Showdown Hold'em table
Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop raise range for Casino Hold'em, so A3 offsuit is a 4x raise.
Model's stated reason
3h2h is far outside the optimal 4x preflop range, so I check and see the flop, keeping the option to raise 2x or fold on the river. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
3-2 of hearts on Q-8-K is just a backdoor flush draw with no pair and no overcards. That is too weak to put 2x more ante at risk on the flop, so I check and decide again on the river.
Model's stated reason
The board A-K-Q-T-8 is all I have, and 3h2h adds nothing. The dealer beats it with about 81% of holdings (any pair, a J, a 9, pocket pairs, or two clubs) and otherwise only ties, so I never win. Raising has EV about -24 against -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
Ace-high hands like A7o are in the published optimal 4x range (any ace), so raising 4x preflop maximizes expected value against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
Ace-x hands are in the published optimal 4x preflop raise range (any ace), so A4 offsuit gets the maximum raise. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
Pocket eights are in the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the best expected value.
Model's stated reason
Ace-high hands are in the published optimal 4x range (any ace), so the maximum preflop raise is the highest-EV play with A-T offsuit.
Model's stated reason
9-3 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raise range (the 9s hands need to be much stronger), so checking preflop keeps risk low and lets me see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.
Model's stated reason
Middle pair of nines on a Js-9h-5s flop is a solid made hand against a random dealer holding, so the 2x raise has positive expected value.
Model's stated reason
7-2 offsuit is far outside the 4x range and a weak hand, so I check and see the flop for free without raising.
Model's stated reason
7h 2c on an 8s Kd Jh flop is just seven-high with no pair, no real draw and only a gutshot-ish backdoor, so a 2x raise has negative expected value. Checking keeps the loss small and lets me decide again on the river.
Model's stated reason
The board pairs 8s, so the dealer always qualifies, and my 7 kicker loses to almost any dealer holding with an A, K, Q, J, 10, 9, 7, 5 or a pocket pair. I win only about 8% of the time, so raising is about -2.6 antes versus -2 for folding.
Model's stated reason
Ace-x hands are in the published optimal 4x preflop range (any ace), so A2o is a 4x raise. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
5-T offsuit is outside the optimal 4x raise range, which covers 33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+ and JTo. Checking preflop keeps the option to raise on the flop or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
Tens and fives (two pair) on the flop is well ahead of the dealer's range, so the 2x raise has clearly positive expectation.
Model's stated reason
K6 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so a 4x preflop raise is the correct play. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
T9 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x preflop range, so I check and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river.
Model's stated reason
Two pair, tens and nines, on an Ace-high flop is well ahead of most dealer holdings, so the 2x raise has clear positive expectation.
Model's stated reason
J-T offsuit is in the published optimal 4x preflop raise range (JTo), so raising 4x maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
8-2 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
8-2 offsets on a K-J-9 flop has no pair and only a weak straight draw needing two specific cards, so raising 2x is negative EV. Checking keeps the option to fold or raise 1x on the river.
Model's stated reason
My pair of deuces beats the dealer only when they miss a pair, about 41% of the time. Raising 1x has EV of roughly -13.7 chips, which beats folding at -20.
Model's stated reason
5-2 offsuit is a weak hand outside the optimal 4x raise range, so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
I hold only a pair of fours with a weak 5 kicker, and the board pair guarantees the dealer qualifies. Almost any dealer card above a 5 beats me, so a 2x raise has negative expectation. I will check and re-evaluate on the river.
Model's stated reason
I have two pair, fours and twos with a queen kicker. The board pair of fours means the dealer always qualifies. By my count the dealer beats me with roughly 39% of holdings (any 4, Q or 8, pocket pairs above fours, 2 with K or A), so the 1x raise has clearly positive expectation, while folding loses 20 chips for sure.
Model's stated reason
6-3 offsuit is far outside the 4x raising range and a weak 3x holding, so I check preflop to keep risk low and see the flop, where I can raise 2x or check again.
Model's stated reason
6d3c on Ad8d7s has no pair, only a backdoor flush draw and a weak straight draw, so equity against a dealer who qualifies with any ace is too low to risk a 2x raise. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
6d-3c with the board makes a 6-high straight (6-7-8-9-T). Only a dealer holding a Jack (7-J straight) beats it, about 17% of holdings, so raising 1x is clearly +EV.
Model's stated reason
Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop raise range for Casino Hold'em, so A3 offsuit is a 4x raise.
Model's stated reason
K6 suited falls within the published optimal 4x range (K2s+), so raising 4x is the correct preflop play. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
9h6h is a suited 9-high hand, outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and keep the flop raise option open.
Model's stated reason
My hand is only the board's aces with a 9 kicker, so any dealer ace, pair, or K/Q/J/T kicker beats me. The dealer always qualifies on the board pair of aces, so a 2x raise here has negative expectation. Checking keeps the river fold available.
Model's stated reason
The dealer always qualifies on this AA board and beats my pair of aces with any diamond flush, any A/K/Q/J/10 kicker, any pair, or 8/3/2 two pair. I win only about 5-6% of the time, well below the 20% needed to raise, so folding loses less.
Model's stated reason
QTo falls inside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+), so a 4x preflop raise is the highest-EV play.
Model's stated reason
Pocket kings are a premium hand and well inside the optimal 4x range, so the maximum preflop raise has the highest expected value.
Model's stated reason
K9 offsuit is inside the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so a 4x raise maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
T9 suited is outside the published 4x range (J8s+ is the cutoff for jacks, and T9s is not listed), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop.
Model's stated reason
Flop gives me top two pair (Tens and Nines) with a backdoor flush draw, a strong made hand against the house, so raising 2x on the flop is clearly positive EV.
Model's stated reason
5s Ts is not in the 4x raise range (T-high suited with a 5 kicker is weak), so I check preflop and see the flop to keep the risk low, with the option to raise 2x there.
Model's stated reason
Tens and eights (two pair) on the flop is well ahead of the dealer's likely holdings, so the 2x raise has clearly positive expected value.
Model's stated reason
Q-T offsuit is inside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+), so a 4x preflop raise maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
Pocket aces are the strongest starting hand and are well inside the optimal 4x range, so the maximum preflop raise maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
Q6 offsuit is outside the published 4x range (Q8o+ or Q6s+), so I check and see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.
Model's stated reason
Queen-high with only a backdoor club flush draw and a gutshot-type straight draw is too weak to put 2x more at risk on the flop. Checking keeps the river option open.
Model's stated reason
I hold an 8-high flush (8c 7c 6c 5c 3c). Only a dealer holding Ac, Kc, Qc, Jc, 10c or 9c beats it, which is about 249 of 990 holdings (~25%). That makes the 1x raise clearly positive EV compared with folding.
Model's stated reason
7-T offsuit is outside the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so checking preflop and re-evaluating on the flop is the best play.
Model's stated reason
Pair of tens (top pair) on the flop is well ahead of the dealer's range and has some straight potential, so the 2x raise has positive expectation.
Model's stated reason
7-8 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so I check and re-evaluate on the flop with only the ante and blind at risk.
Model's stated reason
I hold eights and sevens (two pair) on a Js-8s-7h flop, which is well ahead of the dealer's likely range, so the 2x raise has clear positive expected value.
Model's stated reason
QJo falls inside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+), so a 4x preflop raise maximizes expected value.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat offChat is off for this match.
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Session result: +345 chips over 30 hands
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