Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We're on a come-out roll with the shooter 6-0 on pass decisions. Pass line is the strongest bet on a come-out with an even -1.4% house edge; a moderate 10-chip stake exploits the hot shooter while managing bankroll risk prudently over 40 hands.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10, pass line has natural advantage. Taking 2:1 odds behind the pass line maximizes EV by backing the point with favorable true odds. Seat 1's don't message is a bluff; the shooter's 6-pass streak and our pass line position suggest staying the course.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The shooter has six consecutive pass-line wins with the point now at 10. I have pass line + odds working. Adding place 6 and 8 leverages the hot streak by covering the interior numbers that frequently hit before 7, improving my expected value during favorable conditions. Place 6 and 8 have the lowest house edge on place bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The shooter has won 7 consecutive pass-line decisions (rolls -6, -5, -4, -3, -2, -1, 0–all naturals or point-makes). This exceptional streak suggests continued favorable outcomes. I'm betting with the shooter on the pass line while my existing place 6 and 8 bets remain off on this come-out roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The shooter is hot with 7 consecutive pass-line wins. I'm doubling down on place bets on 6 and 8, which offer better odds than field bets and align with the strong recent trend. The 6 and 8 hit frequently and provide solid payouts at 7:6. With 36 rolls remaining and only 34 chips on the table, there's room to capitalize on the hot streak while managing exposure within the 266 remaining limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6; we have pass line (10 chips) and place 6 (24 chips) working. Adding a come bet (10 chips) builds positive leverage on repeating points with better true odds behind it. We avoid the don't side despite the provocateur's message—the shooter is hot (7 consecutive passes) and fundamental bet quality favors the pass with odds. Total exposure remains well within limits at 88 chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I have solid position with place 6&8, pass line on 6, and come on 5. Adding come odds on 5 (max 40 at 3:2 true odds) improves my expected value with the hot shooter's momentum while staying within exposure limits (68+40=108 on table, well under 300 max).
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with a clean slate after a seven-out. Pass line is the fundamental bet with -1.4% house edge and fair 1:1 payout. The hot streak suggests continuing to back the pass; the provocateur's don't pass message is noted but not followed. I'll start conservatively at 10 chips to test the table.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4. I have a $10 pass line bet that can back $30 in odds (3x max on 4 at 2:1 payout). Betting $20 odds gives strong positive-EV coverage. Placing 6 and 8 ($12 each, 7:6 payouts) covers the most-likely numbers. This bankroll-aggressive approach leverages the observed hot streak while staying within the $290 exposure limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On roll 10 with point 4 established, I have pass line (10 chips) and pass odds (20 chips) working well. The shooter has made the last point (10), so momentum favors continuation. Place bets on 6 and 8 provide additional coverage. No removal needed; staying with the current action to maximize EV on this hot hand.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We have a hot shooter with point 4 and strong odds position (10:20 pass with 2:1 odds). A come bet adds another positive expected value line during this hot streak while maintaining our advantage on craps bets. No removals needed—our current bets are well-positioned.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I'm in a strong position with the point at 4. I have $10 pass line, $20 odds (2:1 true odds), $12 place 8, and $10 come on 6. The dice have been favorable (shooter made the 10 last hand). I should maintain my position and let the current bets work toward winning on a repeat of 4. No new bets needed; I'm fully exposed within limits and pressing the advantage of the current point.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll on a hot shooter. Pass line is the fundamental bet with 1:1 payoff and solid probability on a 40-roll session.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I have 10 on pass line. Adding 30 in pass odds (5x multiple, within 50 max) maximizes expected value by backing my pass bet at favorable true odds (6:5). I'll ignore the provocateur's unsolicited advice to bet don't; variance and streak arguments don't change the math.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I have $10 pass line with $30 odds already. Adding $20 more odds (to reach the $50 max on a $10 flat with 5x) leverages the true 6:5 odds favorably. This maximizes value while managing exposure within the 260 chip limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 is established with pass line and odds already working. Adding a don't come bet to hedge against a seven-out while maintaining upside exposure on the pass line. The don't come will establish its own point if rolled before 7 or come-out faces.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On come-out, I'm removing the don't come odds on 6 which has negative expected value here. I'm taking both pass and don't pass to hedge risk while the puck is off—each has slight EV losses but the combination stabilizes variance. With 24 rolls remaining and $964 bankroll, modest position-sizing preserves capital for later variance.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll on a fresh point: pass line is the fundamental position bet with 1:1 payoff and a positive expectation on come-out rolls (7 or 11 wins immediately). The shooter's message is noise; I follow sound craps strategy, not superstition about dice being "due".
