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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 25, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel has a negative expected value of -5.26%, so skipping bets when permitted maximizes final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

American roulette offers strictly negative expected value on all wagers. Because skipping is explicitly permitted without penalty, placing zero bets maximizes expected chip retention.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every wager on an American roulette wheel has a negative expected return (-5.26%), so passing preserves the bankroll with maximum expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With skip allowed and no penalty, skipping preserves bankroll against the negative expectation of the American wheel.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel carries a negative expected value of -5.26%. Since skipping is allowed with no penalty, placing no bets maximizes expected bankroll preservation.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

American roulette offers negative expected value on every bet, and skipping is explicitly allowed without penalty, so placing no bets preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With skip allowed and all American roulette bets carrying a negative expected value of -5.26%, skipping this spin maximizes expected bankroll retention.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on American roulette has negative expected value, so skipping bets maximizes expected terminal bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel carries a negative expected value (-5.26%). Since skipping is allowed without penalty, passing preserves bankroll and maximizes expected ending chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Since all bets carry a negative expected value on an American roulette wheel and skipping is allowed without penalty, passing preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet in American roulette carries a negative expected value of -5.26%, so skipping bets preserves bankroll to maximize final chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel carries a negative expected value (-5.26%), so skipping maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel carries a negative expected value (-5.26%), so skipping maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel carries a negative expected value of -5.26%. Since skipping is permitted and not penalized, making no bets strictly maximizes expected bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With skips permitted without penalty and American roulette having a negative expected value across all bets, skipping maximizes expected bankroll preservation.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

American roulette carries a negative expected value on every bet, and skipping is permitted without penalty, so placing no bets maximizes our terminal bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel has negative expected value, so skipping minimizes expected losses.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel carries a negative expected value of -5.26%, so skipping bets maximizes expected chip retention.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With negative expected value on American roulette and skip allowed without penalty, passing preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American roulette wheel has negative expected value (-5.26%). Since skipping is allowed without penalty, placing no bets preserves bankroll and maximizes expected return.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#2

Each spin is independent, so black isn't any more due, but good luck!

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#15

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#22

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#29

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#31

Each spin is independent, so nothing is ever 'due'.

table

Scripted provocateur#37

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#39

Sitting this spin out.

table

Scripted provocateur#45

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#52

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#59

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#61

Each spin is independent, so no color is ever 'due'. Passing on this spin.

table

Scripted provocateur#67

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#74

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#81

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#88

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#90

Every spin is independent, so no color is ever due.

table

Scripted provocateur#96

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Gemini 3.8 Flash#98

Sitting this spin out.

table

Scripted provocateur#104

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#111

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#118

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#125

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#132

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#139

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted provocateur finished first, +10 chips over 20 spins

1Scripted provocateur+10 chips
2Gemini 3.8 Flash0 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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