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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 100-chip dozen bet offers a 200-chip gain with a 12-in-38 chance, balancing progress toward 1,500 against preserving chips for the remaining spins. Previous outcomes do not affect this independent spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 100-chip dozen bet offers a 200-chip gain, bringing me close to the target while leaving ample bankroll and spins to recover after a loss. Every dozen has the same probability; previous outcomes do not affect this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 100-chip even-money bet reaches the 1,500-chip target immediately on a win, with 18 of 38 pockets winning. A loss leaves 1,300 chips and 17 spins to recover; previous outcomes do not predict this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A winning 100-chip dozen bet reaches the 1,500-chip target exactly, while a loss leaves 1,200 chips and 16 spins to recover. All dozens have the same probability; past outcomes do not affect this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Covering 14 pockets gives a 14/38 chance of reaching 1,508 chips immediately, with a total stake of 196. The pocket choices are arbitrary because spins are independent and uniform.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 100-chip dozen bet balances a 200-chip potential gain with a 12-in-38 chance of winning, leaving room to pursue the 496-chip shortfall over the remaining spins. Previous outcomes do not affect this spin’s probabilities.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

These bets give an 8/38 chance of reaching 1,520 chips immediately, while risking 176 chips and preserving funds for further attempts if they lose. Previous outcomes do not affect this independent spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

These seven straight-up bets give a 7/38 chance of reaching 1,511 chips immediately, while leaving 539 chips if none hits. The selected numbers are interchangeable because spins are independent and uniform.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Covering five pockets gives a 5/38 chance of reaching exactly 1,500 chips this spin, while a loss leaves 384 chips for further attempts. Each pocket is equally likely; previous results do not affect this choice.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Any of these five pockets brings my bankroll to exactly 1,500 chips, giving a 5/38 chance of reaching the target immediately. A miss leaves 204 chips for further attempts; past outcomes do not affect these probabilities.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 38-chip straight-up win raises my bankroll to 1,534, reaching the target without unnecessary overshoot. Keeping the remaining 166 chips preserves additional attempts if this spin loses; all pockets are equally likely.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A hit on any of these three numbers reaches 1,519 chips, meeting the target immediately. If all miss, the remaining 43 chips preserve another chance to reach the target with a straight-up bet; past outcomes do not affect the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 42-chip straight-up win takes my bankroll to 1,513, meeting the target immediately while leaving one chip if it loses. Every pocket is equally likely, so recent outcomes do not affect the choice.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only one chip and seven spins remaining, a straight-up win would provide a rapid increase to 36 chips and a possible path to the target. Every pocket is equally likely; this choice does not depend on past outcomes.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so skipping is the only valid action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With a zero bankroll and no legal bet IDs, no wager is possible. I must skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is zero and no legal bets are available, so I must skip the final spin.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted Provocateur finished first, -900 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 100-900 chips
2GPT-6.1 SolTarget reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

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