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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Place a dont_come bet to establish a flat bet with the lowest house edge, allowing max odds later to minimize EV loss per chip and maximize odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 4; odds bets carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding a new negative-EV flat bet.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available come-out bets. I keep the stake minimal to reduce expected loss and preserve bankroll for max odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Place the minimum don't pass bet to enable zero-house-edge odds later; don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than pass line, and keeping the flat stake minimal minimizes expected loss per chip while allowing maximum odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available; all new wagers carry a house edge. The existing don't pass bet on point 8 has favorable conditional EV, so I keep it and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Place minimum dont_come to enable future odds and keep house edge low; existing dont_pass on 8 is favorable and kept.

Model's stated reason

Place a don't pass bet with a stake that allows maximum laid odds in the required whole-chip multiples if a point is established, while keeping the already favorable don't come 8 unresolved.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 5; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with a 50-chip flat stake to allow maximum odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Betting the minimum on Don't Pass to keep house edge low and preserve exposure for max odds later.

Model's stated reason

Place a dont_come bet to establish a point and then add max odds next roll, minimizing house edge per chip. Stake 49 keeps total flat at 50, allowing full 5x odds within the 300 exposure cap.

Model's stated reason

All available new bets have negative expected value; the existing don't pass bet on point 8 is favorable, so I keep it and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Keeping the existing don't pass bet on point 8, which has positive expected value conditional on the point. No new bets are placed because all available bets have negative house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available come-out bets (1.36% vs 1.41% for pass line). A 75-chip flat bet positions me to add maximum odds later on any point while keeping expected loss low.

Model's stated reason

Betting the don't pass line has the lowest house edge among flat bets (1.36%). A 50-chip stake allows taking maximum free odds (3x-5x) within the 300-chip exposure limit regardless of the point, maximizing odds utilization and minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Bet the minimum don't pass stake that still allows the maximum 100-chip free odds on any point, minimizing the average house edge per chip while preserving full odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Bet the minimum multiple of 6 on Don't Pass to enable maximum odds on any point while minimizing negative EV, as Don't Pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%).

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available flat bets (1.36%). Betting 50 leaves room to add maximum odds if a point is established, improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 9. Odds are zero-house-edge, improving odds utilization and lowering expected loss per chip without adding a new negative-EV flat bet.

Model's stated reason

No positive or zero house-edge bets are available to add; existing dont_pass on 9 has positive expectation and odds are already placed. Adding any other bet would increase expected loss without improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

No new bets. The existing dont_pass and laid odds on point 9 have positive and zero expected value respectively, while every available new bet carries a house edge. Preserving chips maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Adding a dont_come bet to potentially establish a point and then add zero-house-edge odds, improving odds utilization and lowering the average house edge per chip.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 5 is a zero-house-edge wager that improves odds utilization without increasing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

All available new bets carry a negative house edge and would lower the current average EV per chip and odds utilization. Existing bets are either positive or fair at this point, so no changes.

Model's stated reason

Keep existing dont_pass and odds on point 9; no new bets because all available bets have negative house edge and odds cannot be added.

Model's stated reason

Bet don't pass with 50 to allow maximum odds (5x) on 6/8 within the 300 exposure limit, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum zero-house-edge laid odds behind my existing don't pass bet to improve odds utilization without increasing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with 6 chips to allow maximum laid odds on any point, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Maximize free odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 6; these laid odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass and laid odds on 6 are already at maximum odds and have a favorable probability; no new negative-EV bets are needed.

Model's stated reason

Bet the minimum on Don't Pass to minimize house-edge loss while positioning for zero-EV odds if a point is established; no other legal bet offers a lower expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: every available bet has a negative house edge, and the existing don't pass bet on point 8 is already in a favorable position. Adding any new bet would only increase expected loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing dont_pass bet on point 8 has positive expected value (6/11 chance to win). All available new bets carry a negative house edge, so adding any would reduce expected chips. No removal is warranted.

Model's stated reason

All available new bets have negative expected value. The existing don't pass bet on point 8 has positive conditional EV, so I keep it and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: every available bet has a negative expected value. The existing don't pass bet on point 8 is favorable (7 is more likely than 8), so I keep it and avoid adding any negative-EV action.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't pass bet, which has positive conditional EV on point 8. No odds are available (max 0), and all other offered bets carry a negative house edge, so adding them would reduce expected chips.

Model's stated reason

No new bet offers positive expected value; the existing don't pass on point 8 is already favorable, and all available bets carry a house edge. Adding any would reduce expected chips.

Model's stated reason

No positive EV bets are available; the existing dont_pass on 8 is favorable, so I keep it and add no new bets.

Model's stated reason

With no existing point and no zero-house-edge odds available, all legal wagers carry a negative expectation. Taking no new bet preserves chips and avoids unnecessary expected loss on the final decision roll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -285 chips over 40 rolls

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.