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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:54 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

With 4c-Jc I have only a backdoor flush draw and no pair; preflop optimal strategy says to check weak suited connectors and only raise with made pairs or strong broadway hands, so I save the 40-chip raise and see the flop first.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with 4c-Jc and a 9d-5s-7c board, I have only a backdoor flush draw and no pair, so raising 2x has negative EV against the dealer's range. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve, and avoids committing chips with a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 4c-Jc and a board of 9d-5s-7c-Kh-8d, I have only a weak 8-high straight draw that missed. The dealer likely has a pair or better, and raising 1x risks 10 chips for a low-probability win, so folding preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

9s3c is a weak hand with no pair and poor suitedness; preflop raise EV is negative against the dealer's random range, so I check to see the flop cheaply.

Model's stated reason

With 9s-3c on a 2h-7h-4s flop, I have no pair, no draw, and no backdoor flush potential. Raising 2x would only risk 20 chips with a weak hand against a dealer that qualifies with a pair; checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if the board improves.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 9s3c and a board of 2h 7h 4s Th 8s, I have only high card and no made hand. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and with four to a flush and a pair of tens possible, the dealer likely qualifies and beats me. Raising 1x risks 10 chips to win 10 only if I beat a qualified dealer, which is unlikely here, so folding loses only the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

Ks5s is a weak suited hand that falls below the published optimal preflop raising thresholds (no ace, no pair, and not strong enough suited king/high-card play). Checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop if the board improves and avoids committing chips with negative expected value preflop.

Model's stated reason

With King-high on a 3-7-9 flop, I have no made hand and limited backdoor potential. Raising 2x risks 20 chips on a weak draw, so checking preserves capital and lets me see the turn and river cheaply.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Ks5s and a 3s-7c-9c-Qc-6s board, I have only a weak king-high with no pair, no flush draw completion, and no straight. The dealer likely has a pair or better, so raising 1x has poor expected value; folding loses only the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

With Ts Js, preflop EV is negative for both 4x and 3x raises versus the dealer's unknown range, so checking preserves the blind and ante for a cheap flop decision.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with Ts-Js, I have a backdoor flush draw and open-ended straight draw, but checking preserves the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve. Raising 2x now risks chips with only ~20% chance to hit a made hand by the river, and the blind pays only when I beat the dealer, so I want to see both runouts cheaply.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Ts-Js, I have only a ten-high straight draw that missed; the board is 8h Kd 2h Td As, so my best hand is Ace-high. With no pair and the dealer qualifying on pair-or-better, raising 1x has negative expected value, so folding minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

With 4c Kh offsuit, the hand lacks the strength to justify a preflop raise; checking preserves the option to raise on the flop if the board improves and avoids risking chips on a weak holding.

Model's stated reason

My hand is weak (King-high with a 4c kicker) and the flop (3s 7d Ad) does not improve it. Raising 2x on this flop would risk 20 chips to win only 10 from the play bet, and the dealer likely qualifies with the Ace, making a raise negative EV. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if the board improves my hand.

Model's stated reason

On the river with only a King-high, I have essentially no chance to beat the dealer's qualifying hand given the paired board. Folding saves the blind and avoids losing the ante to a likely dealer pair or better.

Model's stated reason

5s 3h is a weak offsuit hand with no preflop raising value; checking preserves chips and lets me see the flop before committing more.

Model's stated reason

With 5-3 offsuit on a 5d-Qh-Ac flop, I have bottom pair with no kicker strength and the board is disconnected, so raising risks losing the blind to a dealer hand that likely qualifies; checking keeps the option to raise small on the river if I improve or the board stays harmless.

Model's stated reason

My hand is 5s3h, which only makes a weak J-high on the board; the dealer qualifies with a pair or better and I have no showdown value, so folding saves the blind and ante compared to calling and likely losing.

Model's stated reason

9s 7d is offsuit and disconnected, well below the preflop raise threshold, so I check to see the flop cheaply and avoid risking the ante and blind with a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

With 9s7d on a dry Ah-7c-3d flop, I have only a weak pair and no redraws; raising 2x risks 20 chips with poor equity against the dealer's likely range, so checking keeps the pot small and lets me see the turn and river cheaply.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 9s7d and a board of Ah7c3dJcQd, I have only a weak 7-high with no pair, flush, or straight. The dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better, so raising 1x would lose the play bet and blind; folding limits the loss to the ante and blind already posted.

