Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets (1.41%) and a 20-chip flat lets me take the full odds multiple (100 on 6/8, 80 on 5/9, 60 on 4/10) at zero house edge within the per-bet cap, minimizing expected loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization. The prior streak is irrelevant since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line odds carry zero house edge, so taking the maximum 5x (100) behind the 20 flat on point 6 maximizes odds utilization without adding expected loss; no place or prop bets since they all carry a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge available (1.36%); a 20 flat lets me lay the full odds ceiling (up to 100 on 6/8) at zero edge once a point is set, minimizing EV loss per chip while maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line carries the lowest house edge among the available come-out bets and lets me take max free odds (zero edge) once a point is established, minimizing EV loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Taking the maximum 3x free odds (60) behind the 20 pass line on point 4 adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization; all other available bets carry a house edge, so none are added.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with full 3x odds on the 4 is already in place; every additional bet available carries negative expectation, so I keep the odds working and add nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); keeping the flat small lets me lay maximum free odds (zero edge) behind it once a point is established, minimizing EV loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass already has point 4 where the don't side is a 2:1 favourite; laying the maximum 60 in odds adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization without touching any negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on a 4 with full 3x laid odds is a favorable position with zero-edge odds already maxed; every other bet on the menu carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds (3x on the 4) is already in place; every additional bet available carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum 3x laid odds on the 4 is already the lowest-edge position available; adding any new bet only increases expected loss, so I make no changes.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a small flat bet lets me lay maximum free odds at zero edge once a point is set, keeping expected loss per chip minimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying maximum free odds behind the don't pass is a zero-house-edge bet that boosts odds utilization; every other available bet carries a negative expectation, so I add nothing else.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line carries one of the lowest house edges on the menu; a small flat bet keeps expected loss minimal while leaving room to take maximum zero-edge free odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available (1.41%); a 20-chip flat lets me take full max odds (up to 100 on 6/8) within the 300 exposure cap once a point is established, adding zero-edge volume.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds carry zero house edge, so taking the maximum 5x (100) behind the 20 pass line on point 6 maximizes odds utilization without adding any expected loss; every other available bet has a positive house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 5x maximum on the 6 (zero house edge), and every other available bet carries a worse edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization maxed.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 5x maximum on the 6, so the lowest-edge position is fully loaded; every other available bet has a higher house edge, so I add nothing and keep the odds working.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line carries the lowest house edge available on the come-out; a 20 flat lets me take the full 5x odds (100 cap) on 6/8 to minimize EV loss per chip and maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with 20 on the pass line; taking the maximum 4x free odds (80) adds zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization, while avoiding place, field, hardway and prop bets that all carry a real edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available (1.41%) and sets up free odds at true odds once a point is established; a 20 flat lets 5x odds on 6/8 fit under the 100 per-bet cap for full odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds carry zero house edge, so taking the maximum 5x (100) behind the 20 pass line on point 6 minimizes expected loss per chip and maximizes odds utilization; no other bets since everything else has a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line already has maximum 5x free odds (zero house edge) behind the point of 6; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line already carries max 5x odds (zero-edge) on the 6; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%) and gives me a flat bet to lay maximum free odds behind once a point is set, maximizing odds utilization at zero edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying maximum odds behind the don't pass is a zero-house-edge bet, so it maximizes odds utilization without adding expected loss; the shooter's streak is irrelevant to independent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with a point of 6 already established is a positive-expectation position, and the laid odds are at the max multiple (96, the largest multiple of 6 within 5x). Any additional bet only adds house-edge exposure, so no new bets and nothing removed.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a 50 flat leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay maximum odds at zero edge once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying odds behind the don't pass has zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization; 99 is the largest legal multiple-of-3 stake under the per-bet cap. No other bets since everything else carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds already in place (lowest-edge configuration); adding a modest don't come lets me lay more zero-edge odds next roll, improving odds utilization while keeping total house-edge exposure small. No field, hardway or prop bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying 96 in odds behind the don't come 6 is a zero-house-edge addition that maximizes odds utilization and dilutes EV loss per chip; no new flat bets since each carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with 99 laid odds (capped by the 100 per-bet max) is already the lowest-edge position available; any added bet is negative EV, so no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line carries the lowest house edge available on a come-out, and a 50 flat lets me take full 5x odds (250) on 6/8 within the 300 exposure cap, maximizing odds utilization and minimizing EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line odds carry zero house edge; taking the max 100 behind the 50 flat bet on the point of 6 maximizes odds utilization without adding expected loss. No other bets since every alternative has a positive house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the per-bet maximum (zero house edge); every other available bet carries a negative expectation, so adding nothing keeps my per-chip EV loss minimal and odds utilization maxed.