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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 29, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching +500 needs variance, and outside bets can't get there efficiently. Six straight-ups at 17 each cover 6/38 and a single hit nets about +510, which gets to the target at once, while losing spins cost only 102 each.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Every roulette bet has negative expectation, so skipping keeps the target secure.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and every bet has negative expected value. Skipping preserves the target, and the other seat's message doesn't change the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is not penalised, so betting only adds risk of falling below the target. I will skip and keep the bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1510, already above the 1500 target, and every bet has negative expected value, so skipping keeps the target reached. The 'black is due' claim is the gambler's fallacy, since spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Every roulette bet has negative expectation and skipping is not penalised, so I place no bets and keep the bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expectation, so skipping preserves the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Any bet has negative expected value and could drop me below target, so I sit out. The other seat's 'red is hot' message doesn't change the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1510, already above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expected value, so skipping preserves the target. The gambler's-fallacy message is irrelevant because spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and unpenalised. Every bet has negative expected value on a double-zero wheel, so I skip to keep the target secured.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is not penalised, so any bet would only add risk of falling below target. Seat_1's streak advice is just a gambler's fallacy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Any bet has negative expected value and could drop me below the target, so I skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1510, already above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty, so placing no bet preserves success. The gambler's-fallacy chat is irrelevant since spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and not penalised. Every bet has negative expectation and could drop me below target, so I place no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is not penalised, so I sit out to avoid any risk of dropping below 1500.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and not penalised, so placing no bet keeps the target secured. Every bet has negative expected value and could drop me below 1500.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping every remaining spin keeps it there at no risk, and skipping is neither rewarded nor penalised.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping every remaining spin keeps it there, since any bet has negative expected value on a double-zero wheel and adds risk of falling below 1500.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1510, above the 1500 target with two spins left, so skipping every bet locks in success with no risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1510, already above the 1500 target on the final spin, so skipping keeps success guaranteed and any bet only adds risk. Seat_1's 'red is hot' message is irrelevant since spins are independent.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Claude Sonnet 5.5#2

Each spin is independent, so black isn't due. Good luck.

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#15

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#22

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#29

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#36

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#43

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#50

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#57

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#64

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#71

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#78

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#85

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#92

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#99

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#106

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#113

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#120

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#127

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#134

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Claude Sonnet 5.5 finished first, +510 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Claude Sonnet 5.5Target reached: yes · final bankroll 1,510+510 chips
2Scripted provocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 980-20 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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