Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (bar 12), so I stake it on the come-out and can lay odds later once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Laying max odds behind don't pass on 10 is the lowest-edge play, improving my EV on an existing bet without adding new house edge.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass 50 with max laid odds on 10 is already the lowest-edge position; adding any new bet only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) among available bets; I'll take odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 with a 25 pass line bet; taking full 5x odds at true 6:5 is the lowest-edge play available.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with full pass odds already up; place 6 (7:6, ~1.5% edge) is the best remaining bet and fits the exposure limit.
Model's stated reason
Place 6 duplicates my pass-line point with a 1.52% house edge; taking it down leaves only the pass line and full free odds, which carry no edge.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no bets on the table; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) and lets me take true-odds behind it once a point is established, so I start a modest flat bet rather than exposing chips to high-edge one-roll props.
Model's stated reason
Point 4 with a pass line bet: taking full 3x odds (30) at true 2:1 is the only zero-edge bet available, so maximize it.
Model's stated reason
Point 4 with max 3x odds already behind the pass line; no new negative-EV bets needed.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 4 are already at the 3x maximum; adding negative-EV side bets only increases expected loss, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Point 4 with full 3x odds already working; adding place or one-roll bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) and lets me back it with full free odds once a point is set, minimizing EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a $10 pass line bet; taking the full 5x odds (50) at true 6:5 is the zero-house-edge play and maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with full odds behind pass; adding the two lowest-edge place bets (6 and 8) keeps exposure modest while maximizing expected value.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 with max 5x odds already behind the pass line; place 6/8 are the lowest-edge place bets. No new negative-EV action needed.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: I take down the off place-8 and put a modest stake on don't pass, the lowest-edge option available (bar 12), keeping exposure small.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no bets up: don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36% with bar 12) and is removable, so I stake the maximum 100 on it.
Model's stated reason
Point 8 against my don't pass; laying full odds (96) behind the flat bet is the lowest-edge way to add exposure, winning on a seven-out.
Model's stated reason
Point 8 with don't pass 100 and full odds already working; no additional bet has positive EV, so I stay pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge and lets me take free odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
With a 9 point, laying nothing extra costs nothing: pass odds at 3:2 true odds are the only zero-house-edge bet available, so I take the full 4x (40 chips, even multiple) to maximize odds utilization without adding any expected loss.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (1.41%); no other bet is worth adding on a come-out.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a 25 pass line bet; taking the full 3x odds (75) at true 2:1 is the zero-edge play and maximizes value per chip staked.
Model's stated reason
Point 10 with full max odds already behind the pass line; adding any negative-EV prop bet only increases expected loss, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Point 10 with pass 25 and full 3x odds already placed; no additional bets have positive EV, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no bets up; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%), so I stake 50 and plan to take full odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Point 5 with a 50 pass line bet; taking the maximum 4x odds (100) at true 3:2 is the lowest-edge way to add exposure and boosts odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Point 5 with pass 50 and full odds already working; every available bet has negative house edge, so no new action.
Model's stated reason
Point 5 with pass 50 and full allowed odds already working; max_odds_stake is 0 so no more odds can be taken, and adding new negative-EV bets only increases expected loss. No change.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with an empty table; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36% bar 12), so I place a moderate 50-chip stake to start the hand cheaply.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no bets up; pass line is the lowest-edge available bet, so I take a modest 10-unit stake.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a 10 pass line bet; taking the maximum 40 in odds at true 3:2 is the zero-edge play and maximizes expected value with 8 rolls left.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 9, and every additional bet carries house edge, so the lowest-EV-loss action is to add nothing.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with pass odds already maxed; adding place bets on 6 and 8, the lowest-edge place bets, to keep exposure modest with 6 rolls left.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 5 decision rolls left; pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) and odds can be taken if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with only 4 decision rolls left; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36%, bar 12) and stays removable if a point is established, so I stake 50 of my 464 chips on it.
Model's stated reason
Laying max odds behind my don't pass on the 6 is zero house edge and boosts the win if a 7 shows before the point repeats.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with two decision rolls left; pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) and will carry into the point phase if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Final decision roll: backing my pass line point of 9 with the maximum 100 in free odds, which carries no house edge and maximizes expected value on the last hand.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -261 chips over 40 rolls
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