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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the menu. A modest 20-chip flat bet leaves room under the 100-per-bet and 300-exposure caps to take full free odds (up to 5x on 6/8) once a point is set, which lowers the average edge per chip.

Model's stated reason

Full 4x odds behind the pass line on the 9 carry zero house edge, which minimises expected loss per chip and maximises odds utilisation. I'm adding no other bets because every alternative carries a positive house edge.

Model's stated reason

The pass line already has the maximum 5x odds behind it. A come bet is one of the lowest-edge flat bets at 1.41%, and if it travels to a point it lets me add more zero-edge free odds.

Model's stated reason

Free odds carry zero house edge, so taking the full 3x (60 chips) behind the come bet on 10 lowers my average edge per chip and maximizes odds utilization without adding any new house-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

I'm adding a 20-chip come bet because it has the lowest house edge available on a new flat bet (1.41%). That leaves 100 chips of exposure, enough to take full odds behind it on whatever point it travels to.

Model's stated reason

A 20-chip come bet has the lowest house edge on the menu. It leaves 100 chips of exposure, enough to back any come point with full free odds later (up to 5x on 6 or 8). The existing pass and come bets already carry maximum odds.

Model's stated reason

Full 4x odds behind the come bet on 5 is a zero-edge bet and uses 80 of the 100 chips of remaining exposure. The last 20 chips stay off the table, since any other bet carries a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Every odds bet is already at its maximum, and the 20 chips of exposure left would not leave room for odds behind a new come bet. Adding a flat bet would only add house edge, so I'm standing pat and keeping the zero-edge odds working.

Model's stated reason

All three flat bets already carry maximum free odds and only 20 chips of exposure remain. Any new bet would add house edge without room for zero-edge odds behind it, so I'm standing pat.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out menu. A 50-chip flat leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay full free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 6 is now favoured, so I keep it. I'm laying the full 96 in odds behind it, which is the maximum allowed in multiples of 6 and carries no house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge (about 1.36%) of the bets available on the come-out, and a modest stake keeps the expected loss small. Once a point is set, laid odds (zero house edge) can be added to improve odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Laying the full 39 in odds behind the don't pass on 9 adds a zero-house-edge bet, which raises odds utilization without adding expected loss. The don't pass stays up because it is favored once the point is set.

Model's stated reason

I'm keeping the established don't pass on 9 and its maxed laid odds, since both are now player-favourable or zero-edge. I'm adding a 10-chip don't come, the lowest-edge flat bet available, so I can lay zero-edge odds behind it once it travels to a point.

Model's stated reason

Laying the maximum zero-edge odds behind my don't come on 5 lowers my average house edge per chip and uses the available odds. I'm keeping the don't pass and its odds working because they are favorable once the point is set.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (about 1.36%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves exposure room to lay zero-edge free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 8 is now a favourable bet, so I keep it. I add the maximum laid odds (96, a multiple of 6) because free odds carry zero house edge and lower the average edge per chip.

Model's stated reason

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the come-out roll. I'm keeping the flat bet modest so there is room under the 300-chip exposure cap to take full odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

I took the maximum allowed 100 in free odds behind the pass line on the 9. Odds carry zero house edge, so this lowers the average edge per chip and uses the odds allowance.

Model's stated reason

I'm keeping the full 100 odds behind the 9, since odds bets have zero house edge. I'm adding a small 25 come bet so I can later back it with up to 100 more in odds, which keeps the edge per chip low.

Model's stated reason

Full 3x free odds behind the come bet on 4 carries zero house edge and lowers the average edge per chip wagered. I am leaving the remaining exposure unused to avoid adding negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

A modest pass-line flat bet has the lowest edge on the menu. Keeping it at 30 leaves 170 chips of exposure room, so full 3x/4x/5x free odds can go behind any point while the existing come 4 with odds stays in place.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) of any flat bet on the come-out. A moderate stake leaves exposure room to lay full free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out at about 1.36%. A modest flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay zero-edge odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the come-out at about 1.36%. A modest 50-chip flat bet leaves exposure room to lay free odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass bet on the 5 now favors me, so I keep it and lay the maximum 99 in odds, a multiple of 3. Laid odds have zero house edge, which lowers my average expected loss per chip and maximizes odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 5 and its full laid odds stay up: once the point is set the don't pass flat favors me and the odds carry no house edge. Any new bet would add house edge, so I place nothing.

Model's stated reason

Keep the established don't pass and its laid odds, since both have positive expectation now. Add a modest don't come (lowest-edge flat bet) and leave exposure room to lay odds behind it once it travels.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum 90 in zero-edge odds behind the don't come 10, which fits within the 121 exposure remaining. The don't pass and its odds stay up because they are now favourable bets.

Model's stated reason

A pass line flat bet has one of the lowest house edges available. I sized it at 20 so that full free odds (up to 5x, or 100 chips on a 6 or 8) can be added later within the per-bet and exposure limits, keeping the overall edge per chip low.

Model's stated reason

I took the maximum 3x free odds (60) behind the 20-chip pass line on the 4. The odds carry zero house edge, so this lowers the average edge per chip and maximizes odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

The pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available, at about 1.41%. A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to add zero-edge odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass carries the lowest house edge available on the come-out (about 1.36%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay zero-edge odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

I'm keeping the don't pass, which has a positive expected value now that the point is 6. I'm laying the full 96 in odds behind it: they carry no house edge and pay a whole 80 at 5:6, which improves my odds use and lowers the average expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Keeping the don't pass on the 6 and its maxed laid odds, since that position is now favorable. Any new bet would carry a house edge, so I am adding nothing.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 6 already carries the maximum laid odds, and after the point is set it is a player-favourable position, so I keep it working. Adding any new bet would only add house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass bet on 6 with laid odds is already favored (a 7 comes before a 6 with probability 6/11), so it stays up. Every bet I could add carries a house edge, so I am not adding any.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 6 now has the edge in my favour and its laid odds are free, so I'm keeping both up. I'm adding nothing, because every new bet on the menu carries a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%). A moderate flat stake leaves exposure room to lay full odds on the final decision roll if a point is set.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll, so no free odds could be added behind a flat bet afterward. Every available bet carries a house edge, so sitting out keeps expected loss at zero and preserves the bankroll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +332 chips over 40 rolls

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.