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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:54 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

J6 offsuit is below the published 4x threshold (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preflop and waiting for the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

J6 with no pair on 3-9-5 is far too weak for a 2x flop raise; checking keeps the cheaper 1x river option in case we improve.

Model's stated reason

Board pair of nines with J-6 gives the dealer roughly 85% of 990 holdings that beat us (any 9, 3, 4, 5, Q, K, A, pocket pairs, straights); raising 1x loses about 23 chips in expectation versus 20 for folding.

Model's stated reason

AKs is a premium hand well within the optimal 4x raising range (any ace), so raising the maximum preflop maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

J4 suited is below the published 4x threshold (J8s+), so checking preflop and waiting for the flop is the higher-EV line.

Model's stated reason

J4 offsuit on a 9-7-8 board gives us no pair, no draw beyond a gutshot-ish nothing (J-10 needed), and the board is coordinated; raising 2x here is clearly negative EV, so check and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

Board pair of sevens with Q-J-9 kickers; dealer always qualifies here. Enumerating dealer holdings I win ~19% and tie ~6%, lose ~75%: EV of raising ≈ -17 chips versus -20 for folding, so the 1x call is slightly better.

Model's stated reason

A5 offsuit is any ace, which is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising range; raising the maximum preflop is +EV versus waiting.

Model's stated reason

7-6 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x raising range (no pair, no ace, not a strong king/queen/jack hand), so checking and waiting for the flop preserves EV.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of sixes using a hole card plus a gutshot straight draw on a low rainbow-ish board; standard flop strategy raises 2x with any hidden pair above deuces.

Model's stated reason

J2 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising threshold (J8s+ or JTo), so I check and wait to see the flop before committing chips.

Model's stated reason

Jack-high with no pair, no flush draw, and only a gutshot (Q-8 for a straight) on a 4-9-T board; standard flop strategy is to raise 2x only with a pair or better or a strong draw, so checking to see the river is correct.

Model's stated reason

Jack-high with no pair on a dry A-T-9-6-4 board; exact count shows 613/990 dealer holdings qualify and beat me, 192 more beat me without qualifying, only 128 win, giving raise EV about -21 vs -20 for fold, so folding is marginally better.

Model's stated reason

7-3 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x raising range (no pair, no ace, not a qualifying king/queen/jack hand), so I check and wait to see the flop before committing chips.

Model's stated reason

Hidden middle pair of sevens on a dry K-7-2 board is a standard 2x raise on the flop; equity against a random dealer hand is well above the break-even point for raising now versus checking to the river.

Model's stated reason

7-6 suited is not in the optimal preflop 4x raising range (no pair, no ace, below the K/Q/J thresholds), so checking to see the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

Hidden pair of sevens (hole 7 pairs the board) is a standard 2x flop raise in this variant; checking to the river only costs equity against a dealer who often misses.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising range for Ultimate Texas Hold'em-style play; A5o has enough equity against a random dealer hand to maximize the bet now.

Model's stated reason

K7 offsuit is K5o+ which is in the published optimal 4x raising range for Ultimate Texas Hold'em-style play, so raising 4x preflop maximizes EV.

Model's stated reason

6-5 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range (no pair, no ace, no strong king/queen/jack), so checking and waiting for the flop is the EV-maximizing play.

Model's stated reason

Only an open-ended straight draw with no pair; standard flop strategy checks here and keeps the cheaper 1x river option if the straight comes in.

Model's stated reason

I hold a queen-high flush (Ah Qh 7h 6h 5h) with the 6h as my playing card; only a dealer holding Kh, Jh, Th, 9h or 8h beats me, so raising 1x is clearly better than folding.

Model's stated reason

J8 offsuit is below the 4x raise threshold (J8s+ or JTo required), so checking preflop to see the flop is optimal.

Model's stated reason

J8 offsuit on a K-3-2 rainbow flop with no pair, no draw, and only two overcards to the low cards is far too weak to raise 2x; check and see the river for a cheaper 1x decision.

Model's stated reason

Ace-king high with no pair on a board where any A, K, 4, 3, 2, 5 (straight) or Q beats me; enumeration gives roughly 18% win equity, so raising 1x costs more than the -20 from folding.

Model's stated reason

K9 suited is in the published optimal 4x raising range (K2s+), so raising the maximum preflop maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

8d7d suited connectors fall outside the published optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preflop and waiting for the flop is higher EV.

Model's stated reason

Only a gutshot with no pair or flush draw on a two-club board; standard flop strategy says check and reevaluate on the river.

Model's stated reason

Ace-high with no pair on a Tc Jc 2s Ad 6s board; the dealer beats me with any pair card (15 outs) plus any 9, Q, or K (12 more), so 27 outs is well over the 21-out threshold and raising loses more than the 20 chips folded.

Model's stated reason

Ace-four offsuit is in the published optimal 4x range (any ace), so raising the maximum preflop has the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

J9 offsuit is below the published 4x threshold (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x on the river.

Model's stated reason

J9 offsuit on a 3-5-7 rainbow flop with no pair, no flush draw, and no straight draw is far too weak for a 2x raise; check and wait for the river where I can raise 1x if I improve or fold otherwise.

