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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Use the minimum flat stake to establish a don't-pass bet, then add the maximum legal laid odds once its point is set; the odds carry no house edge.

Model's stated reason

I’m making no wager because every available bet has nonnegative expected loss, while sitting out preserves my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

No available wager has positive expected value; passing preserves my bankroll and avoids house edge.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value; preserving the bankroll avoids the house edge.

Model's stated reason

No available bet has positive expected value; abstaining avoids adding house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value; keeping the bankroll unexposed maximizes expected chips over the session.

Model's stated reason

A don't-come flat bet has a relatively low house edge and can qualify for fair-odds coverage if it establishes a point. I’m limiting the flat stake to one chip to minimize expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No new wager has positive expected value. The existing don't-come bet on 6 has favorable odds in its current state, so I’ll leave it working.

Model's stated reason

A minimum don't-come bet has a relatively low house edge among the available wagers; I’ll keep exposure small and leave the existing bet in place.

Model's stated reason

Add the maximum legal laid odds behind the existing don't-come 5; odds have no house edge, improving odds utilization without adding expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No new wager has positive expected value. The existing traveled don't-come bets have favorable conditional value at their established points, while the attached odds are fair, so I’ll leave them in place.

Model's stated reason

No new wager has positive expected value. The existing don't-come bet on 5 is currently favorable conditional on its point being established, and its laid odds are fair, so I’ll leave both in place.

Model's stated reason

The don't-pass line has a slightly lower house edge than pass. A 100-chip flat bet also creates the largest opportunity to use zero-edge laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Add the maximum legal laid odds behind the existing don't-pass bet. Odds pay true odds and carry no house edge.

Model's stated reason

A minimum-size don't-pass bet has a slightly lower house edge than pass line and limits expected loss. If it establishes a point, I can add fair-odds coverage on a later decision.

Model's stated reason

Add the full legal laid-odds amount behind the existing don't-pass bet. Odds have zero house edge and increase the favorable exposure at this established point.

Model's stated reason

No new bet has positive expected value; the existing don't-pass flat bet is favorable conditional on point 4, and its laid odds are fair, so I leave both in place.

Model's stated reason

With every available wager carrying negative expected value and no positive-EV opportunity, placing no new bets best preserves my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

No available wager has positive expected value; abstaining avoids additional expected losses.

Model's stated reason

No available wager has positive expected value, so keeping the chips avoids expected losses.

Model's stated reason

Every available wager has negative expected value, so placing no bet best preserves chips and minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

A 1-chip don't-come bet has the lowest house edge among the currently available bets; keep exposure minimal.

Model's stated reason

No new bet is worth its house edge. Keep the existing don't-come 8: with it established, it wins on 7 before 8, which is favorable from this point onward.

Model's stated reason

A one-chip don't-pass wager has a low house edge and limits expected loss; I’m keeping the existing don't-come bet in place.

Model's stated reason

Add the maximum available true-odds-free laid odds behind the existing don't-pass bet; this adds no house edge and improves odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

No new bet offers positive expected value; the active don't-pass and don't-come bets have favorable conditional odds, while the laid odds are fair, so I’ll leave them in place.

Model's stated reason

No new bet has positive expectation. Keep the established don't-come 8, which currently has favorable odds of winning on 7 before losing on 8.

Model's stated reason

A don't-come flat has a slightly lower house edge than a pass/come flat. The 48-chip stake leaves room to add maximum legal laid odds if it establishes a point.

Model's stated reason

Add the maximum legal laid odds behind the existing don't-come 5; odds carry no house edge and improve odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

I’ll leave the existing don't-come bet and fair odds in place; adding another flat wager would introduce house edge, while the current don't-come position is favorable from here.

Model's stated reason

No new wager: the available bets carry a house edge, while the existing don't-come position and its odds are already working. Leave those bets in place rather than giving up their current continuation value.

Model's stated reason

No wager has positive expected value, so preserving the remaining bankroll is the best way to maximize expected chips.

Model's stated reason

A minimum don't-come wager has the lowest house edge among the available flat bets and can support fair laid odds if it travels to a point. Keeping the stake minimal limits expected loss.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, and there are no existing bets to manage. With no requirement to wager, staying out preserves the bankroll and avoids expected losses.

Model's stated reason

The don't-pass flat bet has the lowest house edge among the available line bets. Keep exposure minimal, and add maximum available laid odds if a point is established because odds carry no house edge.

Model's stated reason

Add the maximum legal laid odds behind the existing don't-pass point; odds pay true odds and carry no house edge.

Model's stated reason

No new wager has positive expected value. Keep the existing don't-pass bet and fair-odds stake in place; the odds add no house edge.

Model's stated reason

With only two decision rolls left, every available bet has negative expected value; leaving the table empty avoids unnecessary expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value, so I’m preserving the remaining bankroll rather than adding a house-edge wager on the final decision roll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -85 chips over 40 rolls

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