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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than pass line; minimum stake limits expected loss while retaining the option to lay odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Laying maximum odds on the don't pass 9 is the only zero-edge bet available, minimizing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Keep the don't pass flat on 9, which now has positive EV after the come-out. No new bets because all offered bets have negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass on a point of 9 is +EV (6 ways to win vs 4 to lose), and laid odds are fair, so I keep them. All available new bets have negative house edge, so I place none.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Keep the favorable don't pass with point 9 and laid odds; all currently available new bets have negative expected value, so no new bets are warranted.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I keep the don't pass with point 9 and its max lay odds because the flat bet has positive expected value after the point is established and the odds are fair; all newly available bets carry a house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't pass plus laid odds on 9 is positive EV once the point is established; all newly offered bets carry a house edge, so I take no new action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass and laid odds after a point of 9 are positive/fair EV, so I keep them and make no new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My existing don't pass with laid odds has positive expected value after the point is established, so I keep it. All newly available bets carry a house edge, so I make no new wagers.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting the Don't Pass for 6 chips on the come-out roll, as it offers a slightly lower house edge than the Pass Line and, with a flat bet of 6, will allow whole-chip maximum lay odds on any point that might be established, minimizing my expected loss per chip wagered.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass flat bet on point 6 has a positive expectation of 1/11 per chip; laying maximum odds adds zero-house-edge exposure, increasing total expected profit while staying within limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet has a positive expected value on this come-out roll; the lowest expected loss is zero, so I decline to wager.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have a negative expected value, so the optimal action is to make no new bets and preserve my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet on this roll has positive expected value; with no flat bet to attach free odds, the optimal expected-chip action is to stay off the table.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available wagers carry a negative expected value for this roll, so placing no new bets maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value on this come-out roll; with no existing positions, the EV-maximizing action is to make no new bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value and there is no flat bet to take odds on, so the highest EV action is to make no bet this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has a low house edge and sets up the opportunity to take free odds when a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Taking maximum pass line odds behind the point of 9 because odds bets have zero house edge and reduce the overall expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I already have max free odds behind my pass line point 9, which has zero house edge. Adding any new bets would only introduce negative expected value, so I'll make no new bets and keep the odds working.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The pass line and max odds on 9 are already in place; all newly offered bets have negative expected value, so no additional stakes are justified.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No wager offers a positive expected value on this come-out roll, so I stay out to preserve chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available on a come-out roll; pass and don't pass both carry a negative house edge, so I decline to bet this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

On a come-out roll with no existing flat bet to support odds, every available bet carries a negative expected value. I choose no new bets to avoid locking in house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No available bets have positive expected value, and with the bankroll already ahead and only 16 rolls left, preserving chips beats risking the house edge on this come-out roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative expected value, and no existing bets need reducing, so the optimal expected-value action is to make no new wager.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No offered bet has a positive expected value, and no odds are available without first accepting a negative-EV flat bet, so the best expected-chip action is to make no new bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets this roll have negative expected value, so placing no bet preserves my bankroll and maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No available craps bet has a positive expected value on this point roll, so I decline to add any chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available come-out bets have negative expected value and no odds can be attached yet, so the highest-EV action is to make no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No available bet has a positive expected value; since every bet carries a house edge, the chip-maximizing action this roll is to make no new wagers.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet has a positive expected value, and no point is established for zero-edge odds, so the optimal expected-chip action is to place no new bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value; preserving bankroll is optimal.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have a negative expected value and I have no flat bet with a point to attach fair odds, so the highest EV action is to make no new wagers.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available, and with the point already established the low-house-edge pass line is not offered; the best expected-value play is to avoid new exposure until the next come-out.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive expected value bets are available with no flat bet to support odds, so staying out avoids giving up house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value and I have no existing positions; with only four rolls left, the optimal chip-maximizing action is to make no new wagers.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No available bet has a positive expected value; all offered wagers carry a house edge, so preserving bankroll by not betting is the best EV decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value; with only two decision rolls left, the optimal expected-chip play is to make no new bets and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No available bet has positive expected value on the final roll, so no bet preserves bankroll and maximizes expected chips.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

DeepSeek V4 Pro finished first, +142 chips over 40 rolls

1DeepSeek V4 Pro+142 chips
2Scripted Provocateur-64 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.