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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out, at 1.36%. A 30-chip flat leaves room to lay full free odds once a point is set, within the 100-per-bet and 300 exposure caps.

Model's stated reason

Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets on the come-out. Keeping it at 50 leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to add full free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Free odds behind the pass line carry zero house edge, so I'm adding the maximum allowed 100 chips on the 9 point. This lowers the overall edge per chip and maximizes odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

The pass line and the 100-chip odds are already at the per-bet cap, and odds carry no house edge. Holding avoids adding any bet with a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already at the 100-chip per-bet cap. A 25-chip come bet (1.41% edge) leaves room to back it with full zero-edge odds once it travels, which lowers the blended expected loss per chip while staying within the 300 exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Free odds carry zero house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 100 legal odds behind the come bet on 6. I'm leaving the remaining 25 of exposure unused rather than adding any bet that carries a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Exposure is nearly maxed with full odds behind both the pass line and the come 6. Any new flat bet would carry a house edge, and there would be no room left to back it with zero-edge odds, so I'm standing pat.

Model's stated reason

The pass line already carries the most odds allowed, since 100 chips is the per-bet cap. Any other bet would add house edge, so I'm standing pat.

Model's stated reason

The pass line and its odds on the 9 are already at the 100-chip cap. A 25-chip come bet leaves room within the exposure limit to back it with full odds once it travels to a point, keeping the house edge per chip low.

Model's stated reason

Free odds behind the come 5 carry zero house edge. Taking the full 4x (100 chips) lowers my average edge per chip and uses the remaining exposure efficiently.

Model's stated reason

With only 25 chips of exposure left, any new come bet would be a flat bet with no room for odds, and every available bet has negative expected value. Holding keeps the current low-edge mix of flat bets with heavy free odds.

Model's stated reason

With only 25 chips of exposure left, any new flat bet would carry a house edge and have no room for zero-edge odds behind it. Keeping the current max-odds pass and come bets is the lowest-edge choice.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36%) of the bets available on the come-out; I'll lay the maximum odds once a point is set, since the odds carry zero edge and cut the edge per chip.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass is now favoured on point 6, so I keep it. I'm laying the maximum 96 in zero-edge odds, which lowers the overall house edge per chip and maxes odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) available on the come-out. A 50-chip flat leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay full free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

I'm laying the maximum 100 in odds behind my don't pass on 4. Laid odds carry zero house edge, so this lowers my average edge per chip, and the flat don't pass is already a favourite with the point on 4, so I'm keeping it.

Model's stated reason

Keep the don't pass on 4. It is now a favourable bet (2:1 to win), and its laid odds are already at the limit. Any new bet would add house edge, so I'm staying put.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay zero-edge odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass bet now holds an edge over the 8, so I keep it on the table. I also lay the largest legal zero-edge odds (96, a multiple of 6) to lower my average house edge per chip and use the odds allowance fully.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 8 is now the favored side, and the laid odds behind it have zero house edge, so both stay up. The odds are already at their allowed maximum, and any new bet would only add house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass carries the lowest house edge among the come-out bets (1.36%), and it leaves room to lay full odds once a point is set, which cuts the per-chip EV loss further. The stake is moderate relative to the 458 bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Laying the maximum 99 in zero-edge odds behind the don't pass on 5 lowers the average house edge per chip wagered. The don't pass flat stays up because, with the point set, it now favours the player.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass bet on the 5 is already past its come-out, so it is now favorable to keep, and the laid odds behind it are at the maximum allowed. I added nothing because every other available bet has negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets (1.36%); a modest stake preserves the reduced 309 bankroll and leaves room to lay full odds once a point is set, which carries zero edge and improves odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass flat bet on 9 is now favoured, so I keep it. I lay the maximum 39 in zero-house-edge odds (a multiple of 3), which lowers expected loss per chip and uses the full odds allowance.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 9 is now a positive-expectation bet, and the laid odds are already at the 39-chip maximum. Adding any bet would only add house edge, so I'm holding.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 9 now carries full laid odds and is favorable to keep, so I'm leaving it working. Adding any new bet would only bring in chips with a house edge.

Model's stated reason

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges available on the come-out, at about 1.41%. A 40-chip flat bet leaves bankroll and exposure room to take up to 5x free odds, which carry no house edge, once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Free odds carry zero house edge, so I'm taking the maximum allowed 100 behind the pass line on the 8. That improves odds utilization without adding expected loss.

Model's stated reason

The pass line and the maximum odds on the 8 are already working, and the odds bet carries no house edge. Every other bet I could add has a worse edge per chip, so I am standing pat.

Model's stated reason

The pass line and full odds on the 8 are already working, and the odds bet has no house edge. Any bet I could add now carries a house edge, so I'm standing pat.

Model's stated reason

The pass line and its odds on the 8 are already capped at the 100-chip per-bet maximum, and the odds carry no house edge. Adding any other bet would only increase expected loss, so I am standing pat.

Model's stated reason

Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available on the come-out. I am keeping the flat bet modest so most of the 120-chip bankroll stays free for zero-edge odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Full 3x free odds behind the pass line on point 10 have zero house edge, which lowers the average edge per chip and maximizes odds utilization. I'm skipping the other bets because they carry a positive house edge.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has one of the lowest house edges, and a 10-chip flat keeps 30 chips in reserve for zero-edge free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

A small pass line flat bet on the come-out keeps most of the 30-chip bankroll free for zero-edge free odds once a point is set. Those odds lower the average house edge per chip wagered.

Model's stated reason

Free odds carry zero house edge, so taking the maximum 20 (4x, in an even-chip multiple) behind the pass line on 9 lowers the average edge per chip and maximizes odds utilization. The bankroll allows it: max_total_stake is 25.

Model's stated reason

The pass line already carries full 4x zero-edge odds on the 9, so I am adding nothing. Any new bet would carry a house edge and raise expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

A small pass line bet has a low house edge. It keeps 4 chips in reserve for zero-edge free odds if a point is set on the final decision roll.

Model's stated reason

Odds on the 6 must be staked in multiples of 5, but only 4 chips are available, so no odds can be taken. Every other legal bet carries a house edge, so I am leaving the pass line alone on the final roll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -994 chips over 40 rolls

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