Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (1.41%); the shooter's prior passes are irrelevant since dice are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with a flat 25 pass bet; taking the full 4x odds (100) is the zero-house-edge play and maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 9 are already at the 4x ceiling (100 behind 25), which is the lowest-edge bet available; adding any new bet only adds house edge, so no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 9, so no further zero-edge action is available; adding place or proposition bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x ceiling and every remaining bet has positive house edge, so the lowest-EV-loss action is no new bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My pass odds are already at the 4x ceiling (100 behind 25 on the 9), which is the only zero-house-edge bet available. Adding any other bet only adds expected loss, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x max on the 9, so no more zero-EV odds can be added; every other bet has a house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 9, so no odds can be added; any new bet would only add house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds at 100 are the 4x ceiling on 9 and carry zero house edge; adding any new bet only adds negative-EV exposure, so no action is optimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the standard low-edge play, and it lets me take maximum free odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line odds carry zero house edge, so taking the maximum 50 behind my 10 flat bet on the 6 is the highest-EV action available.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (-1.41%); I'll take odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with a 25 pass line bet; full 4x odds (100) carry zero house edge, so backing them maximally is the best EV play available.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 9; adding any new bet only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with full 4x odds on the 9 is already the optimal position; odds carry zero house edge and no other bet improves EV, so I hold.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: don't pass has the lowest house edge available (bar 12 makes it slightly better than pass), so I take the maximum flat bet and will lay odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds carry zero house edge, so backing my don't pass with the maximum 96 on the 8 increases odds utilization without adding expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (1.41%); no other bet on this roll improves expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with a 20 pass bet; taking the full 4x odds (80) at true 3:2 is the zero-edge play and maximizes value per roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with full 4x odds already at the maximum; no new bets have positive edge, so I stand pat and let the point resolve.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 9 are already at the 4x maximum, the best-value bet on the table; adding high-edge one-roll or place bets would only add expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no bets on the table; pass line is the lowest-edge available bet (1.41%), and I'll back it with odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (−1.41%) and this is a come-out roll, so it is the only bet worth placing; everything else has a higher house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%), so I stake 20 chips and plan to take odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no existing bets; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) of the available options, so I stake the maximum on it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds carry zero house edge, so backing my pass-line point of 5 with the maximum allowed 100 chips is the best available action; everything else has negative EV.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds carry zero house edge, so keeping the 100 behind the line on point 5 is optimal; every other available bet is negative EV, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My pass line with full odds is already at the 200-chip table cap, and odds carry zero house edge while any new bet would only add expected loss, so the optimal action is to stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My pass line and full odds on the 5 are already the lowest-edge position available, exposure is nearly capped, and every additional bet (field, place, prop) only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out pass line carries the lowest flat-bet edge (1.41%) and lets me add zero-edge odds once a point is set; keeping stakes modest with only 11 decision rolls left limits expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 4 with a 10 pass line bet; taking full 3x odds at true 2:1 is the lowest-edge play and maximizes odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (1.41%); dice are independent so the prior streak means nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 8 rolls left; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) among available bets, so I stake a modest 25 chips and skip all negative-EV one-roll props.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 with a 25 pass line bet: backing it with the maximum 100 in odds carries no house edge and is the best use of chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass 25 with 100 odds on point 6 is already the lowest-edge position; odds max is 0 so no more can be added, and one-roll props are negative EV. Stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds at 100 behind a 25 flat are already at the ceiling and carry zero house edge; adding any new bet only adds expected loss, so no action.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 with max odds already up; a small place 6 is the lowest-edge addition and stays within exposure limits with 4 rolls left.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 6 already carry the point at true odds; the 6-chip place 6 duplicates that exposure with a 1.52% house edge, so removing it cuts expected loss without changing win chances.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with two decision rolls left; pass line is the lowest-edge bet available, and odds can be taken if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This is the final decision roll and no odds can be added afterward, so I minimize expected loss by staking the minimum on the lowest-edge available bet (don't pass, ~1.36%) rather than the field (~2.8%) or pass line (~1.41%).
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix passes in a row means nothing to the dice — riding the pass line anyway.
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Six straight passes and I'm still riding the shooter — full odds behind my 9.
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Max odds behind my 9. Rolling quiet.
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Odds are maxed behind the 9; standing pat.
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Odds are maxed behind my pass — that's the only zero-edge bet on the felt. Everything else is house money; I'll pass.
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Odds are already maxed behind the 9 — standing pat.
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Fresh hand, fresh shooter. Line bet up — let's see a point.
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Point is 6 — backing my pass line with full odds. Dice have no memory, but my odds do.
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Fresh come-out for me — pass line and odds only, no field hype.
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Max odds behind my 9. Dice have no memory, but the odds bet is still the only fair bet on the table.
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Six straight passes and now the dice owe the don't. I'm fading this shooter for the max.
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Laying full odds behind my don't pass on the 8.
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Fresh come-out — riding the line, nothing fancy.
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Full odds behind the 9. Dice have no memory, but neither do I.
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Point is 9, odds are maxed behind the line. Riding it out.
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Riding my own pass line on the come-out. Dice have no memory, but the odds do.
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Come-out roll — pass line only, no side action needed.
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Fresh come-out — riding the pass line. Dice have no memory, but I'll take the odds anyway.
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Three naturals in a row — riding the pass line while it's hot.
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Max odds behind the 5. Ignore the field noise.
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Point of 5 with full odds behind - staying patient. No need to chase; the odds bet is the only fair bet on the table.
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Pass with 100 behind on the 5. Simplest edge is no edge: odds are the only fair money on this table.
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Point is 5, odds are working. No new chips from me — the field grind is all yours.
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Fresh come-out — flat pass line only for me; the dice have no memory, so I'll pass on the field noise.
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Laying full odds behind my 4. The field streak talk is noise — dice have no memory.
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Fresh come-out — riding the pass line. Streaks don't change the dice.
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Come-out — riding the pass line, nothing fancy.
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Point of 6 with full odds behind — the math doesn't care about streaks, and neither do I.
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Odds are maxed behind my pass line on 6 — riding it out.
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Point is 6 — I'll ride it with a small place bet. No need to press anything.
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Point 6 with full odds behind — taking the redundant place 6 down; odds are the only zero-edge money on the table.
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Riding the line, nothing fancy.
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Last roll of the session — I'll keep it light with a single chip on the don't. The field looks flashy but it carries the worst edge on the table; small and steady suits me tonight. Good luck, everyone!
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
GLM 5.3 Flash finished first, +29 chips over 40 rolls
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