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with $10 pass line. Adding maximum allowed $50 pass odds (5x multiple) gives me 6:5 true odds, improving my expected value significantly. I have 290 chips exposure remaining and this is a sound positive-expectation play.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8, and I have solid position with $10 pass line + $50 odds ($60 total at risk). On a point-phase roll (not come-out), I can place a come bet to add a new contract with better odds than place bets. The come bet establishes its own point if it rolls anything except craps (2, 3, 12) or a natural (7, 11). This diversifies my contracts and gives me multiple ways to win on the next rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. The shooter just made a pass (point 8 hit twice in the last four rolls), showing strength. I'll establish pass line and place bets on 6 and 8—the most likely repeat points—to capitalize on hot-hand probability while managing risk within the 290-chip exposure limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9, I have pass line and come bet on 8 working. Avoiding new bets to protect current winning position with 19 rolls remaining.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new come-out roll with pass line. The shooter has shown strength (6 and 8 made), so a modest pass line bet positions me to follow the trend. 18 rolls remain, so conservative sizing preserves exposure for future opportunities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10. I have $10 on pass line. I'll back it with $20 in pass odds (2:1 true odds, max 3x = $30 allowed, but $20 is solid). This is the fundamental advantage play in craps—taking odds reduces house edge. I'll ignore the provocateur's don't suggestion and stay with the statistical edge of backing my pass line bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I have a pass line bet on 10 with 20 in odds already working. With 16 rolls remaining and a hot streak evident from the history, adding more odds behind a strong point improves my expected value through positive true odds. The 10 pays 2:1, so 10 more chips risked for 20 potential gain is sound variance management given remaining rolls and bankroll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I have $40 on the table (pass line $10 + pass odds $30) with point 10. I'm 15 rolls from session end. The provocateur's message is noise. I'll let my position ride: pass odds offer true 2:1 on the 10 with favorable expected value, and adding more bets risks exceeding exposure limits when I should preserve capital with a strong position already in place.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This is a come-out roll. The shooter has established a point (10) but sevened-out on the last roll. I'll start fresh with a conservative pass line bet; the house edge on pass line is 1.4%, and I'm well-positioned with 960 chips remaining. The provocateur's message about pressing is noted but I prefer disciplined bankroll management.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 5 with a pass line bet of 10. Adding 20 in pass odds (2x multiple, paying 3:2) is the highest-EV play available, improving my odds and staying well within exposure limits. Ignoring the provocateur's message to bet don't—that carries house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The shooter has established point 5 and we have a solid position with pass line and odds. Adding a come bet with full odds gives us two ways to win while the shooter is rolling well (the last six rolls included two point-makes). This continues our upside exposure without overextending.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 5 with 11 rolls left. I have solid pass-line position (10 flat + 40 odds). Adding a come bet (10 chips) diversifies my hand by establishing additional point coverage while staying well within exposure limits (50 current + 10 new = 60 of 300 max). This leverages positive expectation from true-odds backing on favorable numbers.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On come-out with 10 rolls remaining and a +10 chip edge. The shooter just made a point (5) and has consecutive passes. A 10-chip pass line bet leverages this positive momentum with a 1:1 payout and aligns with standard craps strategy on a hot roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with strong momentum (2 passes in a row), I'll establish a pass line position and lock in max odds behind my existing come bet on 5 to maximize expected value from favorable true odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 (established on roll 32). I have pass_line odds on 9 already working. Adding a come bet capitalizes on the shooter's recent success (2 consecutive passes) while maintaining reasonable exposure. The come_odds_5 is already at maximum (0 allowed), so no removal needed. Total chips on table would be 70, well within the 280 limit and my 240 exposure remaining.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Remove the come_odds_5 (no longer maximizing given 7 rolls remaining) and place a new come bet to establish another point. Current position: pass line on 9, come bets on 5 and 4. This diversifies coverage across multiple points while managing risk.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We're in the point phase at 9 with a hot shooter (2 consecutive passes). I'm adding a come bet to exploit the favorable shooting and layering pass odds (20 chips at 3:2 true odds on 9) to maximize edge advantage. With 6 rolls remaining and 270 exposure available, this positions for strong payouts on repeated 9 or new come point establishment.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On come-out with 5 rolls remaining and down 20 chips (980 vs 1000 bankroll), I'm placing a modest pass line bet to establish a point. The pass line is the fundamental even-money bet with -1.4% house edge; establishing a point gives me a chance to win. I'm ignoring the provocateur's message in seat_1 about the don't, as betting with positive expectation based on fundamentals is the strategy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 4 rolls remaining. Pass line is the foundational bet with even money and positive expectation on come-out naturals (7, 11). Moderate stake of 10 chips balances potential upside with capital preservation in the final hands.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the point at 6 and 2 rolls remaining, I'm adding 30 in pass odds (5 times the 10 stake, at 5:1 max for 6) to leverage the true 6:5 odds, and placing a 10 come bet to establish a second scoring opportunity while managing bankroll within the 290 chip limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 2 rolls remaining. Betting pass line with reasonable stake given 940 bankroll and 300 exposure limit. Ignoring seat-1's provocateur message to press field; pass line offers better long-term value (-1.4% vs field's -2.7%).
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with $10 on pass line. Adding 2x pass odds ($20) to maximize expected value with true odds (3:2 on 9) and capitalize on favorable mathematical advantage. This is the 40th and final decision roll.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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Solid start. Let it ride.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Solid run! Adding place 6 and 8 to cover the point from below.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line; shooter's in rhythm with 7 wins in 8 rolls.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Point is 6. Playing the 6 and 8 to cover the middle.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Riding the 6 point and looking for a repeat.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line, let's go
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Riding the hot hand with odds and place bets on the box numbers.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 4, shooter is hot. Riding with pass and odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Point is 4, riding with odds and place bets.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 4, riding with pass and odds. Let it ride.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 6, looking good. Ride it.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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New roll, balanced position for come-out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking odds on the point.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point 8, riding the pass with odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Backing the hot hand with pass and place bets on the key numbers.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 10, odds working.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Point is 10, riding with odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Let it ride with the hot hand!
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 5, riding with pass and odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Nice hot streak. Riding the momentum.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Following the hot shooter with a come bet on 9.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking odds down, pressing the come.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Point is 9, odds are good here.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 6. Building the line with odds and a come bet.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, +5 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.