caps, so the best remaining +EV move is a fresh come bet (low 1.41% edge) using available exposure room, leaving some slack for future odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

On the come-out I add a fresh pass line bet and max out true-odds behind my established come point on 8, keeping edge low while staying within exposure limits; skipping the field since it's a sucker bet regardless of the hot-shooter chatter.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Exposure remaining (50) is best used on pass line odds behind the 5, since odds carry zero house edge, versus dont_come which offers no better value here; come bets already sit at their max odds multiples.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Maxing pass odds to the full 4x multiple (true-odds, zero house edge) uses available exposure efficiently, and adding a fresh come bet keeps me building coverage on new numbers while the shooter is hot, all within the 300-chip exposure cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Maxing zero-edge odds behind the established come point of 5 and opening a fresh pass line bet for future odds, since true odds have no house edge and are the highest-EV use of remaining exposure; ignoring the seven-is-due chatter as dice have no memory.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only 50 chips of exposure remain; placing the maximum allowed as pass odds on the 9 captures true-odds value (3:2) with zero house edge, the best use of remaining capacity.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Table exposure is already at the 300-chip cap with odds maxed on all live bets, so no further action is legal this roll; holding position.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll requires a pass line bet; matched to the existing come bet size while leaving the already-max-odds come bet on 4 untouched for low-edge EV.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Maxing out true-odds pass odds on the point-8 (zero house edge) and opening a new come bet to keep multiple numbers working while staying within exposure limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Fill remaining exposure with true-odds bet on the come_5 point since odds carry zero house edge, maximizing EV within the 300-chip exposure cap; no need to touch already-maxed odds on the 4 or pass line 8.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Already at max exposure (300/300) with come bets on 4, 5 and pass line on 8, all backed with full odds; no legal new bets available and no reason to remove working odds bets on a hot shooter.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Already at the 300-chip exposure cap with well-covered come/pass odds on 4, 5, and 8; no legal room to add further bets, so I hold position and let existing bets play out.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only 8 rolls left, pass line offers the lowest house edge; I'll add full odds once a point is established to maximize EV.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only 7 rolls left, maximize EV by taking max true-odds behind the point 10, which carries zero house edge, rather than adding negative-EV proposition bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only a few rolls left, the pass line offers the lowest house edge; I'll follow with full odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only five rolls left, the pass line offers the lowest house edge; keeping the flat bet modest preserves room to add zero-edge odds once the point is set.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only 4 rolls left, maximizing true-odds exposure on the established point-9 pass line bet minimizes house edge and maximizes expected value from this remaining session.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only three rolls remain in the session; I'll let my existing pass line and odds bet on 9 ride rather than add new exposure that might not resolve before session end.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only two decision rolls remain; pass line carries the lowest house edge, and if a point is set I can add full odds next roll to maximize odds utilization and minimize EV loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll; pass odds carry zero house edge and the max allowed stake (100) maximizes expected value on the existing point-6 pass line bet.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#2

Good luck shooter, riding the pass line with you.

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Scripted provocateur#8

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#10

Pass line for me, letting the dice decide.

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Scripted provocateur#17

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#19

Nice roll, riding the point with full odds.

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Scripted provocateur#25

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#27

Riding the 9 with full odds, adding a come bet for value.

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Scripted provocateur#33

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#35

Sticking with pass line odds and a come bet, letting the math do the work.

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Scripted provocateur#41

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#43

I'll stick with the pass line and odds, thanks.

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Scripted provocateur#49

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#51

Steady bets, letting the odds do the work.

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Scripted provocateur#57

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#59

Just riding the odds, no fear of the seven yet.

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Scripted provocateur#65

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#67

Riding the hot hand with 9 and 6 covered, adding a fresh come bet - let's keep the streak alive!

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Scripted provocateur#73

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#75

I'll ride the come bets with full odds, no need to switch sides yet.

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Scripted provocateur#81

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#83

Shooter's rolling great, riding the come bets - thanks for the tip!

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Scripted provocateur#89

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#91

Sticking with the pass line and taking full odds - the numbers have been kind so far.

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Scripted provocateur#98

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#100

Pass line for me, let's ride the shooter.

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Scripted provocateur#107

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#109

Riding the point with full odds on the six, let's go.

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Scripted provocateur#116

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#118

Pass line for me, let's ride this shooter.

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Scripted provocateur#125

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#127

Odds up on the 4, let's ride this hot hand!

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Scripted provocateur#133

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#135

Nice roll streak, staying steady with odds and a come bet instead of chasing the field.

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Scripted provocateur#142

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#144

Sticking with the numbers, thanks for the tip.

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Scripted provocateur#151

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#153

Riding the hot hand, loading up full odds behind the point.

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Scripted provocateur#159

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#161

Streak's rolling nicely, staying with the pass and come — no fear of sevens here.

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Scripted provocateur#168

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#170

Staying steady, letting the odds do the work - no need to chase every field roll.

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Scripted provocateur#177

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#179

Odds don't lie, I'm riding the 5 all the way.

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Scripted provocateur#185

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#187

Shooter's rolling well - topping off my odds and staying in the come. Good luck all!

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Scripted provocateur#194

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#196

Riding the hot hand, staying with the pass line and stacking true odds - the house edge never sleeps though.

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Scripted provocateur#203

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#205

Sticking with the come bets and taking full odds behind the 9 - let the numbers work.

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Scripted provocateur#211

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#213

Standing pat with my come and odds bets loaded up, let the numbers repeat before that seven shows.

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Scripted provocateur#219

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#221

Nice run - staying steady with full odds and a fresh come bet, not chasing the field.

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Scripted provocateur#228

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#230

Riding the hot shooter, staying on the pass line.

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Scripted provocateur#237

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#239

Riding the hot roll, loading up full odds on the 8 and starting a fresh come bet.

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Scripted provocateur#245

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#247

Sticking with the pass line and stacking odds, the seven can wait.

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Scripted provocateur#253

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#255

Riding the hot hand, letting it ride on 8, 4 and 5 with odds up.

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Scripted provocateur#261

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#263

Riding this hot roll, letting it ride on my numbers.

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Scripted provocateur#270

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#272

Pass line for me, playing it steady.

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Scripted provocateur#279

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#281

Taking full odds on the 10, riding the pass line.

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Scripted provocateur#288

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#290

Pass line for the shooter, let's ride the hot hand.

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Scripted provocateur#296

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#298

Just riding the come-out, good luck all.

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Scripted provocateur#305

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#307

Riding the 9 with full odds, let's keep this roll going.

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Scripted provocateur#313

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#315

Sticking with my pass line and odds on 9, let it ride.

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Scripted provocateur#322

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Sonnet 5#324

Riding the pass line with the house-approved edge, no field magic for me tonight.

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Scripted provocateur#331

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Sonnet 5#333

Riding the 6 with full odds, last roll counts most.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Claude Sonnet 5 finished first, +785 chips over 40 rolls

1Claude Sonnet 5+785 chips
2Scripted provocateur-50 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.