Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting don't pass with a small stake to allow maximum odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Maximizing zero-house-edge odds on my don't pass bet to improve odds utilization without adding negative EV.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Already have max laid odds on dont_pass at point 10; all other available bets carry a house edge, so no new bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting the don't pass line gives the lowest house edge and sets up a flat bet for zero-edge laid odds later; stake 6 is the smallest multiple that permits maximum odds on any point.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has the lowest house edge among available bets, and a 75-chip flat allows me to add maximum odds (up to 225) if a point is established, maximizing odds utilization while keeping EV loss low.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Add maximum pass-line odds behind the existing point-8 pass bet; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV place or prop bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new bets: my existing pass line and odds are already the lowest-edge exposure available, and all offered bets have higher house edge. Additional pass odds are not permitted this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Chose don't pass for its slightly lower house edge, and will take maximum laid odds if a point is established to minimize expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding maximum laid odds (3 chips) behind my don't pass bet utilizes free odds with zero house edge, improving odds utilization without increasing expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting the don't pass line with minimum stake to minimize house edge, planning to add maximum laid odds once a point is established to maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting 50 on don't pass gives the lowest house edge (1.36%) among come-out bets and allows maximum odds (up to 250) when a point is established, optimizing odds utilization within the 300-chip exposure limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't pass bet has a positive conditional expectation now that the point is 8. I add the maximum permitted laid odds (96) because they are a zero-house-edge bet and improve odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new bets: every available bet has a negative house edge, while my existing don't pass flat bet with laid odds on the 8 is already a positive-EV position after the come-out. Adding more would only increase expected loss without improving odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new bets because any available bet has a higher house edge than my current average, and I cannot add more odds. Doing nothing preserves my low expected loss per chip and odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting the minimum on don't pass to minimize house edge exposure while allowing maximum odds utilization once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bet 50 on Don't Pass to minimize house edge and leave room for full odds (up to 5x) once a point is established, maximizing odds utilization and diluting EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets and allows taking maximum laid odds later. Betting 50 leaves room to fully back it with max odds within the 300 exposure cap.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting don't pass with 50 chips to minimize house edge (1.36%) and allow maximum odds later, optimizing ev_loss_per_chip and odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting the minimum on don't pass to minimize house edge and preserve bankroll, planning to take maximum odds once a point is established to maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Taking the maximum laid odds behind my existing don't pass bet on point 9; odds are zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative EV.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No positive-EV bets are available; the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 9 are favorable and should be kept. Adding any other bet would only increase expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding a don't come bet to establish another flat bet that can be backed with maximum odds next roll, improving odds utilization and lowering the effective house edge per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding a don't come bet with a stake sized to allow full 100-chip odds on any point (34 flat covers 3x on 4/10, 4x on 5/9, 5x on 6/8), maximizing odds utilization while keeping the low house edge of the don't side.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Add maximum laid odds on the existing don't come 5 to increase odds utilization with zero house edge, avoiding new flat bets that would increase expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
All available new bets have negative expected value, while my existing don't pass and don't come bets plus their odds have positive or zero EV from this point. No action maximizes expected chips and avoids unnecessary house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 9 and my existing don't pass plus laid odds are favorable/zero-EV. Every new available bet carries a house edge, so I make no new bets and keep the current position.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting don't pass with a 6-unit flat to enable maximum laid odds (up to 5x on 6/8) once a point is established, minimizing house edge per chip and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Maximizing free laid odds behind the existing don't pass point of 6; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting the don't pass line offers the lowest house edge on a come-out (1.36%), and a 20-chip flat allows maximum odds later (5x on 6/8, 4x on 5/9, 3x on 4/10) without exceeding the 100-chip per-bet cap, minimizing expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Maximizing free laid odds behind my existing don't pass 6; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Existing dont_pass on 6 has positive conditional EV and the laid odds are already at the maximum multiple; any new flat bet would add negative house edge, so I make no new bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Betting the minimum on Don't Pass to establish a point, then I will take maximum laid odds to minimize house edge and maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new bets: every available bet has a negative expected value, while the existing don't pass bet on point 8 is favorable. Keeping the table unchanged minimizes expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keep the existing don't pass bet on point 8, which now has positive expectation. No new bets because every available bet has a negative house edge, so adding any would reduce expected chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Place a don't come bet of 6 so that if it establishes any point, I can add maximum laid odds (whole-chip multiples work for all points), minimizing house edge per chip. Keep the existing positive-EV don't pass bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Add the maximum laid odds behind my existing don't come 5. These odds carry zero house edge, so they improve odds utilization without adding negative expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Existing don't bets have positive conditional EV after surviving the come-out; no new bets because all available bets carry a negative house edge. Keep the zero-EV odds working.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keep the existing don't pass bet on point 8, which has positive conditional expectation (7 before 8). All newly available bets carry a house edge, so adding any would reduce expected chips. No removal is warranted.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keep the favorable don't pass bet on point 8; no new bets have positive expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On the final decision roll, don't pass has the lowest house edge among available bets (1.36%). Betting the minimum stake limits absolute expected loss while still providing a decision-quality bet.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash finished first, +132 chips over 40 rolls
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