Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
On the come-out roll, I'm starting with a modest pass line bet of 10 chips. This is a basic strategy to establish position with positive expectation on the come-out (7 or 11 wins immediately) before building more complex bets once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10. I'll back the pass line with maximum odds (3x on 10 = 30 chips at 2:1 true odds), then place 6 and 8 for two high-probability box winners during the point phase. These bets have low house edges and utilize most of my remaining exposure efficiently.
Model's stated reason
On the point phase with point 10 established. I have pass line odds working well. Adding a come bet (10 chips) diversifies my position and exploits the current point phase. Staying within exposure limits (52 + 10 = 62 on table, well below 300 max).
Model's stated reason
We're on a come-out roll (roll 4 of 40) with a fresh bankroll of 958. I'm placing 10 chips on pass line and 10 on don't pass to hedge risk while learning the session trend. This balanced approach uses 20 chips (6.7% of bankroll) and leaves 280 exposure for future adjustments.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 36 rolls remaining and a fresh 958-chip bankroll, betting pass line at 10 chips offers positive expectation through odds backing. This modest bet size preserves capital for point-phase opportunities and manages variance optimally across the remaining session.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with pass line 10 already on the table. Adding 50 in pass odds (5x maximum on 8, paying 6:5 true odds) gives expected value +EV action and maximizes odds utilization within exposure limits. Currently only 10 chips at risk; odds bet is the best EV wager in craps.
Model's stated reason
With point 8 established and 34 rolls remaining, I'm adding place bets on 6 and 8 to generate consistent winning action. These are the most frequently rolled numbers after 7, providing good EV relative to their house edges. The 12-chip stakes respect the stake multiples (6 and 6) and total exposure limits.
Model's stated reason
Remove the off place_6 bet to free capital. Bet pass line on come-out roll to establish a point with positive expectation, building toward leveraging odds on subsequent rolls with remaining 278 exposure.
Model's stated reason
I have a pass line bet at point 5 with 10 chips. Adding 20 chips in pass odds (2:1 true odds, max 4x on 5 means up to 40 allowed) maximizes expected value by taking advantage of the true odds payout. This reduces house edge significantly while staying well within exposure limits (10+20=30 on table, 290 remaining).
Model's stated reason
On come-out roll, betting both pass and don't pass hedges directional risk while utilizing balanced capital. With 31 rolls remaining and strong session runway, this conservative approach maximizes expected value through the lowest house-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 30 rolls remaining and a clean slate, placing a pass line bet with moderate stake of 10 units is a foundational positive-expectation play. With no current exposure, this capitalizes on the pass line's reasonable house edge and allows me to build positions on subsequent rolls if a point establishes.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8. I'll back my pass line with maximum odds (5x on 8 = 50 chips) and add place bets on 6 and 8 to establish multiple ways to win while protecting against a seven-out. This maximizes expected value by utilizing true odds and covering the most likely point repeats.
Model's stated reason
We're in the point phase with point 8. Current bets total 84 chips with 216 exposure remaining. The pass line and odds are profitable on point 8, and place 6 and 8 provide additional coverage. No action needed this roll - we have solid position and should let the current bets ride.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with strong position: pass line + odds and place bets on 6 and 8 are all working. No action needed this roll; let existing bets play through.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 26 rolls remaining and a 928 bankroll, I start with a solid 10-unit pass line bet. This is a core position bet with a reasonable house edge, allowing me to build a line that can be backed with odds once a point is established. With capital to manage through the remaining hands, this measured approach preserves bankroll while maintaining betting presence.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with a good opportunity to establish a point. Pass line is the fundamental bet with fair 1:1 odds and a 49.3% win rate. Starting with 10 chips (1% of bankroll) is a conservative, risk-managed approach to begin the session while preserving capital for the remaining 24 rolls.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 24 rolls remaining, pass line is the fundamental bet with a 1.4% house edge. Starting with 10 chips establishes position for odds later if a point is set, maintaining capital management on a 948-chip bankroll.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new come-out roll with a modest pass line bet. The shooter has had three consecutive passes, suggesting some momentum. This is a disciplined bankroll management approach early in the session with 23 rolls remaining.
Model's stated reason
On come-out with 22 rolls remaining, I'm placing modest hedging bets: pass line and don't pass (both 10 chips) to capture natural wins (7 or 11 on pass, 2 or 3 on don't pass) and reduce variance. This balanced approach minimizes exposure while maintaining upside potential as the session winds down.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9. I have pass line and don't pass both at 10. I'll take 3x odds on pass (20 chips) to get true odds backing. I'll also place 6 and 8 (24 each) as they have good payouts and cover most rolls before the 7. Exposure: 20+24+24+280 remaining = valid within 300 limit.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with four consecutive passes. I'm exposed on conflicting bets: dont_pass opposes my pass_line, and place_6/place_8 have worse odds than pass_odds on 9. Removing these reduces house edge exposure and locks in current profit by eliminating low-probability outcomes.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with 19 rolls remaining. Adding pass odds (2x on 9) and place bets on 6 and 8 to maximize EV. These are positive expectation bets that should improve session returns.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with pass line (10) and pass odds (20) working. Place bets on 6 and 8 are also working. This is a favorable position - I'm betting the point will hit before a 7. No new bets needed; I'll let the current action play out on this roll. I have 18 rolls remaining and solid exposure management.