Model's stated reason

J-high with no pair on a board that gives the dealer many straight (any 6), flush (two diamonds) and pair outs; dealer beats me far more than 50% of the time and usually qualifies, so raising costs more than folding.

Model's stated reason

3c6d offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x raising range, so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x on the river.

Model's stated reason

We hold a hidden pair of threes (3c pairs the board); standard flop strategy raises 2x with any hidden pair except pocket deuces, as it beats most dealer holdings often enough to justify the bet now rather than waiting for the smaller river bet.

Model's stated reason

9-4 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x raising range (no pair, no ace, not a qualifying king/queen/jack hand), so checking and waiting for a flop or river decision is correct.

Model's stated reason

4d 9c on Jh 5c 3d is just a gutshot draw with no pair; standard flop strategy only raises 2x with a pair or better or strong draws, so checking preserves the option to fold or raise 1x on the river.

Model's stated reason

Board pair of 3s with 9-high kickers and no hand of my own; dealer always qualifies and beats me with any A/K/Q/J/T, any 3/5/2, any pocket pair, or a straight — roughly 90% of holdings, so folding (-20) beats raising (~-25).

Model's stated reason

J6 offsuit is below the published 4x raising threshold (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preflop and waiting for the flop or river is the higher-EV line.

Model's stated reason

J6 offsuit on a 5-9-3 rainbow board gives me nothing but jack-high with a weak gutshot; standard flop strategy only raises 2x with a pair or strong draw, so checking to see the river is correct.

Model's stated reason

Board two pair with J kicker; dealer beats me with roughly 19 singleton outs plus some pocket pairs (~70% of holdings), but raising 1x still loses less (~-16.5 chips) than folding (-20) since wins pay 20 and ties push.

Model's stated reason

Pocket aces is the strongest preflop holding and is a clear 4x raise per the optimal strategy table; maximizing the play bet with maximum equity has the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

T8s is not in the optimal 4x raising range (needs J8s+ or any ace/pair etc.), so checking preflop and waiting for the flop is higher EV.

Model's stated reason

Flopped middle pair (8s) plus a flush draw with Ts8s on an 8d-As-2s board; pair plus flush draw is a standard 2x raise on the flop in Ultimate Texas Hold'em strategy with strong equity against a random dealer holding.

Model's stated reason

3-4 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raising range, so checking preflop and waiting for a favorable flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

3-4 offsuit with no pair on a Q-Q-7 board; we have only a weak gutshot and nothing else, so raising 2x is clearly -EV. Check and see the river for free.

Model's stated reason

Our 3-4 doesn't play; we hold only the board (QQ with A-J-7 kickers). Dealer beats us with any 7+ or pair in hand and can at best tie with two unpaired small cards (~13%), so raising 1x costs more in expectation (~-26) than folding (-20).

Model's stated reason

KJ offsuit is within the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so raising the maximum preflop maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

AQ offsuit is well within the optimal 4x preflop raising range (any ace), so raising the maximum maximizes EV.

Model's stated reason

JTo is in the published optimal 4x range (JTo qualifies), so raising 4x preflop maximizes EV.

Model's stated reason

KQ offsuit is well within the optimal 4x preflop raising range (K5o+), so raising the maximum preflop maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

T6 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x raising range (needs JTo, Q8o+, K5o+, or any ace), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x on the river.

Model's stated reason

T6 offsuit on Q-7-A with no pair, no draw and no overcards is far too weak to raise 2x on the flop; check and reevaluate on the river.

Model's stated reason

My hole cards don't play; I hold the board (A K Q 7 7) so I can only tie or lose, but dealer beats me only ~49% of the time (any A/K/Q/7, pocket pair, or JT). Raising costs 30 on a loss and 0 on a tie, EV ≈ -15 vs -20 for folding.

Model's stated reason

4c5s offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range (no pair, no ace, no high cards), so checking and waiting for the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

Just a gutshot (any 6) plus a weak backdoor club draw with no pair on Ac 7c 8s; standard flop strategy says check without a pair, two pair, or a strong flush draw and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

My 4-5 adds nothing to the board's pair of sevens; dealer always qualifies via the board pair and beats me with any pair, any club flush, or simply any kicker above a 5. Raising loses 30 on ~97% of holdings versus a flat -20 from folding, so folding is clearly higher EV.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising range for Ultimate Texas Hold'em-style play; A4o has an edge against a random dealer hand, so raising the maximum now has the highest EV.

Model's stated reason

J5 suited is below the optimal 4x raising threshold (J8s+), so checking preflop and waiting for the flop or river is the higher-EV line.

Model's stated reason

Jh5h on Qd 2c 7s is just jack-high with no draw (two hearts only); standard flop strategy requires a pair or strong draw to raise 2x, so checking and deciding on the river is better.

Model's stated reason

Board two pair QQ77 with my J kicker; dealer beats me only with Q, 7, K, A, or 22 (~47%), ties ~9%, loses ~44%. Raising EV ≈ -5 chips vs folding -20, so raise 1x.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

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Result

Session result: -55 chips over 30 hands

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