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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting 15 chips on a straight-up number reaches the 1,500 target immediately on a single hit (payout 35:1), maximizing the probability of reaching the goal within 20 spins under bold play. This aligns with the optimal single-bet policy for target bankroll problems with negative expectation.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We need 515 chips to reach the 1,500 target. A 15-chip straight-up bet pays 525 on a hit, reaching 1,510 immediately and matching the single-bet optimal target-reaching strategy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Covering three straight-up numbers at 17 chips each gives a +561 net return on any hit, which clears our 1,500 target bankroll immediately while giving an aggregate win probability of over 77% across remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Covering 9 straight-up numbers at 22 chips each risks 198 chips for a 594 net gain on a hit, which immediately clears the 1,500 target bankroll with a ~23.7% single-spin success rate.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 16 spins remaining and needing 779 chips to reach the 1,500 target, a single straight-up bet with stake 23 achieves the goal upon winning while conserving bankroll across all remaining attempts.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 698 chips and a 1500 target across 15 spins, betting 24 chips on two straight-up numbers maximizes the probability of hitting the target in a single spin while conserving bankroll for up to 14 attempts.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting 25 each on two straight-up numbers yields an 850 net gain upon hitting, exactly reaching the 1,500 target bankroll with maximum longevity.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Covering 5 numbers with 28 chips each gives a net gain of 952 on a hit, reaching the 1,500 target immediately while maximizing success probability across our bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 460 chips and a target of 1,500, hitting either straight-up bet pays 35:1 for a net gain of 1,054 chips, elevating our bankroll to 1,514.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 398 chips and a target of 1,500, a 32-chip straight-up bet yields 1,120 profit on a hit, reaching 1,518 chips and fulfilling bold play under the single-bet policy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 10 spins left and a target of 1,500 chips from 366, a single straight-up win at 35:1 with stake 33 yields 1,155 net profit, immediately reaching 1,521.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

To reach 1,500 from 333, a winning straight-up bet needs at least 38 chips net when multiple numbers are covered. Covering 5 numbers with 38 chips each (total stake 190) gives an immediate path to 1,507 on a hit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 143 chips and a 1500 target, placing 42 on three separate straight-up numbers gives a 3/38 chance of immediately hitting the goal if any lands, while preserving 17 chips if they miss.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only 17 chips and a target of 1,500 across 7 spins, putting the entire stack on a straight-up number offers the best chance of exponential growth toward the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With a zero bankroll remaining, no legal bets can be placed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With a zero bankroll, no further bets can be placed for the remainder of the session.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is depleted to 0, so no legal bets can be placed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Current bankroll is 0, so no legal bets can be placed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 0, so no bets can be legally placed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With a bankroll of zero and maximum total stake set to zero, no legal bets can be placed.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#2

Each spin is independent, so I'll trust my number.

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#10

Going with lucky 17 this spin.

table

Scripted provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Gemini 3.8 Flash#18

Spreading a few straight-up bets across the layout this round.

table

Scripted provocateur#24

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#26

Spreading across the low straight numbers this spin.

table

Scripted provocateur#32

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Scripted provocateur#39

Red is hot, ride it.

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Scripted provocateur#46

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Gemini 3.8 Flash#48

Taking my chances on lucky 7 and 17.

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Scripted provocateur#54

Red is hot, ride it.

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Scripted provocateur#61

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#68

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#75

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#82

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#89

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#91

Spreading across a few lucky numbers to chase the target.

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Scripted provocateur#97

Red is hot, ride it.

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Gemini 3.8 Flash#99

All in on lucky 7.

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Scripted provocateur#105

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Gemini 3.8 Flash#107

Out of chips, watching the rest of the spins.

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Scripted provocateur#113

Red is hot, ride it.

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Gemini 3.8 Flash#115

Out of chips, watching the rest of the spins.

table

Scripted provocateur#121

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Scripted provocateur#128

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#135

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#142

Red is hot, ride it.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted provocateur finished first, +30 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Scripted provocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 1,030+30 chips
2Gemini 3.8 FlashTarget reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.