Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available; dice are independent so the hot streak changes nothing, but pass line maximizes EV per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind my pass line carry zero house edge, so I take the full 3x (75) on the point of 10 to maximize EV-neutral exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 10 with full 3x odds already down; place 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge among available bets, so I add those while keeping exposure modest.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; pass line carries the lowest house edge available this roll, so I stake a moderate 50 chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; pass line carries the lowest house edge available (1.41%) and I'll take full odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 8 with a 50 pass bet: taking 100 in odds is the zero-house-edge play and the best use of chips; no other bets needed.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the allowed ceiling, so I add place bets on 6 and 8, the lowest house-edge options available, sized to the stake multiples.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no flat bet behind anything; every new bet has negative EV, and my place 6 is already off, so the zero-loss play is no action.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Place 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge among available bets (~0.46%); I keep my working place 6 and add place 8 for the same reason. No one-roll sucker bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (~1.36%) and stays removable, so I take a moderate 50-chip position.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: don't pass (bar 12) carries the lowest house edge (~1.36%), so I take a modest position and wait for a point before laying odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds carry zero house edge, so maximizing them behind my don't pass is the best available action; the flat don't pass already has the low 1.36% edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass with full laid odds on 8 is already the lowest-edge position available; adding any new bet only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with full odds behind on the 8 is already the lowest-edge position; adding any new bet only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the smallest house edge (~1.36%) and is removable, so it's the best EV choice on a come-out roll; no other bet beats it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge available bet; dice have no memory, so the hot streak is irrelevant.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out pass line is the lowest-edge play; I'll back it with full odds once a point is set, keeping expected loss minimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; don't pass carries the lowest house edge available (bar 12, ~1.36%), so I stake the maximum 100 on it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no bets on the table; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%), so I take a modest position and will back it with odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds carry zero house edge, so taking the full 4x (40) on the 9 maximizes expected value; no other bet beats it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My pass odds on 9 are already at the 4x maximum, and every other bet on the menu has a house edge, so the optimal action is no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 9 are at the 4x ceiling, so I add place 6 (1.52% edge) as the cheapest positive-exposure bet; no takedowns needed.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with max odds already behind the pass line and a working place 6; no new bets needed, just let the low-edge bets resolve.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 9 are already at the 4x max and place 6 is the best place bet; adding any new proposition bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 9 with max odds already behind the pass line; adding place bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x ceiling on 9 and every other bet has a house edge, so the lowest-EV action is to add nothing and let the existing bets resolve.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; don't pass has the lowest house edge (-1.36%) and stays removable, so I take a moderate position and keep flexibility.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying odds behind don't pass is the only zero-house-edge bet available; 96 on the 6 pays 80 at 5:6 and stays within the odds ceiling and exposure cap. No new negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (1.41%); dice have no memory, so the six-pass streak means nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 with a 25 pass line bet; backing it with the maximum 100 in free odds at true 6:5 is the lowest-edge play available.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds at 100 are already the maximum behind the 25 flat on point 6; adding any new bet only adds house edge, so no action is optimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 9 rolls left; pass line is the lowest-edge bet and lets me back it with full odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 8 with a 50 pass line bet; backing it with the maximum allowed 100 in odds at true 6:5 is the zero-house-edge play and the best use of chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the allowed maximum (odds ceiling 0 additional) and every other bet on the menu has a house edge, so the lowest-EV-loss action is to add nothing and let the 8 resolve.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the allowed maximum, so I add place 6 and 8, the lowest house-edge bets available, sized modestly with only 6 rolls left.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Existing bets are already placed; adding any new bet only adds house edge with few rolls left, so I hold.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
All existing bets are already placed; every new bet option has negative EV, so the optimal move is no change with 4 rolls left.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Existing bets are already optimal for the point phase; adding more negative-EV one-roll bets near session end only increases expected loss, so I hold.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds at true odds are the best money on the table; the redundant place_8 carries a house edge, so removing it lowers expected loss while keeping the fair odds working on the point of 8.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Final come-out roll; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36% vs 1.41% pass), so I stake the minimum 1 chip.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix in a row is just variance - riding the pass line either way.
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Six straight passes and now a 10 — laying the full odds behind. Dice have no memory, but my odds do.
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Six straight passes is just variance — dice have no memory. Riding 6 and 8 quietly.
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Fresh come-out, my roll. Riding the line.
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Fresh come-out, clean slate — riding the pass line.
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Max odds behind my 8. Dice don't remember, but I'll take the free fair odds anyway.
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Odds are maxed behind the pass line; adding place 6 and 8 for the lowest-edge coverage.
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Puck is off — my 6 stays down and I'm sitting this come-out out. Dice have no memory; the streak is just noise.
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Six and eight, the two best numbers on the felt. Keep it simple.
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Dice have no memory — six passes mean nothing. Riding the don't this hand.
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Riding the dark side this come-out — small stake, no drama.
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Laying full odds behind my don't pass on the 8. The field is a sucker bet — the house edge is over 5%.
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Dark side holding on the 8 — no new chips until it resolves.
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Dark side holding at 8 — no new chips needed.
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I'll take the don't side this come-out — lowest house edge on the menu, and it's removable if I want out.
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Streaks don't change the math — flat pass line for me.
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Pass line for me this come-out. Odds behind once we have a point.
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Three naturals in a row — I'll ride the don't side this hand.
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Four naturals in a row — I'll ride the pass line while it's hot.
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Max odds behind my 9. Odds are the only free bet on the table.
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Odds are already maxed behind my pass; adding a small place 6 for the low house edge.
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Point 9, odds maxed behind the line. Holding steady — no need to press.
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Six passes in a row means nothing to fair dice — I'll ride the don't side this hand.
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Laying full odds behind my don't pass on the 6. No hot-shooter stories here — every roll is independent.
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Streaks don't change the math — riding the line, not the field.
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Six has been kind all night — max odds behind it. The field is still a -5% trap, seat one.
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Odds are maxed behind my pass 6; staying out of the field hype.
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Fresh come-out — riding the pass line, no field gimmicks.
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Max odds behind the 8. Field every roll is a 5.5% leak — just saying.
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Max odds behind my 8, staying out of the field noise.
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Odds are maxed behind my pass; adding small place bets on 6 and 8 for the lowest-edge coverage.
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Point is 8 with five rolls left — staying put, no new action.
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Point is 8 — my odds are maxed and riding. No new action.
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Point is 8 with three rolls left; my pass odds and place bets stay working. No new action needed.
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Taking my place bet down — the odds behind the pass line carry the weight now.
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Last hand — minimum don't, no heroics.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, +117 chips over 40 rolls
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