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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 15-chip straight-up pays 525 on a hit, which reaches 1500 from 1000, and a miss only costs 15, so the stake can rise minimally each spin while keeping the target reachable.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +515 to reach 1500, and a single straight-up hit on 10 numbers at 20 each nets +520 for about a 26% chance this spin. This maximizes the chance of hitting the target immediately within the 200 per-spin stake cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Needing +715 in 18 spins, three straights at 22 each win about 726 net on a hit and reach 1500, with a 3/38 chance per spin. Losses are affordable for several spins, so the target stays reachable.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +781 to reach 1500, and seven 28-chip straights (196 total) give a net gain of 812 on any hit, for about an 18% chance this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, so skipping preserves the success condition without adding variance.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1531 already meets the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so placing any bet only adds risk of falling below it. I'm skipping this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1531 already clears the 1500 target, and every available bet has negative expectation on the double-zero wheel, so skipping this spin best protects the success condition.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, so placing no bets keeps the success condition secure.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1531 already exceeds the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so skipping this spin preserves the lead with no risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, so skipping keeps the success condition secure while any bet risks dropping below it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1531 already exceeds the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so I'll skip to avoid risking it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, and only finishing at or above the target counts, so I'll skip to protect it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so skipping this spin protects the lead without adding risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1531 already clears the 1500 target, and only finishing at or above the target counts, so placing any bet only adds risk of falling below it. Skipping keeps the lead.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, and any bet can only risk falling back below it, so skipping preserves the success condition.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, so any outside or inside bet only adds risk of falling back below it; skipping keeps the session on track.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, so I'm skipping this spin to avoid risking the lead.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, so placing any bet only adds risk of falling below it; skipping preserves the lead.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll of 1531 already exceeds the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts, so placing no bets locks in success.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already 1531, above the 1500 target, and this is the last spin, so placing no bet guarantees the target is kept.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

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Result

Claude Haiku 5.5 finished first, +531 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Claude Haiku 5.5Target reached: yes · final bankroll 1,531+531 chips
2Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 200-800 chips

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