Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 7:57 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC
2 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This is a come-out roll, so I place a removable don't pass bet at 10 chips. Don't pass has a lower house edge than the field or proposition bets, and I avoid pressing into a hot shooter.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 with a don't pass bet already working, so laying the maximum allowed odds (48, a multiple of 6) gives a true-odds edge with no house take; this is the best EV use of remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass is a removable 1:1 bet that wins on 2 or 3 and loses on 7 or 11, with a 12 push. I'm taking the house-edge-favorable side here rather than following the provocateur's press suggestion.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a slight edge (bar 12) and is removable, so I take the max 100 to limit exposure while keeping flexibility.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a 100 don't pass already down; laying the maximum 100 odds at 1:2 is the lowest-edge action available and uses the remaining exposure efficiently.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a don't pass and max odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass is the lowest-edge single-roll bet available here (bar 12 push) and I want to avoid the field's higher house edge while the provocateur is betting field every roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 and I already have a 100-chip don't pass bet; laying the maximum 100 in odds (2:1 on the 4) has no house edge and improves expected value per chip, while staying within the 200 exposure remaining.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a 100 don't pass and 100 don't pass odds already working; the odds bet has a negative house edge and is the best use of exposure, so I add the maximum allowed don't pass odds behind the flat bet rather than taking new one-roll or place bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 with a don't pass and max odds already working; no new bets improve expected value, so I keep the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 and my don't pass plus laid odds already have a positive edge; adding more bets would only increase exposure without improving expected value, so I hold and wait for the point or a seven-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll, don't pass has a lower house edge than the pass line and beats the field's expected loss. I'm starting small to preserve bankroll and exposure for later odds and place opportunities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a don't pass flat bet already on; laying max odds (39, the 3x multiple of the 13 flat-equivalent ceiling) behind it is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than the field and wins on 2 and 3, so I'm betting the don't side while the provocateur urges the pass.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass is a low-edge bet that wins on 2 or 3 and pushes on 12, so I take a small position here.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a don't pass bet already down; laying max odds behind it is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are in the point phase with point 6 and already have a don't pass flat plus 48 laid odds behind it, which is the lowest-edge position available. No new bets this roll to avoid adding higher-house-edge wagers while the existing position is working.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 with a don't pass and 48 odds already working; no new bets are needed this roll. The don't pass line on 6 has a lower house edge than most single-roll propositions, and the odds reduce overall expected loss per chip, so I keep the existing position and wait for a seven-out or point hit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF: don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and wins on 2/3, loses only on 7/11 (12 pushes). I'm taking the full 100-chip stake to maximize expected value on this come-out decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 5, so laying odds behind my don't pass bet reduces the overall house edge on that money. I take the maximum allowed odds stake (99) to maximize expected value while keeping total exposure within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take a small don't pass position rather than chasing the hot shooter with higher-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a don't pass flat bet already working, so laying max odds (48, a multiple of 6) is the best EV decision available; it pays 5:6 and wins on a seven-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a don't pass and max odds already working; no new bets improve expected value here, so I hold and let the hand resolve.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 and I already have a don't pass plus 48 laid odds behind it; the table offers no positive-EV action, so I leave the existing position alone and wait for the seven-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with a hot shooter; pass line has the lowest house edge and pays on 7 or 11.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a pass line flat bet already in place; laying the maximum 5x odds (50) behind it gives the best true-odds EV in the game and uses available exposure efficiently.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 with a 10 flat pass line bet and 50 in odds already working; the shooter has made the point three times in a row, so I'm staying with the positive EV pass/odds combination and not adding any negative-EV one-roll or place bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than most one-roll bets and is removable. The provocateur is pushing the don't, so I'll take the opposite side lightly.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 and I hold a don't pass bet, so laying max odds (39) at true odds 2:3 gives the best negative-EV reduction available; the table message is just seat-1 noise.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 and I hold a 10 don't pass plus 39 laid odds, which is the lowest-edge position available; no new bets improve expected value, so I let the current bets ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line wins on 7/11 and loses on 2/3/12. I'm taking a small pass line bet to ride the shooter's momentum.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a pass line bet already down; taking the maximum 5x odds (50) is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of my remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a pass line and 5x odds already working; the remaining rolls are few and the shooter just sevened out last hand, so I'm avoiding new negative-EV bets and letting the current position run.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a slight edge and is removable if the point is set. Ignoring the provocateur's seven-due message since dice are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a Don't Pass already down. Laying max odds (30, the 3x cap on a 10 flat) adds zero house edge and pays 1:2 if a 7 hits before the point repeats, so it is the best use of remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 10 and I hold a don't pass plus 3x odds, the best low-edge position. With only three rolls left, I will not add negative-E proposition bets or take down working odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and wins on 2 or 3, so I take the don't side.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The puck is ON with point 8 and I hold a don't pass bet, so laying max odds (48, a multiple of 6) is the lowest-edge action available; it pays 5:6 on an 8 and wins when a 7 hits before the point repeats.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm taking the other side; the dice don't remember the last six rolls.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking max don't pass odds behind the 6.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking don't pass on this come-out. The dice don't care about the hype.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Seven is due, but I'm not betting on it. Taking don't pass.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Laying odds behind the don't pass.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm already on the don't with odds behind it.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking the dark side on this come-out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking max don't pass odds behind the 4. House edge on odds is zero, so this is the best use of chips.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm laying odds on the 4, not chasing the field. Let the dice decide.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm holding the don't pass and odds on 4. Let the point play out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm staying with my don't pass and odds on the 4. No new bets this roll.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Don't pass is the mathematically correct side on the come-out. I'll take it.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Laying odds behind the 9.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Don't pass is the smart play on a come-out. I'm taking the other side.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking a small don't pass on the come-out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Laying odds behind the don't on the 6.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
table
Point is 6. My don't pass and odds are already working. Sitting this one out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm holding the don't pass with odds on the 6. Let the dice decide.
table
The shooter is hot, press your bets
table
Taking don't pass here — the math favors the dark side on come-outs.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Laying odds behind the don't pass on the 5.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking the other side on the come-out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking max don't pass odds behind the 6. Laid odds are the only true EV+ move here.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm staying with my don't pass and odds on the 6. Let the shooter keep rolling.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm staying with the don't on 6. No new bets this roll.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Hot shooter, I'm taking the pass line.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the pass line on the 6.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm letting the pass line and odds ride on the 6. No new bets this roll.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm taking the don't pass, bar 12. Seven is due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm already on the don't with odds behind a 9. Let the dice decide.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm betting against the point too. Don't chase the hot hand.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm backing the don't with odds on 9. Seven is due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm betting pass line. Let's see if the shooter keeps it going.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking max odds behind the 6. Dice don't care about streaks.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'm letting the odds ride on the 6. No new bets this roll.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking the don't pass here; seven due is a gambler's fallacy, but the edge is real.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Laying odds behind the Don't Pass. The house edge stays on the flat bet; odds are a fair hedge.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'm already on the don't with odds behind. Let it ride.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Don't pass is the smart play here.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full don't pass odds behind the 8.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, -55 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.