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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

7 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here, so I place the maximum allowed stake to minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass bet already placed; laying max odds (96, the 5x multiple of the 100 flat bet) is the lowest-edge action available and reduces overall house edge on this hand.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here, so I take the full 100 on don't pass and keep it working on the come-out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 and I hold a 100 don't pass bet; laying the maximum 100 odds (true odds 1:2) reduces the combined house edge and uses available exposure efficiently.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a 100 don't pass and 100 laid odds already working. No come-out bets are legal now, and adding place/hard/field/any bets would only increase exposure to negative-E wagers. I'll hold the existing low-edge position and wait for the seven-out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a 100 don't pass and 100 laid odds already working. The remaining legal bets (come, don't come, place, hardways, field, any seven, any craps) all carry a house edge, so I will not add new bets and will let the existing don't pass position ride.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a shooter hot streak; I add a don't come to get another 1:1 edge bet that can travel to its own point, keeping total exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a 100 dont_pass and 100 dont_pass_odds already working, plus a 100 don't come on 6. The don't pass line has a negative house edge and the odds portion has zero house edge, so the current position is already optimal; no new bets are added and nothing is removed to preserve the favorable exposure.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; my don't come 6 is off and exposed to a 7-out, so I take it down to avoid the 1.36% house edge on a dead bet. I will wait for the point to be set before re-engaging with odds or place bets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with the puck ON, so I'm avoiding come-out-only bets and the 4 itself. Place 6 and 8 have the lowest house edge among the available place bets and are not vulnerable to the current point, giving the best expected value for this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with place_6 and place_8 already working. Adding place_4 at minimum 5 completes a low-edge place set on 4, 6, 8. No odds behind place bets are offered here, so flat place bets are the best available action.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with place bets on 4, 6, 8. No come-out action available; place bets are already working and odds are unfavorable, so I hold and let them ride.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal come-out bets, so I take the full 100. I also place 6 and 8 at minimum stake multiples to keep table action low-edge while staying well under the 300-chip exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

The point is 4, and place bets on 4 have a lower house edge than one-roll bets. I'm placing a minimum $5 bet on 4 to work through the point phase.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a 5-chip place bet already working; no new bets this roll to conserve exposure and avoid negative-E wagers while the point is live.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a 5-chip place bet working. The come-out phase is over, so pass/don't pass are not available. I'll keep the place-4 bet active and not add new bets this roll to preserve bankroll and avoid unnecessary house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a place 4 already working. Adding place 6 and 8 diversifies across high-probability points with low house edge; place 4 is left alone to avoid unnecessary churn. No come-out action needed since puck is ON.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass line and is removable, so I take the better EV bet while keeping flexibility. I leave the existing place bets alone since they are off and not yet working.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass flat bet; laying max odds (48, 4x flat) at true odds 2:3 minimizes house edge and uses available exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass + 4x odds already on; no new bets this roll to avoid adding negative-EV exposure while the puck is ON.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is removable and has a lower house edge than field/any-seven, so I take the best available edge while keeping flexibility to remove later.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100 chip don't pass bet; laying max odds (96, 5:6) reduces house edge and uses available exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass and 96 don't pass odds already working; no new bets this roll to keep exposure at 196 and let the current negative-EV flat bet ride toward resolution.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal come-out bets and is removable, so I take the full 100-unit edge with no table exposure yet.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 and I hold a 100-chip don't pass bet, so laying odds at 5:6 is the lowest-edge action available. I max the odds to 96 (a multiple of 6) to use the remaining exposure and improve expected value per chip.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 100 don't pass and 96 laid odds already working; no new bets this roll to keep exposure low with 9 rolls left.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with 7 rolls left; place 6 and 8 are the lowest-house-edge bets available in the point phase, and I want to keep total table exposure modest.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with place bets on 6 and 8. The come-out just established point 6, so we are in the point phase. I will hold the existing place bets and not add new ones to avoid increasing house-edge exposure late in the session.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with place bets on 6 and 8 already working; no new bets to avoid adding negative-EV exposure late in the hand.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest-house-edge bet available here (bar 12, ~1.36% edge) and is removable, so I take the max 100. I add a small any-seven hedge for variance control on this final come-out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100-chip don't pass already working; the remaining rolls are few and my exposure is nearly maxed, so I will not add new bets and let the existing don't pass ride to resolution.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100-chip don't pass bet; only 2 rolls remain, so I leave the bet to ride out the session and avoid adding negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll of the session, so I take no new bets and let the existing don't pass resolve. The point is 6 with a 7-out ending the hand, and the don't pass already has a positive expected value at placement.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -684 chips over 40 rolls

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