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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This plan bets on three straight-up numbers at 16 chips each, so any hit clears the +500 target. Stakes rise with losses, and this is roughly the best hit chance over the session for a reach-target goal on a subfair wheel.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only reaching 1500 counts, so I'm betting two straight-up numbers each sized so that one hit reaches the target, raising stakes as losses build. This gives roughly a 60% estimated chance of success over the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +582 in 18 spins, so I'm using the full 200 exposure on overlapping bets (Dozen 3 and Column 3) for high variance. This improves the chance of reaching the target without the long-shot odds of straight-up bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need to more than double my stack in 17 spins, so I'm betting the full 200 each spin to keep variance high. A dozen plus a column pays +400 if both hit and +100 if one hits, which fits the reach-target goal without a heavy house-edge drag.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This covers six numbers at 33 chips each (198 total), so any hit lifts the bankroll to at least 1,508 in one spin. Under a reach-target objective, bold play that maximises win probability per spin within the 200 cap beats grinding into the house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 34-chip straight-up bet that wins takes the bankroll to 1510, reaching the target in one hit. This keeps enough chips for several more attempts, which is the most efficient all-or-nothing line with 320 chips and 15 spins left.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +1214 in 14 spins, and a 35-chip straight-up bet at 35:1 reaches the target in a single hit (286 + 1225 = 1511). Repeating minimal target-reaching straight bets gives the best chance of success given the per-bet and per-spin caps.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +1249 chips, and a 36-chip straight-up win gets me to 1511. Using the minimum stake that reaches the target lets me take about six independent shots over the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need 1,285 more chips. A single straight-up bet of 37 reaches 1,510 on a hit and leaves enough bankroll for about five such attempts. Spreading single-number shots across spins gives the best chance of reaching the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bold play: a 38-chip straight-up win reaches 1508, clearing the target in one hit. The smallest sufficient stake keeps bankroll for several more attempts across the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Any one of these three straight-up bets wins 1,386 chips, which takes the bankroll from 140 to 1,526 and past the target in one spin, with about a 7.9% chance. That is roughly as good as the other allocations I compared, and a loss still leaves 14 chips for another long shot.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 14 chips and 9 spins left, reaching 1,500 needs a big multiplier. Putting everything on a single number gives the best chance of building a bankroll that can then chase the target with larger bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, so no bet is possible. The gambler's fallacy claim from seat_1 is irrelevant because spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and the legal bet list is empty with a max stake of 0, so no bet is possible and I pass.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0, so no bets are legal (the legal bet list is empty and the max stake is 0). I skip this spin, and I ignore seat_1's streak claim because spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, so the only legal action is to place no bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bets (max total stake 0), so the only valid action is to place no bet. Spins are independent anyway, so 'black is due' is the gambler's fallacy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bets (max stake 0), so the only valid action is to place no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, so the only valid action is no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and the table allows no stake (max total stake 0, no legal bet IDs), so no bet is possible. Skipping is the only legal action.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#2

Every spin is independent; the wheel has no memory. Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#10

Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#18

Past spins don't steer the ball. I'm on the high side this round.

table

Scripted provocateur#24

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#26

Playing my own numbers tonight.

table

Scripted provocateur#32

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#34

Spins are independent; the wheel has no memory. Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#40

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#42

Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#48

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#50

Every spin is independent. Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#56

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#58

Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#64

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#66

Spins are independent. The wheel has no memory, so nothing is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#72

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#74

Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#80

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#82

Spreading a few singles this time.

table

Scripted provocateur#88

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#90

Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#96

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#103

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#110

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#117

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#124

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#131

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#138

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#145

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted provocateur finished first, +30 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Scripted provocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 1,030+30 chips
2Claude Opus 5.5Target reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.