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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

5 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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258 / 258

Action timeline

Model's stated reason

On the come-out, don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I start with a full-unit don't pass bet to minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll after a craps result. Don't pass (bar 12) has the lowest house edge among one-roll come-out bets, and the field adds a small positive EV on the 12 (3:1). Both are allowed now and keep exposure moderate.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 and I hold a 100 don't pass bet. Laying 99 odds behind it pays 2:3 on 9, giving a combined bet with zero house edge and no additional risk. This maximizes odds utilization while staying within the 300 chip exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and laid odds already working. No new bets: the remaining legal options are all positive-house-edge one-roll or place bets, and adding them would only increase expected loss per chip. Standing pat preserves the current negative-EV exposure without adding more.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and laid odds already working. The remaining rolls are limited and the don't pass position has a small edge, so I will not add new bets and let the current bets run out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and laid odds already working. The remaining legal bets all have negative expected value, so I will not add any new wagers and let the existing bets run to resolution.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass + laid odds already working. No new bets this roll to avoid adding negative-E wagers; the existing don't pass position has a small house edge and the odds portion is fair. I'll keep exposure low and wait for the next decision roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and laid odds already working. The legal menu only offers bets with a house edge, so I avoid placing new bets and let the existing position ride. I keep exposure low and wait for a seven-out to collect.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with don't pass and laid odds already working. No odds ceiling remains, so I'm not adding anything. I'm leaving the flat and odds bets in place to ride out the point phase.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass and 99 laid odds already working. Adding a 100 don't come gives a second 1:1 flat bet against the point at the same low house edge, keeping total exposure at 299 within the 300 cap and using the remaining 101 exposure headroom efficiently.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and near-max laid odds already working, so I'm adding small place bets on 6 and 8 to use remaining exposure and diversify while keeping the table balanced. These are removable and low-edge place bets that can be taken down later.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest house-edge bet (1.41%) and is the only flat bet allowed on the come-out. I max it at 100 to anchor the hand and keep odds capacity open for the point phase.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a 100 pass line bet; taking max 1:1 odds (100) minimizes house edge and uses the remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a 100 flat pass and 100 pass odds already working. Adding a small place-4 bet diversifies exposure on the current point without exceeding the 200 table limit; place bets are removable and can be adjusted later.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line and don't pass are both 1:1 with only a 12 push difference, so I split the flat action to balance variance. Field adds a one-roll 2:1 on 2 and 3:1 on 12 for extra come-out upside. No odds yet since no point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with pass and don't pass both active. Taking maximum pass odds (5x, 100) behind the pass line reduces overall house edge on this hand since odds pay true odds with no house advantage.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with pass line and odds already working; no new bets are legal this roll, so I take down the removable pass odds to reduce exposure and wait for the next come-out.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest-house-edge flat bet (1.41%) and is the only flat bet that can be placed on a come-out roll. I take the maximum 100 to anchor the hand and leave room for odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with pass line active; laying max 100 in pass odds at true odds 3:2 reduces overall house edge on this hand and uses available exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a 100 pass and 100 odds already on. I add small place bets on 6 and 8 (multiples of 6) to use remaining exposure and table capacity without raising the house edge much; these are removable and can be taken down after a win.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass line and is removable, so I take the better one-roll edge while keeping flexibility to take it down later if the point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 and I hold a don't pass bet, so laying odds at 2:3 is the lowest-edge way to back it; I choose 36 to keep the payout whole and stay well within exposure limits.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. My only bet is a place 8 that is off and must be taken down on come-out; leaving it would waste a resolution. No new bets because pass/don't pass are unattractive here and I want to preserve exposure for future hands.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 6 place bet working; no odds are allowed behind a place bet, so I keep the existing bet and let it ride on this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 6-chip place bet already working. No odds behind pass line (none placed), so no odds to add. Avoid new bets to preserve EV; place bets have a house edge and the current place 8 is already exposed. Let the hand run out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 6-chip place bet working. No new bets; the existing place 8 is already optimally placed and the table is quiet.

Model's stated reason

The point is 8 with a 6-chip place bet already working. I'm leaving it untouched to avoid unnecessary churn; the table offers no positive-EV bets, so I'm staying flat.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets here (bar 12), so I take the full 100 to minimize expected loss per chip while staying within the 300 exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a 100 don't pass already on. Laying max odds (100, the 2:1 inverse) behind it is the lowest-edge use of chips and keeps exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest house-edge bet available here (1.41%) and pays on 7/11. I'm betting the max 100 to use table capacity efficiently with only 6 rolls left.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest house-edge bet available here (bar 12), so I take the full 100 with no odds offered. I avoid one-roll sucker bets and will reassess after the point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass already working; I'm leaving it alone to avoid adding negative-EV bets with only 4 rolls left. The remaining legal bets all carry house edge, so doing nothing is the best EV choice here.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 100 chip don't pass bet already working. The remaining rolls are very few, so I avoid adding new bets that would lock chips into the run-out. I keep the table flat and let the existing don't pass resolve on its own.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest house-edge bet available here (bar 12) and is removable, so I take a full 100-chip don't pass to minimize expected loss per chip on this roll.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll of the session with no rolls remaining after it. My only active bet is a 100-chip don't pass on the 6, which has a small positive edge. Since the bet is removable but there is no opportunity to place odds or come bets after this roll, I leave it working to let it resolve naturally on the come-out of the next hand.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +929 chips over 40 rolls

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