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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Reaching +500 needs a long shot. A 40-chip straight pays 1400, so I can afford about 22 misses and still hit 1500, and spreading bets across 20 spins maximizes the hit probability (~45%). Starting with two straights this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expectation, so skipping preserves the success condition.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll of 2360 already exceeds the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so skipping every spin avoids any risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll of 2360 already exceeds the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and unpenalised, so placing no bet locks in success without risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, and every bet has negative expectation, so skipping preserves the target at no risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is not penalised, so I place no bets and avoid any risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 2360, already above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expected value. Skipping is neither rewarded nor penalised and cannot reduce the bankroll, so I place no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, so skipping is not penalised and any bet only adds risk with negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, so skipping every spin keeps the target safe, while any bet only adds risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll of 2360 already exceeds the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so skipping every spin keeps the success locked in with no risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 2360, already above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Every bet has negative expected value on a double-zero wheel, so placing no bet is the best way to stay above the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 2360, already above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and not penalised, so placing no bet keeps the target secured.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll of 2360 already exceeds the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so skipping (no bet) preserves success with no risk; skip is not penalised.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, and skipping is neither rewarded nor penalised, so placing no bet locks in success.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is allowed and not penalised, so any bet would only add risk with no benefit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 2360, already above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Betting only adds risk, so I place no bet to lock in success.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is 2360, already above the 1500 target, so skipping is allowed and can't lower it. Placing no bet guarantees the target is met.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, well above the 1500 target, with 3 spins left. Skipping is not penalised, and any bet has negative expected value, so placing no bet keeps the target secured.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll of 2360 is already above the 1500 target, and the margin does not matter. Skipping the remaining spins carries no risk and has no penalty.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 2360, above the 1500 target, and this is the final spin, so skipping keeps the target secured with no risk.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

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Result

Claude Sonnet 5.5 finished first, +1,360 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Claude Sonnet 5.5Target reached: yes · final bankroll 2,360+1,360 chips
2Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 200-800 chips

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