Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out menu. A 50-chip flat leaves room within the 300 exposure cap to lay full free odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 10 is now a strong favourite, so I keep it up. I lay the maximum 100 in zero-edge odds behind it, which raises odds utilization without adding house edge.
Model's stated reason
I'm keeping the don't pass on 10 with its laid odds, since it is now a favourable position. I'm adding a 50-chip don't come, the lowest-edge flat bet available, so the remaining exposure can go to zero-edge laid odds once it travels to a point.
Model's stated reason
I'm keeping the don't come on 10, which wins two-thirds of the time, and laying the maximum zero-edge odds behind it. I'm adding a don't pass flat bet, the lowest-edge line bet, so I can lay odds behind it once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Laying 96 in odds behind the don't pass on 6 is the largest legal amount that fits the 100 chips of remaining exposure, and it pays 80 on a win. Free odds carry zero house edge, so this improves both scoring metrics. The existing don't bets stay up because they are favorable once their points are set.
Model's stated reason
The don't come bet on 10 and the don't pass bet on 6 now favour me, and their laid odds carry no house edge, so I keep them all. Adding any new bet with the 4 chips of exposure left would only add house edge.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass and don't come bets already have their points, so keeping them up is favourable to me and taking them down would waste that edge. The laid odds carry no house edge, and every bet that fits in the 4 chips of remaining exposure has a house edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (about 1.36%). A 50-chip flat leaves room to lay the full odds multiple within the 300 exposure cap once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Keep the don't pass, which is now favourable on point 4. Lay the maximum 100 in zero-edge odds behind it (pays 50 on a seven-out), which maximises odds use without adding house edge.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass on the 4, with its laid odds already at the cap, is a strongly favourable bet once the point is set, so I keep it. I am adding nothing because every other available bet carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 4 now favours me 2:1 (a 7 is twice as likely as a 4), and the laid odds carry zero house edge, so I keep both. Adding a bet would only add house-edge exposure.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 4 with laid odds is already a strong, low-edge position, and the odds are at their maximum, so I'm keeping both bets. Adding any other bet would only raise the expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out (about 1.36%). Keeping the flat bet modest leaves exposure room to lay full odds once a point is set, which lowers the overall edge per chip.
Model's stated reason
Keep the don't pass on 6, which is now favoured, and lay the maximum zero-edge odds behind it. That raises odds utilization without adding expected loss.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass is already past the come-out with laid odds on the 6, which now favors my side, so I'm keeping it working. I'm adding nothing because every available new bet carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I'm keeping the don't pass and its laid odds on the 6, since both have zero or positive EV now that the point is set. I'm adding a 50-chip don't come, the lowest-edge flat bet, which leaves 104 chips of exposure to lay free odds once it travels to a point.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum zero-edge odds behind the don't come 6 lowers the average house edge per chip. A don't pass bet, the lowest-edge flat bet available, gives a base for more free odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I'm keeping the don't come on 6 and its odds, since both have the edge now that the point is set. I'm adding a modest don't pass, the lowest-edge flat bet available on the come-out, and leaving exposure room to lay zero-edge odds behind it once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum 96 in odds behind the don't pass on 8 adds zero-house-edge exposure and fits within the 129 chips of exposure remaining. The existing don't bets are favourable once their points are set, so I keep them all.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 8 with full laid odds now has positive expectation, so I'm keeping it on the table. Any new bet would only add house edge, so I'm adding nothing.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has one of the lowest house edges available on the come-out. A 50-chip flat bet leaves room to back it with the full free odds within the 300-chip exposure cap once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line on the 9 have zero house edge, so I take the maximum allowed 100 and add no house-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the come-out (about 1.36%). A moderate flat stake leaves exposure room to add zero-edge laid odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 10 is now a favourable bet, so I keep it and lay the full 100 in odds, which carry no house edge. I add no other bets because every other bet has a negative expected value.
Model's stated reason
I'm keeping the don't pass on 10 and its laid odds, because taking down a don't bet that is now favoured would give up equity. I'm adding a 50-chip don't come, one of the lowest-edge bets available, so the remaining 100 of exposure can go to zero-edge laid odds once its point is set.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum allowed odds behind my don't come 9 adds zero-house-edge exposure and improves odds utilization within the remaining exposure limit. The existing don't bets are already favorable once their points are set, so I keep them up.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge among the flat bets on offer (1.36%), and taking laid odds behind it once a point is set will lower the per-chip edge further. Exposure stays within limits.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 5 is now a favorable bet, so I keep it. I lay the maximum 99 in zero-edge odds behind it, which raises odds use without adding house edge.
Model's stated reason
I'm keeping the don't pass and its laid odds on 5, since it is now favored to win. I'm adding a small don't come bet, the lowest-edge flat bet available, to leave exposure room for free laid odds once it travels to a point.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 5 with laid odds is now a player-favoured position, so I'm keeping it. Adding any new bet would bring a house edge, so I'm standing pat.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the come-out (about 1.36%), lower than the pass line's 1.41%. It also sets up a laid-odds bet once the point is established, which has no house edge.
Model's stated reason
A pass line bet on the come-out carries one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.41%). A 50-chip flat leaves room within the 300 exposure cap to back it with up to 5x free odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line on the 9 have zero house edge, so I'm taking the maximum allowed 100 chips (an even multiple). This adds no expected loss and improves odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
The pass line on 9 already carries the full 100-chip odds bet, and that odds bet has zero house edge. Any extra bet would add positive house edge, so I'm holding the current position.
Model's stated reason
The pass line and odds on the 9 are already working, and the odds are capped at the 100-chip per-bet limit. No new bet improves the expected value, since every other option carries a house edge, so I am standing pat.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the menu (about 1.41%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300-chip exposure cap to add full free odds, which carry no house edge, once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the come-out, about 1.36%. If a point is set, it also lets me lay zero-edge odds behind it.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass bet on point 6 is now favored to win, so I keep it. I add the maximum 48 in laid odds, which carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out (about 1.36%). A 50-chip flat leaves room within the 300 exposure cap to lay zero-edge odds on the final decision roll if a point is set.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 9 is already a favourable bet now that the point is set (it wins 60% of the time), so it stays up. I'm laying the maximum 99 in odds behind it because laid odds carry zero house edge, and I'm adding nothing with an edge against me.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -690 chips over 40 rolls
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