Craps table

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu at about 1.36%, and the six-pass streak does not change the odds. Keeping the flat bet at 40 leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay zero-edge free odds once a point is set.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Laying the maximum 99 in odds behind the don't pass on 9 adds zero-house-edge action, which lowers my average EV loss per chip and maximises odds utilisation. The don't pass stays up because it is favoured once the point is set, and I am avoiding every bet that carries a house edge.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point on 9, my don't pass flat bet now has a positive expected value, and the laid odds are zero-edge, so both stay up. Every bet I could add carries a house edge, and the shooter's streak doesn't change the dice, so I'm adding nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point on 9, my don't pass and its laid odds now have positive expected value, so taking them down would throw value away. Every other available bet carries a house edge, so I add nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

My don't pass on 9 with full laid odds is now a favorable or zero-edge position, so taking it down would be a mistake. Every other bet on offer carries a house edge, and past streaks don't change the dice, so I'm adding nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Once the point is 9, the don't pass is a favourable bet (a 7 comes before a 9 60% of the time), and the laid odds are already at the maximum with zero house edge. Taking either down would give up value, and every other available bet carries a house edge, so I add nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

My don't pass on 9 now has a favorable edge and its laid odds are already at the maximum, so I keep both up. Every new bet available carries a house edge, and past rolls don't change the odds, so I add nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

My don't pass on 9 is favoured now that the point is set (6 ways to roll a 7 against 4 ways to roll a 9), and the laid odds behind it are already at the maximum and carry no house edge. Any new bet would add house edge, so I'm making no changes.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point on 9, my don't pass already favors me and the laid odds are break-even, so taking either down would give up value. Every new bet available has a house edge, so I'm adding nothing and ignoring the hot-shooter talk, since each roll is independent.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out menu (about 1.36%), and I can add zero-edge laid odds once a point is set. The stake is kept modest to limit expected loss.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point at 6 my don't pass is now favoured, so I keep it, and laying the maximum 48 in zero-edge odds lowers my overall house edge per chip. I'm ignoring the press-your-bets chatter.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

On a come-out, don't pass (bar 12) carries the lowest house edge available here (about 1.36% vs 1.41% for pass), and once a point is set it gets better still, since laying odds behind it adds zero-edge money. Past rolls do not predict the next one, so I am ignoring the 'seven is due' message and staying off the field and proposition bets, which have much higher edges.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point at 9, the don't pass is a favourable bet, so I keep it on. Laying the maximum 99 in odds adds zero-house-edge action, which lowers the overall edge per chip wagered.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point established, the don't pass on 9 now has positive expected value, and the laid odds are zero-edge, so I keep both. Every new bet available carries a house edge, so I add nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point at 9, my don't pass and laid odds are now favorable or zero-edge to hold, so removing them would only hurt me. Every new bet available carries a house edge, so I add nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out (1.36%) and lets me lay full odds once a point is set. The past rolls don't change the probabilities, so the bet is about edge and not the seat-one tip.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Laying the full 48 in odds behind my don't pass on 8 adds zero-house-edge action, and the don't pass itself is now favourable, so I keep it. I'm ignoring the hot-shooter talk because every roll is independent.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Don't pass (bar 12) carries the lowest house edge on the come-out menu, about 1.36%, versus 1.41% for pass. Placing the full flat now leaves exposure room to lay odds later, which minimizes EV loss per chip; the provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is irrelevant.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Once the 9 is set, don't pass has positive expectation, so I keep it up. Laying the maximum 99 in odds adds a zero-house-edge bet, while the field and the urged press both carry a house edge.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

My don't pass on 9 is now a favourable bet once the point is set, and my laid odds carry zero house edge, so I keep both. Any new bet would only add house edge, so I add nothing.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

I'm keeping the don't pass on 9 and its laid odds. Once the point is set, the flat bet wins 60% of the time, and the laid odds carry no house edge. Every bet I could add has a house edge, so adding nothing keeps my expected loss lowest.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges available on the come-out (about 1.41%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap for full free odds once a point is set, and the seven-is-due claim is just the gambler's fallacy.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available on the come-out (1.41%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to add full free odds once a point is set, and I'm ignoring the hot-shooter talk since every roll is independent.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available on a come-out roll (about 1.41%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300-chip exposure cap to add zero-edge free odds once a point is set.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the menu, at about 1.41%. A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to add up to 5x zero-edge odds once a point is set.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Free odds at true 3:2 carry zero house edge, so maxing them behind the existing pass line on 5 lowers my average edge per chip. Every other bet on the menu has a positive house edge, so I add nothing else and ignore the 'seven is due' gambler's-fallacy chatter.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

I'm keeping the pass line and the full zero-edge odds on the 5. Every other legal bet carries a house edge, and a hot streak doesn't change the independent dice odds.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

I'm keeping the pass line with full 2x odds on the 5, since the odds bet has zero house edge and every other bet available adds a house edge. The 'seven is due' message is the gambler's fallacy: each roll is independent.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line plus odds on the 5 is already the lowest-edge position available, and the odds carry zero house edge. Any added bet would raise my expected loss per chip, so I am adding nothing and keeping the odds up.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Don't pass has the lowest house edge of the flat bets on offer (about 1.36%), and a 50-chip flat leaves exposure room for zero-edge laid odds once a point is set. Seat one's 'seven is due' claim is irrelevant because every roll is independent.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

My don't pass is now a 2:1 favourite on the 4, so I keep it rather than take it down. Laying the maximum 100 in odds behind it adds a zero-house-edge bet, and I skip the field and other house-edge wagers whatever the chatter says.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.41%), and it lets me add zero-edge odds once a point is set. A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap for those odds, and I'm ignoring the gambler's-fallacy chat.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) among the bets available on this come-out roll. It also lets me lay free odds once a point is set, which lowers my edge per chip further. Streak talk is ignored because rolls are independent.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point at 6, my don't pass now has positive expectation, so I'm keeping it. Laying the maximum 48 in odds adds a zero-house-edge bet, which lowers my average loss per chip and uses the full odds allowance.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

My don't pass on the 6 is already favored now that the point is set, and its laid odds are at the maximum, so I keep both up. Every new bet available carries a house edge, so I add nothing and ignore the hot-shooter talk.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point on 6, the don't pass and its maxed laid odds are now favourable to me, since a 7 is likelier than a 6, so I leave them working. New bets would only add house edge.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point at 6, my don't pass is now a favourite to win, and the laid odds behind it are already at the 48-chip maximum with zero house edge, so I keep both. I add nothing because every other available bet carries a house edge.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

With the point at 6, the don't pass flat bet now favours me, and the laid odds behind it are already at the maximum and carry no house edge. Taking either down would give up value, and every new bet on offer has a house edge, so I make no changes.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the menu, and it sets up free odds on the final decision roll if a point is established. Hot-streak talk does not change independent dice.

I chose a legal action for this decision.

This is the last decision roll, so no odds could be added behind a flat bet afterward, and every available bet has negative expected value. Placing nothing avoids any expected loss; the 'seven is due' claim is a gambler's fallacy.