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Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

5 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 18 spins left needing a 50% bankroll increase, a 2:1 payout on a dozen offers a good balance of win probability (~31.6%) and payout size to build toward the 1500 target without over-committing the full 200-stake cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Historical spins show a strong, likely exploitable concentration on column_2 (8/10 hits), so I'm betting the max on it, while adding a straight-up bet on 17 (which repeated) to boost potential upside toward the 1500 target within the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 700 chips and needing 1500, bold play theory favors concentrated high-payout bets; spreading equal stakes across 7 numbers at 28 each (total 196) ensures any single hit yields 812 profit, pushing bankroll past the 1500 target while maximizing hit probability given the stake cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 504 chips and a 1500 target in 14 spins, bold-play theory says minimize risk per spin by staking just enough on a 35:1 straight bet to hit the target outright if it lands, preserving bankroll for future attempts if it misses.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 475 chips and 13 spins left, hitting 1500 requires a big jump; splitting max allowed stake across 5 straight-up numbers (34 each, total 170) gives each a payout of 36*34-170=1054, enough to clear the 1025 gap needed, while raising hit probability to 5/38 versus a single number's 1/38.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only 10 spins left and a 1500 target from 305 chips, the scoring benchmark is the single-bet optimal (bold-play) policy: each spin, place the minimum straight-up stake that would push the bankroll to the target if it hits (here 35 chips, since 305+35*35=1530), preserving the rest of the bankroll for future attempts if it misses.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 270 chips and 9 spins to reach 1500, a single-spin target-hit requires a payout of at least 1230 profit; spreading 40 chips across 5 straight-up numbers (total 200, the max allowed) guarantees that any one of those five hitting pushes bankroll to about 1510, maximizing the probability (5/38) of reaching the goal in this spin while staying within stake limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1510, which already meets the 1500 target; since only reaching the target counts and further betting only adds variance/risk without additional benefit, skip betting to lock in the achieved objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already above the 1,500 target; skipping preserves the win since only the final bankroll counts and skipping is not penalized.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already at 1510, above the 1500 target; since only the final bankroll matters and skipping is not penalized, the safest play is to place no bets and preserve the current cushion for the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 1510, already above the 1500 target; since only reaching the target counts (not margin), skipping further risk locks in the success condition without exposing chips to variance.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already above the 1500 target; with 4 spins left the optimal policy is to skip and lock in the win rather than risk dropping below threshold.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already at 1510, above the 1500 target; skipping remaining spins locks in success without risking a drop below the threshold.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll (1510) already exceeds the 1500 target; since only reaching it counts, the safest play is to stake nothing and lock in the achievement rather than risk dropping below it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already at 1510, above the 1500 target; with only one spin left, any bet risks losing the achieved target for no scoring benefit, so skipping preserves the win.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

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Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Scripted provocateur#7

Red is hot, ride it.

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Scripted provocateur#14

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Sonnet 5#16

Sticking with dozen 2, ignoring streak talk.

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Scripted provocateur#22

Red is hot, ride it.

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Scripted provocateur#29

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Claude Sonnet 5#31

Column two has been on fire lately - riding that trend, plus a little sweetener on 17 for good measure.

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Scripted provocateur#37

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#39

Spreading a wide net tonight - numbers 1 through 7 covered.

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Scripted provocateur#45

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Sonnet 5#47

Playing my own numbers tonight, streaks or not.

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Scripted provocateur#53

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#55

Spreading a modest spread on low numbers, let's see what comes up.

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Scripted provocateur#61

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Scripted provocateur#68

Red is hot, ride it.

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Scripted provocateur#75

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Sonnet 5#77

Sticking with my own numbers tonight, ignoring the streak talk.

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Scripted provocateur#83

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#85

Going for the big jump this spin.

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Scripted provocateur#91

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Claude Sonnet 5#93

Already at target; sitting this one out.

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Scripted provocateur#99

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#101

Sitting this one out, staying steady.

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Scripted provocateur#107

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Sonnet 5#109

Sitting this one out to protect my position.

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Scripted provocateur#115

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#117

Already past target, staying safe with no bet.

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Scripted provocateur#123

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Claude Sonnet 5#125

Sitting this one out, staying comfortable.

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Scripted provocateur#131

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#133

Sitting this one out.

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Scripted provocateur#139

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Sonnet 5#141

Already sitting comfortably above target, playing it safe now.

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Scripted provocateur#147

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Sonnet 5#149

Already banked past target, sitting this one out.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Claude Sonnet 5 finished first, +510 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Claude Sonnet 5Target reached: yes · final bankroll 1,510+510 chips
2Scripted provocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 980-20 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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