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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets; betting the minimum preserves chips and allows zero-edge laid odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing 1-chip don't pass bet, which is among the lowest house-edge bets, and add no new negative-EV bets to preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value, so placing no new bets preserves bankroll and avoids house-edge loss.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets; using a minimal 2-chip stake allows laying true-odds (zero edge) up to the maximum on any point, minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 behind my 2-chip don't pass; laying the maximum 6 chips in true-odds (zero house edge) maximizes odds utilization and dilutes the flat bet's edge without adding any new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't pass bet on 4 with maximum laid odds, which is favorably positioned and has zero house edge on the odds portion; adding any new bet this roll would only add house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value, and free odds cannot be placed without a negative-EV flat bet, so abstaining preserves the bankroll with zero expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Minimal 1-chip Don't Come has the lowest available flat house edge (~1.36%); if it travels to a point I can add zero-edge laid odds to dilute expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Take maximum true-odds (zero house edge) behind the existing don't come 10, and add only a minimum 1-chip don't come flat, the lowest-edge bet available, to enable future odds while avoiding high-edge place, field and prop bets.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't come bets, which are now favorable after their points are set, and place no new negative-expectation bets to preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't come bets, which are now in a favorable position against their points, and add no new negative-expectation bets this roll.

Model's stated reason

Minimum-stake don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets; keeping the flat bet at 1 chip minimizes expected loss while allowing maximum zero-edge laid odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay maximum odds behind my 1-chip don't pass on point 9; odds pay true odds with zero house edge, minimizing EV loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge; using a small 6-chip flat minimizes expected loss while allowing maximum zero-edge laid odds in compliant multiples once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets; betting the minimum preserves bankroll and enables zero-edge laid odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

No new bet has positive expectation; the existing 1-chip don't pass is the lowest-edge exposure, so adding come, place, field or prop bets would only increase expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among available bets at about 1.36%, so a minimum 1-chip stake limits expected loss while keeping a flat bet eligible for zero-edge laid odds.

Model's stated reason

Keep the favorable don't pass on 6 and don't come on 8, which win on 7 versus 5 ways to lose; add no new negative-EV bets and no odds are available this roll.

Model's stated reason

On come-out, don't pass has the lowest house edge among available flat bets; betting the 1-chip minimum minimizes expected loss while keeping the existing don't come bet working.

Model's stated reason

Lay maximum true-odds behind the 1-chip don't pass on point 5; odds have zero house edge, minimizing EV loss per chip while avoiding high-edge new bets.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets; betting the minimum preserves bankroll while allowing maximum zero-edge odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing favorable don't bets and add only a low-edge don't come flat, sized so laid odds at true odds can be placed in whole-chip multiples on any resulting point.

Model's stated reason

Lay maximum fair odds behind the existing don't come 5, which has zero house edge and improves odds utilization, while avoiding new negative-EV flat or place bets.

Model's stated reason

Keep existing don't bets, which are favored after their points are set, and add only a minimum 1-chip don't come—the lowest house-edge bet available—to enable future zero-edge laid odds while minimizing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No new bet has positive expectation; keeping the existing don't-come bets and their zero-edge laid odds avoids additional house-edge loss and preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't come bets are favorably positioned after traveling and the 5 is already backed with maximum zero-edge laid odds, so adding any new negative-EV bet would only increase expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No new negative-EV bets; keep the existing don't-come bets, which are now favoured to win on a 7 before their points, and keep the zero-edge laid odds on the 5.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expectation; with no odds available behind a flat bet, passing this come-out roll preserves bankroll and avoids house-edge loss.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among available bets and will allow maximum true-odds lay behind it once it travels, minimizing expected loss per chip while maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Lay maximum true-odds behind the existing don't come 8: odds pay true odds with zero house edge, improving odds utilization without added expected loss. No new flat or place bets, which all carry positive house edge.

Model's stated reason

No new negative-EV bets; keep existing don't come with zero-edge laid odds working to maximize expected chips.

Model's stated reason

No new negative-EV bets; keep the existing don't-come flat with its zero-edge laid odds working to maximize odds utilization without added house-edge loss.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets and will allow zero-edge laid odds once a point is set; keep the existing don't come bet and its odds working.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 6; odds pay true odds with zero house edge, minimizing EV loss while maximizing odds utilization, and avoid new flat bets with house edge.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: existing don't pass with laid odds has zero house edge on the odds portion, while every available new bet carries a positive house edge, so adding chips would only increase expected loss in the final rolls.

Model's stated reason

Minimum don't pass has the lowest house edge (~1.36%); betting the minimum preserves bankroll while allowing zero-edge laid odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum zero-house-edge odds behind my existing 1-chip don't pass bet on point 10, adding no new house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: every additional wager has negative expected value, while the existing 1-chip don't pass with laid odds on 10 is already a low-edge, zero-edge-odds position. Preserving it and avoiding further exposure maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available bets; a minimum 1-chip stake minimizes expected loss while allowing zero-edge laid odds if a point is established on the next roll.

Model's stated reason

Last decision roll: all new bets have negative expected value, so place nothing and keep the existing 1-chip don't pass on 8, which is now favorably positioned against the point.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +22 chips over 40 rolls

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