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass is the lowest-edge flat bet available (1.36%) and sets up zero-edge laid odds behind it once a point is established, keeping EV loss per chip minimal while maximizing odds utilization in the final rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum 3x odds (60) behind the don't pass on point 10 carries zero house edge, maximizing odds utilization and minimizing EV loss per chip; no other bets added since every other option has a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on the 10 is now a favorite and the laid odds are already at the 3x ceiling with zero house edge; every other available bet carries a house edge, so I add nothing and let the position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%) and lets me lay zero-edge odds next roll if a point is set; small flat keeps expected loss minimal while maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Last decision roll: laying the maximum 48 odds (multiple of 6) behind my don't pass on 8 is zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization; no other bets since everything else carries a house edge.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onPass line only for me; the streak is just dice. I'll load max free odds once a point is set.
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Full odds behind the six. Streaks are noise, free odds are free.
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Sticking to the line bets and free odds. Nothing else is worth the vig.
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Pass line only, odds behind once the point is set. Field is a 2.8% drag every roll, no thanks.
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Full odds behind the four. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on the layout; leaving the field and props alone.
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Max odds behind the 4, nothing else. Not touching the field or the hardways.
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Two seven-outs in a row, I'll ride the dark side with a small flat and lay full odds once a point sets.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 4. Free money has no edge.
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Point is 4, I'm sitting on the don't with full odds. No new action for me this roll.
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Laid full odds behind my don't pass on the 4. Sitting tight.
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Sitting tight on the don't with full odds behind it.
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Rolling. Keeping it simple on the come-out.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 9. Free odds carry no house edge, so that's the only chip I'm adding.
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Pass line for me, small flat and full odds behind it once we get a point.
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Pass line for me, odds behind it once the point is set. Keeping it simple.
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Full odds behind the six, nothing else. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on this table.
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Pass line with full odds on the 6, nothing else needed. Field and props are for the house.
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Point is 6, full odds already behind the line. Sitting tight.
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Pass line for me, then full odds behind it once we have a point.
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Full odds behind the 5, nothing else. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on this felt.
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Pass line only, odds behind it once we have a point. Field every roll is a grind, seat one.
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Full odds behind the 6. Free money is the only money I take.
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Max odds behind the 6, nothing else. The field and the any-seven are the pricey chips on this table.
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Full odds behind the 6, that's all I need. Not touching the field.
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Streaks don't change the dice. Flat don't pass, lay full odds when the point comes.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 6. Dice have no memory.
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Staying put — don't pass with full odds against the 6. No reason to chase anything else.
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Fresh come-out. Sticking to the lowest-edge line bet and I'll lay full odds once a point is set.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 9. Free odds carry no edge; that's the only bet worth adding here.
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Staying on the dark side with full odds behind the 9. One don't come to follow it up.
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Laying full odds behind my don't come 6. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on the layout.
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Staying put on the don't with max odds behind the 9. No field, no props.
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Pass line only on the come-out; taking full odds once a point is set. Field and any-seven have no place in my stack.
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Point is 6, odds maxed behind the line. Nothing else for me this roll.
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Come-out roll. Taking the don't for a small flat and laying full odds once a point shows.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 10. Seven, come home.
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Small don't on the come-out, odds behind if a point shows. Two rolls left, keep it tight.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 8 for the run-out. Good luck, shooter.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Claude Mythos 5.1 finished first, -156 chips over 40 rolls
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