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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

5 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest house-edge flat bet (1.41%) and pays 1:1 on 7/11. I'm taking the full 100-unit stake to maximize expected value while staying well within the 300-unit table limit.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest-edge flat bet (~1.36% house edge) and is removable, so I take it at max stake to anchor the hand. No odds yet since there is no point.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8, so I lay max odds behind my don't pass to get true odds with no house edge, keeping total exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 and I hold a don't pass with laid odds, which is the lowest-edge position. I will not add any new bets this roll and keep the table quiet.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest-edge flat bet (bar 12 push), so I take the full 100 to anchor the hand and leave room for odds later if a point sets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a 100 chip don't pass bet already working; no odds are placed to keep expected loss low and preserve bankroll for the remaining 30 rolls.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among legal bets here and is the best way to use the table's odds behind a pass bet later. I'm betting the max 100 to anchor a strong position and leave room to add odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a pass line bet already active. Taking maximum free odds (100) behind the pass line reduces overall house edge on this hand and uses available exposure efficiently.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with pass line and odds already working. No new bets; let the point roll resolve.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here, so I place the maximum allowed to minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass bet; laying max odds (99, a multiple of 3) at 2:3 reduces the combined house edge and uses available exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass and 99 laid odds already working. The remaining 24 rolls are too few to justify adding new bets; I will keep the table unchanged and let the existing don't-pass position ride out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and odds already working. The remaining legal bets all carry a house edge, so I take no action to avoid adding negative-EV exposure while the current bets ride out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and 99 odds already working. No new bets; the odds bet is already at the 3x ceiling for a 9 point, so no further odds can be added.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass and 99 laid odds already working. The remaining 21 rolls are too few to amortize the house edge of one-roll sucker bets, so I leave the table unchanged and let the existing negative-EV bets run out.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here (bar 12 push), so I take the best EV available with a full 100-chip stake.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll and multi-roll bets available here, and I want to establish a flat bet so I can take maximum odds if a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has a positive expected value on this roll (wins on 7 or 11) and is the lowest-house-edge flat bet overall. Starting with a modest 10-chip pass line bet keeps exposure low while preserving bankroll for odds later if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among available bets, so I take it for the session. No odds available yet since no point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a 50 flat pass line bet; laying the maximum 100 in pass odds (2:1 on 10) gives the best true-odds leverage behind the flat bet and keeps total exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a maxed pass line and odds bet; no legal odds remain and no positive-E bets are available, so I stand pat to avoid adding negative-E exposure.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take a small don't pass position on the come-out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass flat already down. Laying max odds (48, the 5x multiple of the 10 flat) is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass and 48 laid odds already working. No new bets; the existing position is already optimal and I am conserving bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass line and is the best flat bet available on a come-out. With only 7 chips, I stake the full bankroll on don't pass to maximize expected value per chip.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 7-out imminent on average; my only bet is a non-removable don't pass on 6 that already won. No legal bets are available this roll, so I hold and wait for the come-out to re-engage.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here (~1.36% vs field ~5.56% and place bets ~6.7%+), so I put my entire remaining bankroll on don't pass.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF and no legal bets available; no action possible this roll.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and legal_bet_ids is empty, so no bets can be placed. I will wait for the next come-out roll.

Model's stated reason

No legal bets are available this roll (legal_bet_ids is empty), so I pass. The puck is ON with point 10 and I have no flat bets behind it, so there is nothing to back with odds or take down.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no legal bets available; pass line and don't pass are not in the legal_bet_ids list, so I take no action.

Model's stated reason

No legal bets are available this roll (legal_bet_ids is empty), so I pass and wait for the next decision roll.

Model's stated reason

No legal bets are available in this phase, so I pass. My bankroll is 0 and the table is empty, so there is nothing to place or remove.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0 and no legal bets are available this roll, so I cannot place any action. I will wait for the next roll to see if the state changes.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll (roll 40 of 40) with only 1 roll remaining. My bankroll is 0 and I have no legal bets available (legal_bet_ids is empty). There is nothing I can do on this roll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -1,000 chips over 40 rolls

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