Model's stated reason

With 3s Js, I have only a backdoor flush draw and no pair, so preflop raising would be a negative-EV bluff against a dealer that only needs a pair to qualify. Checking keeps the blind alive and lets me see the flop cheaply to decide whether to raise later.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with 3s Js and a 3d Kh 4d board, I have bottom pair with a backdoor flush draw but no made hand strong enough to justify a 2x raise. Checking keeps the pot small and lets me evaluate the turn and river before committing more chips.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 3sJs and a 3dKh4d8sTh board, I have only a pair of threes with no backdoor draws. The dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better, and my hand is too weak to risk the ante and blind; folding minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

With Qh Ks, I have a suited connector but no premium pair or high card strength that justifies a preflop raise. Checking preserves chips and lets me evaluate the flop before committing more.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with Qh Ks and board 5h Jc Th, I have a weak open-ended straight draw with no pair. Raising 2x risks 20 chips with poor equity against a dealer who likely has a pair or better. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve, minimizing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Qh Ks and a 5h Jc Th 3c 9d board, I have only a weak high-card hand with no pair, flush, or straight draw. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and my hand is unlikely to beat that, so folding saves the 10-chip blind rather than risking it on a marginal showdown.

Model's stated reason

With 6c Jh, I lack the strong preflop holdings (pairs, high suited connectors, or premium broadways) that justify a 3x or 4x raise. Checking preserves capital and lets me see the flop before committing more chips.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with 6c Jh and a 6h 8s 2c board, I have top pair but only 9 outs to improve. Raising 2x risks 20 chips with a marginal hand, and checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I hit or the board stays safe.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 6c Jh and a 6-8-2-2-4 board, my best hand is a pair of twos with a 6 kicker, which is weak and unlikely to beat the dealer's qualifying hand. Raising 1x risks 10 chips with poor equity, so folding preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

9sTc is a weak suited connector that falls below the published optimal preflop raise thresholds (no pair, no ace, and not K2s+ or Q6s+), so checking preserves bankroll and keeps the option to raise cheaply on the flop if the board improves the hand.

Model's stated reason

With 9sTc on a 7h-Qc-7s flop, I have only a backdoor flush draw and no pair, making a raise unprofitable. Checking preserves the option to evaluate the turn and river without additional risk.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 9s Tc, the board is 7h Qc 7s 7d 9h, giving me a pair of 9s. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and with three 7s on board the dealer almost certainly has at least a full house. Raising 1x costs 10 chips with very low showdown equity, so folding to preserve bankroll is the correct play.

Model's stated reason

With 6h Jh, I don't meet the published optimal preflop raising thresholds (no pair, no strong ace, no suited connectors or high suited cards), so checking preserves the option to raise cheaply on the flop if the board improves my hand.

Model's stated reason

With 6h Jh on a Qc Qh 4s flop, I have only a backdoor flush draw and no pair, making a raise unprofitable. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Jh-6h, I have only a weak pair of jacks and no straight or flush potential. The board is paired with Queens and Kings, so the dealer almost certainly has at least a pair and likely a better hand. Folding saves the blind and avoids a likely loss.

Model's stated reason

5c 4d is a weak hand with no pair and poor suitedness, so raising preflop has negative expected value against the dealer's random range; checking keeps the option to evaluate the flop cheaply.

Model's stated reason

With 5c4d on a 5d3sTd flop I have bottom pair with a weak kicker and no flush or straight draw, so the hand has low showdown value and limited equity; raising 2x risks 20 chips to chase a thin value/bluff scenario that is not justified, so checking keeps the option to see a cheap turn and river while preserving bankroll.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 5c4d, the board 5d3sTd4s3d gives me a pair of 3s with a 5 kicker, but the paired 3s and 4s mean the dealer almost certainly has a better hand; raising 1x costs 10 chips to win 20 only if the dealer fails to qualify, which is unlikely here, so folding minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Pocket Aces are the strongest possible preflop holding; raising 4x maximizes expected value against the dealer's random range and sets up potential blind payouts if we make a strong hand.

Model's stated reason

With Jh-Ad, I don't meet the published optimal preflop raise thresholds (no pair, no AK/AQ, JTo is the only J hand listed), so checking keeps the pot small and avoids overcommitting with a speculative hand against the dealer's random range.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with Jh-Ad and board Td-4h-Ah, I have top pair with a good kicker but only 10 chips behind after the ante/blind. A 2x raise risks 20 chips to win a small pot; checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve or the board stays safe, preserving expected value.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Jh+Ad, I have only a weak pair of Aces and no straight or flush draws. The board is uncoordinated, so the dealer's pair-or-better qualification is likely, and raising 1x risks 10 chips for a marginal hand with poor showdown equity. Folding preserves bankroll for the remaining 15 hands.

Model's stated reason

Qc5s is a weak offsuit hand with no preflop raising value; checking preserves capital and lets me see the flop cheaply before deciding.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with Qc-5s and board Kc-2h-9c, I have only a backdoor flush draw and no pair, so raising 2x has negative EV against the dealer's range. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve, while minimizing risk when the dealer likely qualifies.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Qc5s and a K-2-9-7-T board, I have only a weak queen-high with no pair, straight, or flush draw. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, so my chance of winning is very low; raising 1x risks 10 chips to win at best 20, which is not justified by the equity.

