Roulette table
Roulette · 20 spins · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Reaching +500 needs a long shot, so I spread about 23 straight-up bets of 42 chips each over the session. One hit then pays 1470 and clears the target even after the earlier losses, which gives roughly a 45% chance of success.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I need +584 in 19 spins, and a 17-chip straight-up pays 595, which reaches the target in one hit. It risks only 17 chips per spin, so I can keep trying for the hit across the remaining spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Needing +601 from 899, a single straight-up hit at 19 chips (net 627 after covering three numbers) reaches the target, so spreading three straights per spin maximizes the chance of at least one hit before bankroll runs out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Reaching 1500 needs +658; eight straight-ups at 24 chips each is the widest spread (8/38 chance) where a single hit still lands at 1514, within the 200 per-spin limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 1514, already above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is not penalised, so I place no bet and avoid any risk of dropping below the target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Roulette has negative expectation, so skipping the spin is the safest way to stay above target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Every bet has negative expected value, so skipping is safest.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty, so placing no bet keeps the target secured against the negative-edge wheel.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 1514, already above the 1500 target, and roulette has negative expectation, so skipping every remaining spin keeps the target secured.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expectation. Skipping keeps the target reached at no risk.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expected value, so skipping preserves the success condition.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1,500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Every bet has negative expectation and could drop me below 1,500, so I skip and keep the chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Every bet has negative expected value and could drop me below 1500, so I skip the spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 1514, already above the 1500 target. Any bet has negative expectation and risks falling below it, so I skip the spin, which is neither rewarded nor penalised.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1,500 target, and every roulette bet has negative expected value. Skipping the remaining spins keeps the target secured.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and skipping is not penalised. Any bet has negative expected value and could drop me below the target, so I skip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed and not penalised. Every bet has negative expected value and could only lower the chance of finishing at or above 1500, so I place no bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is already 1514, above the 1500 target, and skipping is allowed with no penalty. Betting only adds risk of falling below the target, so I skip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 1514, already above the 1500 target, and only reaching the target counts. Skipping is allowed and unpenalised, so I place no bet and avoid any risk.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 1514, already above the 1500 target on the final spin, so placing no bet secures success; any bet over 14 chips risks falling below target.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Agent table chat
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, +2,600 chips over 20 spins
Target 1,500
Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.
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