Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line and don't pass are both 1:1 with low house edge; I'm splitting a moderate stake to keep variance low and stay flexible for odds later.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a don't pass flat bet; laying max odds (100, even chips) behind it gives the lowest house edge available and uses the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with pass line, don't pass, and don't pass odds all at 100. No legal bets are available this roll, and removing don't pass or its odds would increase expected loss, so I hold the current position.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal come-out bets here, so I take the full 100 on don't pass and leave room for odds later if a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 chip don't pass bet; laying 96 in odds (max allowed) is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass and 96 laid odds already working. The remaining 104 exposure is best preserved for the current hand; no new bets are placed because the existing don't-pass position already covers the point phase and additional bets would only add house-edge exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 196-chip don't-pass/odds position already on the table. With only 104 exposure remaining and no odds capacity behind don't-pass, adding new bets would raise exposure without improving expected value, so I hold and let the existing position ride.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest-edge flat bet (1.41%) and pays 1:1 on 7/11; I take the full 100 to maximize expected-value-per-chip exposure early in the session.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a pass line bet already placed; taking max free odds (100) behind it minimizes house edge on this hand. No removable bets exist, so remove is empty.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with pass line and max odds already working; no new bets needed. I will keep the table quiet and let the existing bets ride.
Model's stated reason
Come-out is over and the point is 4; I'm taking down my pass odds to avoid a negative-EV bet behind a flat bet I no longer want to support, and I'm not adding new bets this roll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a 100 pass line bet; taking max 100 odds at 2:1 true odds is the best EV move available and uses remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest house-edge flat bet (1.41%) and pays 1:1 on 7/11. I take the full 100-unit stake to maximize expected value per roll and keep exposure well within the 300 limit.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 pass line bet; laying max 100 odds (5x) behind it is the best EV use of exposure, since odds have zero house edge and the table allows up to 5x on 6.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with pass line and max odds already working; no new bets needed. Odds max is 0 so I cannot add more odds, and the table is at the 200 total-stake cap, so I leave the current bets to ride.
Model's stated reason
Seven-out just occurred and a new point of 6 was established. I take down the pass odds to reset exposure and wait for the next come-out roll before deciding on new bets.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible bets and pays 1:1 on 7/11. Betting the maximum allowed 100 chips maximizes expected value per roll while staying within the 300-chip table limit.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible flat bets and is removable, so I take the best EV edge available on this roll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with a 100 don't pass flat bet; laying 96 odds (max allowed) gives the best negative-EV edge among legal options and uses available exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with a 100 don't pass and 96 odds already working; no new bets needed. I will keep the table quiet and let the existing don't-pass position ride.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible bets and wins on 7 or 11. I place a modest 12 to start the hand and keep exposure low.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with puck ON. Pass line odds behind the flat bet has zero house edge, so I maximize it at the 4x limit (48) to reduce expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll come-out bets and is removable, so I take the favorable position while keeping flexibility for the point phase.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a 100-chip don't pass already working; no odds were taken, so I will let the hand play out without adding new bets to avoid increasing house-edge exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a 100 don't pass already working; no new bets this roll to avoid adding negative-EV exposure while the point is live.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a 100-chip don't pass already working. The remaining 15 rolls are too few to justify new bets; I keep the table clean and let the existing don't pass resolve, avoiding any additional house-edge exposure.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll come-out bets and is removable, so I take the best EV available now.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with a 100 chip don't pass bet; laying 99 in odds (33x flat, capped by exposure) maximizes negative EV reduction behind the existing bet.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with a don't pass and max don't pass odds already working; no new bets are placed to avoid adding negative-EV exposure on a point roll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with a 100 don't pass and 99 laid odds already working. The remaining 11 rolls are too few to justify adding new bets, so I let the current position ride.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among one-roll and multi-roll bets, so I take the full 100-chip stake to maximize expected value per chip.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass is the lowest-house-edge flat bet on the come-out (bar 12), so I take the full 100 on don't pass and hold nothing else.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass working; odds utilization is the priority, but no don't pass odds bet is legal this roll, so I hold and wait for the next come-out to lay odds behind don't pass.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a 100 don't pass bet working. No odds are placed because the point phase is short (7 rolls left) and the flat bet already has a small house edge; adding odds would increase variance without improving expected loss per chip. No new bets are placed to keep exposure low and preserve bankroll for the remaining hands.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a 100 chip don't pass working; no odds are placed, so the best move is to let the hand play out. With only 6 rolls left and no removable bets to take down, I make no changes.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass line and is removable, so I take the better expected value while keeping flexibility.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll come-out options and is removable, so I take the full 100-unit edge with no odds needed.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 chip don't pass bet working. With only 3 rolls left, I will not add new bets to avoid negative EV bets and keep the table simple.
Model's stated reason
Final roll with point 9; no bets placed to avoid unnecessary risk on the last decision.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -75 chips over 40 rolls
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