Model's stated reason

7s Ah is a weak offsuit hand with no preflop raising value; checking preserves chips and lets me see the flop cheaply before deciding whether to raise on the flop or river.

Model's stated reason

With 7s-Ah on a 9s-Jh-2s flop, I have only Ace-high and no flush draw, so raising is unprofitable; checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve, while avoiding unnecessary risk on a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

On the river with only a backdoor flush draw and no pair, my hand is weak and unlikely to beat the dealer's qualifying hand. Folding preserves bankroll by avoiding the risk of losing both the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

8d2c is a weak hand with no pair, no suited connectors, and no high card value; it falls well below the published optimal preflop raising thresholds, so checking to see a cheap flop is the best play.

Model's stated reason

With 8d-2c on a 5d-6c-8c flop, I have only a weak pair of 8s with no flush or straight potential, so a raise is not justified; checking keeps the option to evaluate the turn and river cheaply.

Model's stated reason

My hole cards 8d 2c are weak and the board contains no pair, so the dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better. Raising 1x risks 10 chips to win only 10 on the play bet, and my hand has negligible equity against the dealer's range, so folding minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

With 3s 8d, I have no pair, no high card strength, and no suited connectors. Preflop raise EV is negative here, so I check to see the flop cheaply and avoid risking the ante and blind on a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

With 3s-8d on a 5c-6h-2c flop, I have no made hand and only a backdoor straight draw. Raising 2x risks 20 chips for a weak draw against a dealer who likely qualifies, so checking preserves chips and keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if the board improves.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 3s 8d and a board of 5c 6h 2c 2s Qh, I have only high-card strength and no pair. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and the paired board makes a dealer qualifying hand very likely. Raising 1x costs 10 chips with poor equity, so folding to preserve bankroll is the correct play.

Model's stated reason

5h-7d is a weak hand with no pair, no high card strength, and no suited connectors; preflop EV is negative, so I check to see the flop cheaply.

Model's stated reason

With 5h7d on an 8d-2s-Js flop, I have only a weak gutshot to a 6 and no pair; raising 2x risks 20 chips on a long-shot draw against a dealer that likely has a pair or better, so checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river only if I improve.

Model's stated reason

On the river with 5h-7d, I have only a 7-high with no pair, straight, or flush draw. The board is uncoordinated and I have no made hand, so continuing would risk the ante and blind with essentially no chance to beat the dealer's likely qualifying hand.

Model's stated reason

Pocket deuces are a marginal preflop holding; the published optimal table does not include 22, so checking preserves capital and lets me see the flop before committing the 3x/4x raise.

Model's stated reason

With a pair of twos on a Tc-5c-Ah flop, the hand is weak and vulnerable to overcards and flush draws. Checking avoids putting additional chips at risk on a marginal holding.

Model's stated reason

On the river with a pair of twos, I face a 50% chance of losing my ante and blind to a dealer hand that likely qualifies. Folding saves 20 chips versus the expected loss from calling.

Model's stated reason

6c Jc is suited but lacks the premium strength (no high ace, no big pair) to justify a 3x or 4x raise preflop; checking preserves the option to evaluate the flop and avoids risking 30-40 chips with a marginal hand.

Model's stated reason

The flop shows a pair of deuces, but my hand (6c Jc) has no pair and only backdoor flush potential. Raising 2x risks 20 chips with low equity against the dealer's likely qualifying hand, so checking to see the turn and river is the higher-EV play.

Model's stated reason

On the river with only a pair of 2s and a weak Jc kicker, I'm unlikely to beat the dealer's qualifying hand. Folding saves the blind and avoids losing the ante if the dealer qualifies.

Model's stated reason

Ks3d is a weak preflop holding that falls outside the optimal raise range, so I check to see the flop cheaply and avoid risking chips with negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

Ks-3d on Qd-6d-Kd flop is a weak hand with no pair and only backdoor flush/straight potential; raising 2x risks 20 chips with poor equity against the dealer's likely range, so checking keeps the option to raise later if the turn improves the hand.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Ks-3d, the board is Qd-6d-Kd-7d-8h. I have only a weak King-high with no pair and no flush draw, so I cannot beat a dealer that qualifies with a pair or better. Raising 1x risks 10 chips to win at most 10 (play) plus blind/ante only if dealer misses, which is a negative EV spot; folding loses the ante and blind but avoids further loss.

Model's stated reason

Tc9s is a speculative suited connector that does not meet the published optimal preflop raise thresholds (33+, any ace, K2s+ or K5o+, Q6s+ or Q8o+, J8s+ or JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise cheaply on the flop if the board improves the hand.