Model's stated reason
The point is 9 with solid pass line and odds action already in place. Adding come bet creates additional profit opportunity while place bets on 4 and 5 extend coverage across more numbers with good payouts before a potential seven-out, staying well within exposure limits (54 + 25 = 79 chips on table).
Model's stated reason
We have a come bet on 6 with no odds backing. Adding maximum come odds (50 chips) behind the come point on 6 offers true odds at 6:5, improving expected value. We have 238 exposure remaining and 280 max total stake capacity, so this is well within limits. Point phase is active, so come bets can be placed.
Model's stated reason
We are in the point phase with point 9. Our pass line and pass odds bets are working. We have come bets on 6 with odds. The shooter has been hot (4 consecutive passes). Rather than add new bets and increase exposure with 15 rolls remaining, I'm holding steady to let these existing bets play out. Our position is already solid with $107 on the table.
Model's stated reason
On come-out, I'm placing pass line and updating my place bets to 6 and 8 (the best bets). Removing the small place_4 and the odds on 6 that's dead money to manage exposure efficiently.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6; adding 50 chips of pass odds (max 5x on 6) behind the pass line bet to lock in true odds of 6:5 and improve EV. With 13 rolls remaining, building strong position behind established pass line.
Model's stated reason
Remove the place_8 bet that's off on come-out. On this come-out roll, establish a new pass line bet (10 chips) to build a point, and place 6 and 8 (12 chips each) with working_on_come_out false since they turn off on come-out by default. This balanced approach seeks to establish a point while maintaining exposure control with 58 chips total on table (under the 276 exposure limit).
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with pass line (10) and place 6 (12) already working. Shooter has made 6 consecutive passes, showing strong form. Hold current position and let the point repeat for wins. No new bets needed given solid foundation and 11 rolls remaining in session.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with 10 rolls remaining. Current bets (pass line 10, place 6 and 8 at 12 each) are well-positioned. No new bets needed; maintaining current exposure of 34 chips on the table leaves room for strategic adjustments if needed while preserving capital with only 10 rolls left in the session.
Model's stated reason
On come-out with 9 rolls remaining and strong bankroll (1089), I'm placing balanced bets: pass line and don't pass (both 20 chips). This hedged approach minimizes variance while maintaining positive expected value through quality play. The don't pass bet is removable, giving flexibility if needed.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8. I have a 20-chip pass line bet behind the point with strong odds potential. I should remove the don't pass (which is losing money in this scenario) and maximize the pass line with full odds (100 chips at true 6:5 odds gives me maximum positive EV). This is a calculated aggressive play given roll position and bankroll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with pass line (20) and pass odds (100) already working. I have 7 rolls remaining and need to hit 8 before a 7. Current position is strong with good true odds (6:5). No new bets needed; let the current bets ride.
Model's stated reason
I have a pass line bet with point 8 and 100 chips in pass odds. With only 6 rolls remaining and a weak position (need 8 to win, any 7 loses both bets), I should avoid adding risky one-roll bets or additional exposures. No new bets are warranted given my strong odds position already and limited rolls left.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with $20 pass line and $100 odds already in play. With 5 rolls remaining and $180 exposure available, I hold my current position. The 8 is a strong point and my odds are already maximized at 5x; adding more bets increases risk unnecessarily late in the session.
Model's stated reason
We're on roll 37 of 40 with point 8. We have $120 on the table (pass line $20 + pass odds $100). With only 4 rolls remaining and a significant bet already working, it's prudent to stay put and let this hand resolve rather than add exposure. Our pass odds bet on 8 is well-positioned with excellent true odds (6:5).
Model's stated reason
With point 8 established and pass odds at true odds (6:5), I have a +EV position already. I'll let my existing bets play out. Only 3 rolls remain; adding more bets now has limited time to resolve favorably. Staying pat maximizes my current advantage without additional house edge exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with 2 rolls remaining. My pass line (20) and odds (100) are working well. The odds bet has positive expected value at true odds. With only 2 rolls left, no new bets improve my position—I'll let the current hand resolve naturally.
Model's stated reason
This is roll 40 of 40 (the final decision roll). Placing a pass line bet maximizes expected value on the come-out phase, with a positive 1:1 payout on 7, 11 and point establishment. With 969 chips and full remaining exposure (300), a 10-chip stake is a modest, prudent wager to close out the session.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -41 chips over 40 rolls
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