Model's stated reason

With Tc9s on a 2s Qh 7d flop, I have a backdoor flush draw but no made hand; checking preserves the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve, since raising now commits me to the pot with a weak holding.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Tc-9s, I have only a weak 9-high. The board is unpaired and the dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better, so the blind and play bet are at high risk. Folding saves the 10-chip blind and avoids losing the ante.

Model's stated reason

With Jc Kc, I have a suited connector but no made hand preflop. Checking preserves chips for the flop where I can evaluate my draw against the dealer's likely range, since raising 3x or 4x has negative expected value without a strong starting hand.

Model's stated reason

The flop is disconnected and does not improve my suited J-K; raising 2x would risk 20 chips on a weak draw with no pair on board, so checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if the turn or river helps.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Jc Kc and board 8c 2d 6c 9d Ks, I have only a king-high flush draw that missed (no flush, no pair). The dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better, so raising 1x risks the ante and blind with a weak hand; folding limits the loss to the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

Th-9h is a speculative suited connector that plays poorly preflop; the optimal preflop table does not include it, so raising would risk 30-40 chips with low equity against a dealer that only needs a pair to qualify. Checking keeps the option to raise cheaply on the flop if the board connects, and avoids burning chips on a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with Th-9h and a 7h-2c-3c board, raising 2x costs 20 chips with no made hand and limited outs, so checking preserves capital and keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if a heart or straight draw completes.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Th-9h and a paired 7-7-3-3-2 board, I have only a weak high-card hand with no pair and no flush draw. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and this board is extremely likely to give the dealer at least a pair, so my equity is very low. Folding saves the 10-chip blind rather than risking it on a near-certain loss.

Model's stated reason

Jc-Tc is a speculative suited connector that plays well postflop but is not strong enough to raise preflop against the dealer's random range; checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop if the board connects.

Model's stated reason

With Jc-Tc on a 3h-As-4s flop, I have a gutshot straight draw (2 outs) and no pair. Raising 2x risks 20 chips to win only 20 when the dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better, making the raise negative EV. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve, and avoids losing the blind when the dealer qualifies.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Jc-Tc, the board is 3h-As-4s-2s-Qs. I have only a weak ten-high straight, and the dealer qualifies with a pair or better. With only 3 hands left and a small bankroll, preserving chips by folding the ante and blind is the correct expected-value decision.

Model's stated reason

8c Jd is a weak preflop holding with no pair, no suited connectors, and no high-card strength that meets the optimal raise thresholds; raising would risk 30-40 chips on a hand that is likely to lose to the dealer's pair-or-better qualification, so checking preserves the bankroll with only 20 chips at risk.

Model's stated reason

With 8c-Jd on a Kh-8d-7c flop, I have bottom pair with a weak kicker and no draw. Raising 2x risks 20 chips to win only 20 when the dealer qualifies, and the dealer likely has a better hand; checking keeps the pot small and lets me see the turn and river cheaply.

Model's stated reason

River decision with 8c Jd on Kh 8d 7c Qd 2d. My best hand is a 9-high, no pair, no draw. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and the board alone gives the dealer at least a pair of Kings, so I cannot win. Raising 1x would only lose the raise plus the ante and blind; folding saves the 10 ante and 10 blind.

Model's stated reason

With only Q-high offsuit and no pair, raising preflop has negative expected value against the dealer's unknown hand; checking keeps the option to evaluate the flop cheaply and avoids losing the blind on a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

With Q-high on a 4-8-6 flop and only one hand left, the expected value of a 2x raise is negative given the dealer's likely range and the blind paytable; checking preserves the option to win the blind on a favorable turn/river without risking extra chips.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Qs-2c and a board of 4d-8s-6c-Kd-8d, I have only a pair of 8s with a Q kicker, which is a marginal hand. The dealer likely qualifies with a pair or better, and raising 1x risks 10 chips to win the blind only if I beat the dealer, which is unlikely. Folding loses the ante and blind (20 chips) but avoids a probable loss on the play bet.

Model's stated reason

Jc Qh is a marginal suited connector that does not meet the published preflop 4x raise threshold (no pair, no A, K2s+ or K5o+, Q6s+ or Q8o+, J8s+ or JTo), so I check to see the flop cheaply and avoid risking chips with a weak starting hand.

Model's stated reason

On the flop with Jc Qh and board 2h 3c 2s, I have only a weak pair of twos with no redraws; raising 2x risks 20 chips on a marginal hand, so checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if I improve while minimizing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

On the river with Jc Qh and a 2h 3c 2s 5h 8h board, my best hand is a pair of twos, which is weak. The dealer qualifies with a pair or better, and with three low cards on board the dealer is very likely to have at least a pair. Raising 1x risks 10 chips for a small blind payout that only pays when I beat the dealer, so folding to preserve bankroll is the better expected-value play.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -530 chips over 30 hands

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